Evaluation of a 5-Year Forecast

Joseph Vederman 350 Beirut Avenue, Pacific Palisades, Calif. 90272

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A forecast 5 years in advance for each of 6 successive days is verified. Although the forecast has some interesting features, forecasters did not rate it highly. The forecast correlates lower with verifying observations than a monthly normal forecast does.

A forecast 5 years in advance for each of 6 successive days is verified. Although the forecast has some interesting features, forecasters did not rate it highly. The forecast correlates lower with verifying observations than a monthly normal forecast does.

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