Tropical Stabilization of the Thermohaline Circulation in a Greenhouse Warming Simulation

M. Latif Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

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E. Roeckner Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

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U. Mikolajewicz Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

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R. Voss Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Hamburg, Germany

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Abstract

Most global climate models simulate a weakening of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) in response to enhanced greenhouse warming. Both surface warming and freshening in high latitudes, the so-called sinking region, contribute to the weakening of the THC. Some models even simulate a complete breakdown of the THC at sufficiently strong forcing. Here results are presented from a state-of-the-art global climate model that does not simulate a weakening of the THC in response to greenhouse warming. Large-scale air–sea interactions in the Tropics, similar to those operating during present-day El Niños, lead to anomalously high salinities in the tropical Atlantic. These are advected into the sinking region, thereby increasing the surface density and compensating the effects of the local warming and freshening.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Mojib Latif, Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Bundesstrasse 55, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany.

Abstract

Most global climate models simulate a weakening of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) in response to enhanced greenhouse warming. Both surface warming and freshening in high latitudes, the so-called sinking region, contribute to the weakening of the THC. Some models even simulate a complete breakdown of the THC at sufficiently strong forcing. Here results are presented from a state-of-the-art global climate model that does not simulate a weakening of the THC in response to greenhouse warming. Large-scale air–sea interactions in the Tropics, similar to those operating during present-day El Niños, lead to anomalously high salinities in the tropical Atlantic. These are advected into the sinking region, thereby increasing the surface density and compensating the effects of the local warming and freshening.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Mojib Latif, Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Bundesstrasse 55, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany.

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