Rossby Wave Propagation and the Rapid Development of Upper-Level Anomalous Anticyclones during the 1988 U.S. Drought

Ping Chen NOAA/CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Ping Chen in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Matthew Newman NOAA/CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Matthew Newman in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

The upper-tropospheric circulation is investigated for the three months of April, May, and June 1988 during which the Great Plains region of the United States experienced one of its most severe droughts in history. It is found that during this period the April–June (AMJ) seasonal-mean anomaly was not representative of the variability of 10-day low-pass anomalies. Rather, over North America large fluctuations on monthly and shorter timescales occurred, with the dominant streamfunction anomalies not strongly anticyclonic until June. In fact, the AMJ anomaly was dominated by two episodes of rapidly developing, intense anomalous anticyclones in early and late June.

Examination of the daily 10-day low-pass streamfunction anomalies at 300 mb suggests that propagating Rossby waves originating in the west Pacific played a dominant role in the initiation of these intense anomalous anticyclones. Numerical experiments with a linear, time-dependent, barotropic model also support this hypothesis. These results suggest that the AMJ anomaly, which has been characterized as a wave train seemingly forced in the east Pacific, may not provide a useful picture of the circulation associated with the drought. Instead, the drought may be better studied not as a single seasonal event, but rather as a succession of events that together produced a serious hydrological deficit.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Matthew Newman, CIRES, University of Colorado, Campus Box 449, Boulder, CO 80309–0449.

Abstract

The upper-tropospheric circulation is investigated for the three months of April, May, and June 1988 during which the Great Plains region of the United States experienced one of its most severe droughts in history. It is found that during this period the April–June (AMJ) seasonal-mean anomaly was not representative of the variability of 10-day low-pass anomalies. Rather, over North America large fluctuations on monthly and shorter timescales occurred, with the dominant streamfunction anomalies not strongly anticyclonic until June. In fact, the AMJ anomaly was dominated by two episodes of rapidly developing, intense anomalous anticyclones in early and late June.

Examination of the daily 10-day low-pass streamfunction anomalies at 300 mb suggests that propagating Rossby waves originating in the west Pacific played a dominant role in the initiation of these intense anomalous anticyclones. Numerical experiments with a linear, time-dependent, barotropic model also support this hypothesis. These results suggest that the AMJ anomaly, which has been characterized as a wave train seemingly forced in the east Pacific, may not provide a useful picture of the circulation associated with the drought. Instead, the drought may be better studied not as a single seasonal event, but rather as a succession of events that together produced a serious hydrological deficit.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Matthew Newman, CIRES, University of Colorado, Campus Box 449, Boulder, CO 80309–0449.

Save
  • Atlas, R., N. Wolfson, and J. Terry, 1993: The effect of SST and soil moisture on GLA model simulations of the 1988 U.S. summer drought. J. Climate,6, 2034–2048.

  • Black, R. X., 1997: Deducing anomalous wave source regions during the life cycles of persistent flow anomalies. J. Atmos. Sci.,54, 895–907.

  • Chang, F. C., and J. M. Wallace, 1987: Meteorological conditions during heat waves and droughts in the United States Great Plains. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 1253–1269.

  • Ferranti, L., T. N. Palmer, F. Molteni, and E. Klinker, 1990: Tropical–extratropical interaction associated with the 30–60 day oscillation and its impact on medium and extended range prediction. J. Atmos. Sci.,47, 2177–2199.

  • Gruber, A., and A. F. Krueger, 1984: The status of the NOAA outgoing longwave radiation data set. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,65, 958–962.

  • Hoskins, B. J., and T. Ambrizzi, 1993: Rossby wave propagation on a realistic longitudinally varying flow. J. Atmos. Sci.,50, 1661–1671.

  • Janowiak, J. E., 1988: The global climate for March–May 1988: The end of the 1986–87 Pacific warm episode and the onset of widespread drought in the United States. J. Climate,1, 1019–1040.

  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,77, 437–471.

  • Karoly, D. J., R. A. Plumb, and M. Ting, 1989: Examples of horizontal propagation of quasi-stationary waves. J. Atmos. Sci.,46, 2802–2811.

  • Liebmann, B., and C. A. Smith, 1996: Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,77, 1275–1277.

  • Lyon, B., and R. M. Dole, 1995: A diagnostic comparison of the 1980 and 1988 U.S. summer heat wave–droughts. J. Climate,8, 1658–1675.

  • Mo, K. C., J. R. Zimmerman, E. Kalnay, and M. Kanamitsu, 1991: A GCM study of the 1988 United States drought. Mon. Wea. Rev.,119, 1512–1532.

  • Namias, J., 1991: Spring and summer 1988 drought over the contiguous United States—Causes and prediction. J. Climate,4, 54–65.

  • Newman, M., and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1998: The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American response to remote low-frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci.,55, 1336–1353.

  • Nitta, T., 1987: Convective activities in the tropical western Pacific and their impact on the Northern Hemisphere summer circulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan,65, 373–390.

  • NOAA, 1988: Drought advisory 88/12. Summary of conditions and impacts. [Available from Climate Prediction Center, NOAA, World Weather Building, Washington, DC 20233.].

  • Palmer, T. N., and C. Brankovic, 1989: The 1988 United States drought linked to anomalous sea surface temperature. Nature,338, 54–57.

  • Plumb, R. A., 1985: On the three-dimensional propagation of stationary waves. J. Atmos. Sci.,42, 217–229.

  • Rasmusson, E. M., 1968: Atmospheric water vapor transport and the water balance of North America. Part II. Large-scale water balance investigations. Mon. Wea. Rev.,96, 720–734.

  • Riebsame, W. E., S. A. Changnon Jr., and T. R. Karl, 1991: Drought and Natural Resources Management in the United States—Impacts and Implications of the 1987–1989 Drought. Westview Press, 174 pp.

  • Ropelewski, C. F., 1988: The global climate for June–August 1988:A swing to the positive phase of the Southern Oscillation, drought in the United States, and abundant rain in the monsoon areas. J. Climate,1, 1153–1174.

  • Sardeshmukh, P. D., and B. J. Hoskins, 1988: The generation of global rotational flow by steady idealized tropical divergence. J. Atmos. Sci.,45, 1228–1251.

  • Shukla, J., and Y. Mintz, 1982: The influence of land-surface evaporation on the earth’s climate. Science,215, 1498–1501.

  • Spencer, R. W., 1993: Global oceanic precipitation from the MSU during 1979–91 and comparisons to other climatologies. J. Climate,6, 1301–1326.

  • Trenberth, K. E., and G. W. Branstator, 1992: Issues in establishing causes of the 1988 drought over North America. J. Climate,5, 159–172.

  • ——, ——, and P. A. Arkin, 1988: Origins of the 1988 North American drought. Science,242, 1640–1645.

  • Wolfson, N., R. Atlas, and Y. C. Sud, 1987: Numerical experiments related to the summer 1980 U.S. heat wave. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 1346–1357.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1096 494 37
PDF Downloads 350 61 2