Aspen Global Change Institute: 25 Years of Interdisciplinary Global Change Science

Gerald A. Meehl National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Gerald A. Meehl in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Richard Moss Pacific Northwest National Laboratory/Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, Maryland

Search for other papers by Richard Moss in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Global Global environmental changes, such as climate change, result from the interaction of human and natural systems. Understanding these changes and options for addressing them requires research in the physical, environmental, and social sciences, as well as engineering and other applied fields. In this essay, the authors provide their personal perspective on the role of the Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI) in global change science over the past 25 years—in particular, how it has contributed to the integration of the natural and social sciences needed to research the drivers of change, the Earth system response, natural and human system impacts, and options for risk management. Drawing on inputs from other AGCI participants, we illustrate how, in our view, the history of AGCI is intertwined with the evolution of global change science as it has become an increasingly interdisciplinary endeavor.

The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Gerald A. Meehl, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, E-mail: meehl@ucar.edu

Abstract

Global Global environmental changes, such as climate change, result from the interaction of human and natural systems. Understanding these changes and options for addressing them requires research in the physical, environmental, and social sciences, as well as engineering and other applied fields. In this essay, the authors provide their personal perspective on the role of the Aspen Global Change Institute (AGCI) in global change science over the past 25 years—in particular, how it has contributed to the integration of the natural and social sciences needed to research the drivers of change, the Earth system response, natural and human system impacts, and options for risk management. Drawing on inputs from other AGCI participants, we illustrate how, in our view, the history of AGCI is intertwined with the evolution of global change science as it has become an increasingly interdisciplinary endeavor.

The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Gerald A. Meehl, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, E-mail: meehl@ucar.edu
Save
  • Boer, G., G. A. Meehl, and D. Smith, 2015: Toward improving decadal climate predictions. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO041555.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • CCSP, 2008: Weather and climate extremes in a changing climate: Regions of focus; North America, Hawaii, Caribbean, and U.S. Pacific Islands. Synthesis and Assessment Product 3.3, U.S. Climate Change Science Program, NOAA/NCDC, 164 pp. [Available online at https://downloads.globalchange.gov/sap/sap3-3/sap3-3-final-all.pdf.]

  • Changnon, S. A., R. A. Pielke Jr., D. Changnon, R. T. Sylves, and R. Pulwarty, 2000: Human factors explain the increased losses from weather and climate extremes. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 437442, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0437:HFETIL>2.3.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Easterling, D. R., J. L. Evans, P. Ya. Groisman, T. R. Karl, K. E. Kunkel, and P. Ambenje, 2000a: Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: A brief review. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 417425, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0417:OVATIE>2.3.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Easterling, D. R., G. A. Meehl, C. Parmesan, S. Changnon, T. R. Karl, and L. O. Mearns, 2000b: Climate extremes: Observations, modeling and impacts. Science, 289, 20682074, doi:10.1126/science.289.5487.2068.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Eyring, V., S. Bony, G. A. Meehl, C. Senior, B. Stevens, R. J. Stouffer, and K. E. Taylor, 2016: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geosci. Model Develop., 9, 19371958, doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hibbard, K. A., G. A. Meehl, P. Cox, and P. Friedlingstein, 2007: A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 88, 217221, doi:10.1029/2007EO200002.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hulme, M., 2014: Climate change and virtue: An apologetic. Humanities, 3, 299312, doi:10.3390/h3030299.

  • IPCC, 1996: Climate Change 1995: The Science of Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, 572 pp.

  • Meehl, G. A., and D. S. Schimel, 1993: The coupled climate system and global change. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 74, 214, doi:10.1029/93EO00160.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994997, doi:10.1126/science.1098704.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and K. A. Hibbard, 2007: A strategy for climate change stabilization experiments with AOGCMs and ESMs. WCRP Informal Rep. 3/2007, ICPO Publ. 112, IGBP Rep. 57, 37 pp.

  • Meehl, G. A., and R. Moss, 2014: Twenty-five years of interdisciplinary global change science. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 95, 478, doi:10.1002/2014EO500007.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and Coauthors, 2000a: An introduction to trends in extreme weather and climate events: Observations, socioeconomic impacts, terrestrial ecological impacts, and model projections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 413416, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0413:AITTIE>2.3.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., F. Zwiers, J. Evans, T. Knutson, L. Mearns, and P. Whetton, 2000b: Trends in extreme weather and climate events: Issues related to modeling extremes in projections of future climate change. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 427436, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0427:TIEWAC>2.3.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and Coauthors, 2009: Decadal prediction: Can it be skillful? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 90, 14671485, doi:10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., R. Moss, K. E. Taylor, V. Eyring, R. J. Stouffer, S. Bony, and B. Stevens, 2014a: Climate model intercomparisons: Preparing for the next phase. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 95, 77, doi:10.1002/2014EO090001.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and Coauthors, 2014b: Decadal climate prediction: An update from the trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 243267, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moss, R. H., 2011: Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment. Climatic Change, 108, 641658, doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0182-x.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moss, R. H., 2015: Assessing decision support systems and levels of confidence to narrow the climate information “usability gap.” Climatic Change, 135, 143155, doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1549-1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moss, R. H., and S. H. Schneider, 1997: Characterizing and communicating scientific uncertainty: Building on the IPCC second assessment. Elements of Change 1996, S. J. Hassol and J. Katzenberger, Eds., Aspen Global Change Institute, 90–135.

  • Moss, R. H., and S. H. Schneider, 2001: Towards consistent assessment and reporting of uncertainties in the IPCC TAR. Cross Cutting Issues in the IPCC Third Assessment Report, R. Pachauri and T. Taniguchi, Eds., Global Industrial and Social Progress Research Institute, 33–52.

  • Moss, R. H., and Coauthors, 2010: The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment. Nature, 463, 747756, doi:10.1038/nature08823.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moss, R. H., and Coauthors, 2013: Hell and high water: Practice-relevant adaptation science. Science, 342, 696698, doi:10.1126/science.1239569.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • NRC, 2009: Informing Decisions in a Changing Climate. The National Academies Press, 200 pp. , doi:10.17226/12626.

  • O’Neill, B. C., J.-F. Lamarque, and D. Lawrence, 2014: Developing climate model comparisons. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 95, 462, doi:10.1002/2014EO490008.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Parmesan, C., T. L. Root, and M. R. Willig, 2000: Impacts of extreme weather and climate on terrestrial biota. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 443450, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2000)081<0443:IOEWAC>2.3.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sarewitz, D., 2011: Does climate change knowledge really matter? Wiley Interdiscip. Rev.: Climate Change, 2, 475481, doi:10.1002/wcc.126.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Somerville, R. C. J., and C. Gautier, 1995: Elements of change 1994: Climate-radiation feedbacks: The current state of the science. DOE Publ. DOE\ER-0661T, DOE\ER-0660T, UC-402, Aspen Global Change Institute, 123 pp.

  • USGCRP, 2012: The national global change research plan 2012–2021: A strategic plan for the U.S. Global Change Research Program. 132 pp. [Available online at http://data.globalchange.gov/assets/d0/67/6042585bce196769357e6501a78c/usgcrp-strategic-plan-2012.pdf.]

  • Weart, S. R., 2008: The Discovery of Global Warming: Revised and Expanded Edition. New Histories of Science, Technology, and Medicine, Harvard University Press, 240 pp.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 506 117 6
PDF Downloads 145 49 2