Evaluation of a Fast-Running Urban Dispersion Modeling System Using Joint Urban 2003 Field Data

Eric A. Hendricks Advanced Engineering and Sciences, ITT Corporation, Colorado Springs, Colorado

Search for other papers by Eric A. Hendricks in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Steve R. Diehl Advanced Engineering and Sciences, ITT Corporation, Colorado Springs, Colorado

Search for other papers by Steve R. Diehl in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Donald A. Burrows Advanced Engineering and Sciences, ITT Corporation, Colorado Springs, Colorado

Search for other papers by Donald A. Burrows in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Robert Keith Advanced Engineering and Sciences, ITT Corporation, Colorado Springs, Colorado

Search for other papers by Robert Keith in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

An urban dispersion modeling system was evaluated using the Joint Urban 2003 field data. The system consists of a fast-running urban airflow model (RUSTIC, for Realistic Urban Spread and Transport of Intrusive Contaminants) that is coupled with a Lagrangian particle transport and diffusion model (MESO) that uses random-walk tracer diffusion techniques. Surface measurements from fast-response and integrated bag samplers were used to evaluate model performance in predicting near-field (less than 1 km from the source) dispersion in the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, central business district. Comparisons were made for six different intense operating periods (IOPs) composed of three different release locations and stable nighttime and unstable daytime meteorological conditions. Overall, the models were shown to have an underprediction bias of 47%. A possible influence to this underprediction is that the higher density of sulfur hexafluoride in comparison with air was not taken into account in the simulations. The models were capable of predicting 42% of the sampler data within a factor of 2 and 83% of the data within a factor of 10. When the effects of large-scale atmospheric turbulence were included, the models were shown to be capable of predicting 51% of the data within a factor of 2. The results were further broken down into performance for varying meteorological conditions. For daytime releases, the models performed reasonably well; for nighttime releases the models performed more poorly. Two possible causes of the poorer nighttime comparisons are (a) an inability to model the suppression of vertical turbulence because of the assumption of isotropy in RUSTIC’s k–ω turbulence model and (b) difficulty in modeling the light and variable inflow winds. The best comparisons were found for the three continuous daytime releases of IOP-4. It was hypothesized that these good comparisons were a result of steadier inflow conditions combined with the fact that the release site was more exposed and closer to the sodar used for the inflow meteorological conditions.

* Current affiliation: Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Corresponding author address: Eric A. Hendricks, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523. Email: eric.@atmos.colostate.edu

This article included in the Urban 2003 Experiment (JU2003) special collection.

Abstract

An urban dispersion modeling system was evaluated using the Joint Urban 2003 field data. The system consists of a fast-running urban airflow model (RUSTIC, for Realistic Urban Spread and Transport of Intrusive Contaminants) that is coupled with a Lagrangian particle transport and diffusion model (MESO) that uses random-walk tracer diffusion techniques. Surface measurements from fast-response and integrated bag samplers were used to evaluate model performance in predicting near-field (less than 1 km from the source) dispersion in the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, central business district. Comparisons were made for six different intense operating periods (IOPs) composed of three different release locations and stable nighttime and unstable daytime meteorological conditions. Overall, the models were shown to have an underprediction bias of 47%. A possible influence to this underprediction is that the higher density of sulfur hexafluoride in comparison with air was not taken into account in the simulations. The models were capable of predicting 42% of the sampler data within a factor of 2 and 83% of the data within a factor of 10. When the effects of large-scale atmospheric turbulence were included, the models were shown to be capable of predicting 51% of the data within a factor of 2. The results were further broken down into performance for varying meteorological conditions. For daytime releases, the models performed reasonably well; for nighttime releases the models performed more poorly. Two possible causes of the poorer nighttime comparisons are (a) an inability to model the suppression of vertical turbulence because of the assumption of isotropy in RUSTIC’s k–ω turbulence model and (b) difficulty in modeling the light and variable inflow winds. The best comparisons were found for the three continuous daytime releases of IOP-4. It was hypothesized that these good comparisons were a result of steadier inflow conditions combined with the fact that the release site was more exposed and closer to the sodar used for the inflow meteorological conditions.

