East Coast Cool-Weather Storms in the New York Metropolitan Region

H. Salmun Hunter College of the City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by H. Salmun in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
A. Molod University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, Maryland

Search for other papers by A. Molod in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
F. S. Buonaiuto Hunter College of the City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by F. S. Buonaiuto in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
K. Wisniewska Hunter College of the City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by K. Wisniewska in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
K. C. Clarke Hunter College of the City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by K. C. Clarke in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

New York coastal regions are frequently exposed to winter extratropical storm systems that exhibit a wide range of local impacts. Studies of these systems either have used localized water-level or beach erosion data to identify and characterize the storms or have used meteorological conditions from reanalysis data to provide a general regional “climatology” of storms. The use of meteorological conditions to identify these storms allows an independent assessment of impacts on the coastal environment and therefore can be used to predict the impacts. However, the intensity of these storms can exhibit substantial spatial variability that may not be captured by the relatively large scales of the studies using reanalysis data, and this fact may affect the localized assessment of storm impact on the coastal communities. A method that uses data from National Data Buoy Center stations in the New York metropolitan area to identify East Coast cool-weather storms (ECCSs) and to describe their climatological characteristics is presented. An assessment of the presence of storm conditions and a three-level intensity scale was developed using surface pressure data as measured at the buoys. This study identified ECCSs during the period from 1977 through 2007 and developed storm climatologies for each level of storm intensity. General agreement with established climatologies demonstrated the robustness of the method. The impact of the storms on the coastal environment was assessed by computing “storm average” values of storm-surge data and by examining beach erosion along the south shore of Long Island, New York. A regression analysis demonstrated that the best storm-surge predictor is based on measurements of significant wave height at a nearby buoy.

Corresponding author address: Haydee Salmun, Hunter College of the City University of New York, 695 Park Ave., New York, NY 10065. Email: hsalmun@hunter.cuny.edu

Abstract

New York coastal regions are frequently exposed to winter extratropical storm systems that exhibit a wide range of local impacts. Studies of these systems either have used localized water-level or beach erosion data to identify and characterize the storms or have used meteorological conditions from reanalysis data to provide a general regional “climatology” of storms. The use of meteorological conditions to identify these storms allows an independent assessment of impacts on the coastal environment and therefore can be used to predict the impacts. However, the intensity of these storms can exhibit substantial spatial variability that may not be captured by the relatively large scales of the studies using reanalysis data, and this fact may affect the localized assessment of storm impact on the coastal communities. A method that uses data from National Data Buoy Center stations in the New York metropolitan area to identify East Coast cool-weather storms (ECCSs) and to describe their climatological characteristics is presented. An assessment of the presence of storm conditions and a three-level intensity scale was developed using surface pressure data as measured at the buoys. This study identified ECCSs during the period from 1977 through 2007 and developed storm climatologies for each level of storm intensity. General agreement with established climatologies demonstrated the robustness of the method. The impact of the storms on the coastal environment was assessed by computing “storm average” values of storm-surge data and by examining beach erosion along the south shore of Long Island, New York. A regression analysis demonstrated that the best storm-surge predictor is based on measurements of significant wave height at a nearby buoy.

Corresponding author address: Haydee Salmun, Hunter College of the City University of New York, 695 Park Ave., New York, NY 10065. Email: hsalmun@hunter.cuny.edu

Save
  • Bernstein, L., and Coauthors, 2007: Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Cambridge University Press, 103 pp.

  • Carter, D. J. T., and L. Draper, 1988: Has the north-east Atlantic become rougher? Nature, 332 , 494.

  • Colle, B. A., F. S. Buonaiuto, M. J. Bowman, R. E. Wilson, R. Hunter, A. Mintz, and D. Hill, 2007: New York City’s vulnerability to coastal flooding. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 89 , 829841.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Colle, B. A., K. Rojowsky, and F. Buonaiuto, 2010: New York City storm surges: Climatology and an analysis of the wind and cyclone evolution. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., in press.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Colucci, S. J., 1976: Winter cyclone frequencies over the eastern United States and adjacent western Atlantic, 1964-1973. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 57 , 548553.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Davis, R. E., R. Dolan, and G. Demme, 1993: Synoptic climatology of Atlantic coast northeasters. Int. J. Climatol., 13 , 171189.

  • DeGaetano, A. T., 2008: Predictability of seasonal East Coast winter storm surge impacts with application to New York’s Long Island. Meteor. Appl., 2 , 231242.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • DeGaetano, A. T., M. E. Hirsch, and S. J. Colucci, 2002: Statistical prediction of seasonal East Coast winter storm frequency. J. Climate, 15 , 11011117.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hayden, B. P., 1981: Secular variation in Atlantic Coast extratropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109 , 159167.

  • Hirsch, M. E., A. T. DeGaetano, and S. J. Colucci, 2001: An East Coast winter storm climatology. J. Climate, 14 , 882899.

  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77 , 437471.

  • Mather, J. R., H. Adams III, and G. A. Yoshioka, 1964: Coastal storms of the eastern United States. J. Appl. Meteor., 3 , 693706.

  • Miller, J. E., 1946: Cyclogenesis in the Atlantic coastal region of the United States. J. Meteor., 3 , 3144.

  • Rienecker, M. M., and Coauthors, 2008: The GEOS-5 Data Assimilation System documentation of versions 5.0.1, 5.1.0, and 5.2.0. NASA Tech. Memo. GEOS5–104606, Vol. 27, 118 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zhang, K., B. C. Douglas, and S. P. Leatherman, 2000: Twentieth-century storm activity along the U.S. east coast. J. Climate, 13 , 17481761.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 282 95 9
PDF Downloads 123 50 3