Abstract
The results of numerical integrations of Sundqvist's (1970) symmetric model for hurricane development modified to include parameterized large-scale eddy fluxes of momentum are presented. The initial wind and moisture distributions, and the prescribed eddy fluxes of momentum, were taken from atmospheric observations of Atlantic developing (prehurricane) and non-developing tropical disturbances as composited by McBride (1981a,b) and McBride and Zehr (1981). For the purposes of the present study, the data for individual stages in the evolution of developing and non-developing disturbances were combined to form a single composite developing hurricane and a single composite non-developing disturbance.
The data reveal the presence of intense, well organized inward eddy fluxes of momentum in developing Atlantic hurricanes and weak, poorly organized fluxes in non-developing disturbances. In the developing disturbances, the eddy fluxes of momentum are organized such that they act as a forcing function for driving the radial circulation, drawing moist air in toward the center of the vortex in the lower troposphere and pumping drier air outward aloft, thereby providing fuel for the explosive growth of the hurricane. In order to test the efficacy of this mechanism, and of Ekman suction and cooperative instability, numerical integrations were performed using the data for the composite developing hurricane, with and without the observed eddy fluxes of momentum, and for the composite non-developing disturbance with the observed eddy fluxes corresponding to this disturbance.
Without eddy flux forcing, the prehurricane developing vortex fails to intensify into a hurricane, even after 20 days of integration. With the observed eddy fluxes of momentum, the same initial vortex intensifies rapidly, reaching hurricane strength within 4 days. Moreover, because of the weak and diffuse pattern of the eddy fluxes of momentum in non-developing tropical disturbances, the initial vortex characterizing these disturbances also fails to develop into a hurricane.
The kinetic energy budgets corresponding to the integrations with the composite developing and non-developing disturbances are presented as a function of time. The calculations reveal that, during the early stages of development of the model hurricane, the conversion (Ek) from eddy kinetic energy to the kinetic energy of the mean hurricane circulation is larger than the conversion (CA) from potential to kinetic energy. The eddy process is, therefore, directly responsible for the early growth of the model hurricane. This is followed by an explosive increase in the rate of conversion from potential to kinetic energy and in the rate of kinetic energy dissipation (F). During the latter period, CA and F become almost an order of magnitude greater than the peak attained earlier by Ek, and the kinetic energy tendency reaches its peak. Without the eddy momentum flux forcing, no such explosive growth takes place.
The results of these integrations provide evidence that properly organized large-scale eddy fluxes of momentum may be an essential ingredient id the development of Atlantic hurricanes.