* Current affiliation: Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado

Corresponding author address: Eric A. Hendricks, Dept. of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523. Email: eric.@atmos.colostate.edu

This article included in the Urban 2003 Experiment (JU2003) special collection.

Save
  • Allwine, K. J., J. H. Shinn, G. E. Streit, K. L. Clawson, and M. Brown, 2002: An overview of URBAN 2000: A multiscale field study of dispersion through an urban environment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83 , 521536.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Allwine, K. J., M. J. Leach, L. W. Stockham, J. S. Shinn, R. P. Hosker, J. F. Bowers, and J. C. Pace, 2004: Overview of Joint Urban 2003—An atmospheric dispersion study in Oklahoma City. Preprints, Symp. on Planning, Nowcasting, and Forecasting in the Urban Zone and Eighth Symp. on Integrated Observing and Assimilation Systems for Atmosphere, Oceans, and Land Surface, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J7.1.

  • Arya, S. P., 2001: Introduction to Micrometeorology. Academic Press, 415 pp.

  • Brown, M. J., 2004: Urban dispersion—Challenges for fast response modeling. Preprints, Fifth Conf. on the Urban Environment, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J5.1.

  • Burrows, D. A., E. A. Hendricks, S. R. Diehl, and R. Keith, 2007: Modeling turbulent flow in an urban central business district. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 46 , 21472164.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chang, J. C., and S. R. Hanna, 2004: Air quality model performance evaluation. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 87 , 167196.

  • Coulter, R. L., and T. J. Martin, 1986: Results from a high power, high frequency sodar. Atmos. Res., 20 , 257270.

  • Diehl, S. R., D. T. Smith, and M. Sydor, 1982: Random-walk simulation of gradient transfer processes applied to dispersion of stack emissions from coal-fired power plants. J. Appl. Meteor., 21 , 6983.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Diehl, S. R., D. A. Burrows, E. A. Hendricks, and R. Keith, 2007: Urban dispersion modeling: Comparison with single-building measurements. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 46 , 21802191.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Environmental Protection Agency, cited. 2005: Support Center for Regulatory Atmospheric Modeling (SCRAM). [Available online at http://www.epa.gov/scram001/.].

  • Hanna, S. R., 1989: Confidence limits for air quality model evaluations, as estimated by bootstrap and jackknife resampling methods. Atmos. Environ., 23 , 13851398.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hanna, S. R., 1993: Uncertainties in air quality model predictions. Bound.-Layer Meteor., 62 , 320.

  • Hanna, S. R., O. R. Hansen, and S. Dharmavaram, 2004: FLACS CFD air quality model performance evaluation with Kit Fox, MUST, Prairie Grass, and EMU observations. Atmos. Environ., 39 , 16271640.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Oke, T. R., 1988: The urban energy balance. Prog. Phys. Geogr., 12 , 471508.

  • van Dop, H., F. T. M. Nieuwstadt, and J. C. R. Hunt, 1985: Random walk models for particle displacements in inhomogeneous unsteady turbulent flow. Phys. Fluids, 28 , 16391653.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Venkatram, A., V. Isakov, J. Yuan, and D. Pankratz, 2004: Modeling dispersion at distances of meters from urban sources. Atmos. Environ., 38 , 46334641.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Warner, S., N. Platt, and J. F. Heagy, 2004: Comparisons of transport and dispersion model predictions of the URBAN 2000 field experiment. J. Appl. Meteor., 43 , 829846.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wilcox, D. C., 1998: Turbulence Modeling for CFD. DCW Industries, Inc., 539 pp.

  • Yuan, J., and A. Venkatram, 2005: Dispersion within a model urban area. Atmos. Environ., 39 , 47294743.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 810 488 216
PDF Downloads 205 46 2