Global Precipitation Trends across Spatial Scales Using Satellite Observations

Phu Nguyen Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California, and Nong Lam University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

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Andrea Thorstensen Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Soroosh Sorooshian Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Kuolin Hsu Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Amir Aghakouchak Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Hamed Ashouri Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Hoang Tran Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Dan Braithwaite Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, California

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Abstract

Little dispute surrounds the observed global temperature changes over the past decades. As a result, there is widespread agreement that a corresponding response in the global hydrologic cycle must exist. However, exactly how such a response manifests remains unsettled. Here we use a unique recently developed long-term satellite-based record to assess changes in precipitation across spatial scales. We show that warm climate regions exhibit decreasing precipitation trends, while arid and polar climate regions show increasing trends. At the country scale, precipitation seems to have increased in 96 countries, and decreased in 104. We also explore precipitation changes over 237 global major basins. Our results show opposing trends at different scales, highlighting the importance of spatial scale in trend analysis. Furthermore, while the increasing global temperature trend is apparent in observations, the same cannot be said for the global precipitation trend according to the high-resolution dataset, PERSIANN-CDR, used in this study.

© 2018 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Phu Nguyen, ndphu@uci.edu

Abstract

Little dispute surrounds the observed global temperature changes over the past decades. As a result, there is widespread agreement that a corresponding response in the global hydrologic cycle must exist. However, exactly how such a response manifests remains unsettled. Here we use a unique recently developed long-term satellite-based record to assess changes in precipitation across spatial scales. We show that warm climate regions exhibit decreasing precipitation trends, while arid and polar climate regions show increasing trends. At the country scale, precipitation seems to have increased in 96 countries, and decreased in 104. We also explore precipitation changes over 237 global major basins. Our results show opposing trends at different scales, highlighting the importance of spatial scale in trend analysis. Furthermore, while the increasing global temperature trend is apparent in observations, the same cannot be said for the global precipitation trend according to the high-resolution dataset, PERSIANN-CDR, used in this study.

© 2018 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Phu Nguyen, ndphu@uci.edu
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