The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I Initiative: Description and Highlight Results from the Initial Analysis

Filippo Giorgi Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Erika Coppola Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Daniela Jacob Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Claas Teichmann Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Sabina Abba Omar Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Moetasim Ashfaq Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee;

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Nikolina Ban University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria;

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Katharina Bülow Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Melissa Bukovsky National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado;

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Lars Buntemeyer Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Tereza Cavazos Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Ensenada, Mexico;

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James Ciarlo` National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (INOGS), and Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Rosmeri Porfirio da Rocha University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil;

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Sushant Das Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Fabio di Sante National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (INOGS), and Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Jason P. Evans Climate Change Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia;

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Xuejie Gao Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;

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Graziano Giuliani Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Russell H. Glazer Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Peter Hoffmann Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Eun-Soon Im Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China;

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Gaby Langendijk Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Ludwig Lierhammer Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Marta Llopart São Paulo State University, São Paulo, Brazil;

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Sebastial Mueller Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Rosa Luna-Nino Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada, Ensenada, Mexico;

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Rita Nogherotto National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (INOGS), and Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Emanuela Pichelli Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Francesca Raffaele Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Michelle Reboita Federal University of Itajuba, Itajuba, Brazil;

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Diana Rechid Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Armelle Remedio Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Thomas Remke Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Windmanagda Sawadogo University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany

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Kevin Sieck Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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José Abraham Torres-Alavez Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy;

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Torsten Weber Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Hamburg, Germany;

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Abstract

We describe the first effort within the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment–Coordinated Output for Regional Evaluation, or CORDEX-CORE EXP-I. It consists of a set of twenty-first-century projections with two regional climate models (RCMs) downscaling three global climate model (GCM) simulations from the CMIP5 program, for two greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCP8.5 and RCP2.6), over nine CORDEX domains at ∼25-km grid spacing. Illustrative examples from the initial analysis of this ensemble are presented, covering a wide range of topics, such as added value of RCM nesting, extreme indices, tropical and extratropical storms, monsoons, ENSO, severe storm environments, emergence of change signals, and energy production. They show that the CORDEX-CORE EXP-I ensemble can provide downscaled information of unprecedented comprehensiveness to increase understanding of processes relevant for regional climate change and impacts, and to assess the added value of RCMs. The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I dataset, which will be incrementally augmented with new simulations, is intended to be a public resource available to the scientific and end-user communities for application to process studies, impacts on different socioeconomic sectors, and climate service activities. The future of the CORDEX-CORE initiative is also discussed.

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Filippo Giorgi, giorgi@ictp.it

Abstract

We describe the first effort within the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment–Coordinated Output for Regional Evaluation, or CORDEX-CORE EXP-I. It consists of a set of twenty-first-century projections with two regional climate models (RCMs) downscaling three global climate model (GCM) simulations from the CMIP5 program, for two greenhouse gas concentration pathways (RCP8.5 and RCP2.6), over nine CORDEX domains at ∼25-km grid spacing. Illustrative examples from the initial analysis of this ensemble are presented, covering a wide range of topics, such as added value of RCM nesting, extreme indices, tropical and extratropical storms, monsoons, ENSO, severe storm environments, emergence of change signals, and energy production. They show that the CORDEX-CORE EXP-I ensemble can provide downscaled information of unprecedented comprehensiveness to increase understanding of processes relevant for regional climate change and impacts, and to assess the added value of RCMs. The CORDEX-CORE EXP-I dataset, which will be incrementally augmented with new simulations, is intended to be a public resource available to the scientific and end-user communities for application to process studies, impacts on different socioeconomic sectors, and climate service activities. The future of the CORDEX-CORE initiative is also discussed.

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Filippo Giorgi, giorgi@ictp.it
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