Cover Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
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Article Type:
Research Article

El Nino—Southern Oscillation Impact Prediction

Neville NichollsBureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Australia

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Online Publication:
01 Feb 1988
Print Publication:
01 Feb 1988
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1988)069<0173:ENOIP>2.0.CO;2
Page(s):
173–176
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The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon affects the atmosphere and ocean over much of the globe. The resultant atmospheric and oceanic anomalies can produce a variety of biological and societal impacts. Three examples of impacts that may be predictable by monitoring simple indices of ENSO are discussed. The advantages and disadvantages of such “direct” prediction of impacts are considered.

The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon affects the atmosphere and ocean over much of the globe. The resultant atmospheric and oceanic anomalies can produce a variety of biological and societal impacts. Three examples of impacts that may be predictable by monitoring simple indices of ENSO are discussed. The advantages and disadvantages of such “direct” prediction of impacts are considered.

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