A Linearized Convective Overturning Model for Prediction of Thunderstorm Movement

Adrian Marroquin Physics Department and Geophysical Research Center—Research and Development Division, New Mexico institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro 87801

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David J. Raymond Physics Department and Geophysical Research Center—Research and Development Division, New Mexico institute of Mining and Technology, Socorro 87801

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Abstract

A linearized model of convective overturning in shear for prediction of storm propagation is presented. Good correspondence between the model and observation is found for a number of case studies of real storms. Supercell storms, however, are an exception—the tendency to move to the right of the mean winds is not reproduced.

Abstract

A linearized model of convective overturning in shear for prediction of storm propagation is presented. Good correspondence between the model and observation is found for a number of case studies of real storms. Supercell storms, however, are an exception—the tendency to move to the right of the mean winds is not reproduced.

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