100 Years of Progress in Forecasting and NWP Applications

Stanley G. Benjamin NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research/Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division, Boulder, Colorado

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John M. Brown NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research/Earth System Research Laboratory Global Systems Division, Boulder, Colorado

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Gilbert Brunet Environment and Climate Change Canada, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

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Peter Lynch University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland

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Kazuo Saito Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

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Thomas W. Schlatter NOAA/Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

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Abstract

Over the past 100 years, the collaborative effort of the international science community, including government weather services and the media, along with the associated proliferation of environmental observations, improved scientific understanding, and growth of technology, has radically transformed weather forecasting into an effective global and regional environmental prediction capability. This chapter traces the evolution of forecasting, starting in 1919 [when the American Meteorological Society (AMS) was founded], over four eras separated by breakpoints at 1939, 1956, and 1985. The current state of forecasting could not have been achieved without essential collaboration within and among countries in pursuing the common weather and Earth-system prediction challenge. AMS itself has had a strong role in enabling this international collaboration.

Current affiliation: Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Retired.

© 2019 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Stan Benjamin, stan.benjamin@noaa.gov

Abstract

Over the past 100 years, the collaborative effort of the international science community, including government weather services and the media, along with the associated proliferation of environmental observations, improved scientific understanding, and growth of technology, has radically transformed weather forecasting into an effective global and regional environmental prediction capability. This chapter traces the evolution of forecasting, starting in 1919 [when the American Meteorological Society (AMS) was founded], over four eras separated by breakpoints at 1939, 1956, and 1985. The current state of forecasting could not have been achieved without essential collaboration within and among countries in pursuing the common weather and Earth-system prediction challenge. AMS itself has had a strong role in enabling this international collaboration.

Current affiliation: Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.

Retired.

© 2019 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Stan Benjamin, stan.benjamin@noaa.gov
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