Interannual to Multidecadal Timescale Climate Variations in the Northeast Pacific

Daniel M. Ware Pacific Biological Station, Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada

Search for other papers by Daniel M. Ware in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Richard E. Thomson Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney, British Columbia, Canada

Search for other papers by Richard E. Thomson in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Analysis of five, long-term coastal air temperature records, reconstructed from tree ring growth patterns, indicate that the climate of the northeast Pacific Ocean has oscillated at three dominant timescales over the last 400 years: the well-known 2–8-yr El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) timescale, a 20–40-yr interdecadal timescale, and a 60–80-yr multidecadal timescale. The latter oscillation has been the dominant mode of air temperature variability along the west coast of North America over the last 400 years. During this period, there have been conspicuous temporal modulations of the ENSO and the interdecadal signals. Low-frequency temperature oscillations at periods greater than 10 years in the northeast Pacific have been significantly coherent and in-phase from southern California to British Columbia. However, with the exception of the ENSO signal, higher-frequency variability has been weakly coherent along the west coast. Recent work suggests that the interdecadal oscillation is a worldwide phenomenon that relies on global-scale air–sea interactions to explain its existence. Superimposed on this global pattern are basin-scale interactions that force regional variability in ocean climate.

Corresponding author address: Daniel Ware, Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Pacific Biological Station, Nanaimo, BC V9R 5K6 Canada.

Abstract

Analysis of five, long-term coastal air temperature records, reconstructed from tree ring growth patterns, indicate that the climate of the northeast Pacific Ocean has oscillated at three dominant timescales over the last 400 years: the well-known 2–8-yr El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) timescale, a 20–40-yr interdecadal timescale, and a 60–80-yr multidecadal timescale. The latter oscillation has been the dominant mode of air temperature variability along the west coast of North America over the last 400 years. During this period, there have been conspicuous temporal modulations of the ENSO and the interdecadal signals. Low-frequency temperature oscillations at periods greater than 10 years in the northeast Pacific have been significantly coherent and in-phase from southern California to British Columbia. However, with the exception of the ENSO signal, higher-frequency variability has been weakly coherent along the west coast. Recent work suggests that the interdecadal oscillation is a worldwide phenomenon that relies on global-scale air–sea interactions to explain its existence. Superimposed on this global pattern are basin-scale interactions that force regional variability in ocean climate.

Corresponding author address: Daniel Ware, Department of Fisheries and Oceans, Pacific Biological Station, Nanaimo, BC V9R 5K6 Canada.

Save
  • Cayan, D. R., 1980: Regimes and events in recent climatic variables. Calif. Coop. Oceanic Fish. Invest. Rep.,21, 90–101.

  • ——, D. R. McLain, W. D. Nichols, and J. S. DiLeo-Stevens, 1991:Monthly climatic time series data for the Pacific Oceans and western Americas. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Rep. 91– 92, 380 pp. [Available from American Geophysical Union, 2000 Florida Ave. NW, Washington, DC 20009.].

  • Cook, R., B. Buckley, and R. D. Arrigo, 1995: Interdecadal temperature oscillations in the Southern Hemisphere: Evidence from Tasmanian tree rings since 300 B.C. Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales. D. G. Martinson et al., Eds., National Academy Press, 523–532.

  • Douglas, A. V., 1980: Geophysical estimates of sea-surface temperatures off western North America since 1671. Calif. Coop. Oceanic Fish. Invest. Rep.,21, 102–112.

  • Ebbesmeyer, C. C., D. R. Cayan, D. R. McLain, F. H. Nichols, D. H. Peterson, and K. T. Redmond, 1991: 1976 step in the Pacific climate: Forty environmental changes between 1968 and 1975 and 1977–1984. Proc. Seventh Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop. Tech. Rep. 26, Asilomar, CA, California Department of Water Resources, 115–126.

  • Emery, W. J., and R. E. Thomson, 1998: Data Analysis Methods in Physical Oceanography. Pergamon Press, 634 pp.

  • Fritts, H. C., 1991: Reconstructing Large-Scale Climatic Patterns from Tree-Ring Data. University of Arizona Press, 286 pp.

  • ——, and J. M. Lough, 1985: An estimate of the average annual temperature variations for North America, 1602 to 1961. Climatic Change,7, 203–224.

  • Gershunov, A., and T. P. Barnett, 1998: Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,79, 2715– 2725.

  • Hsieh, W. W., D. M. Ware, and R. E. Thomson, 1995: Wind-induced upwelling along the west coast of North America, 1899–1988. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci.,52, 325–334.

  • Latif, M., and T. Barnett, 1996: Decadal climate variability over the North Pacific and North America: Dynamics and predictability. J. Climate,9, 2407–2423.

  • Mann, E. M., J. Park, and R. S. Bradley, 1995: Global interdecadal and century-scale climate oscillations during the past five centuries. Nature,378, 266–270.

  • Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis, 1997: A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,78, 1069–1079.

  • Michaelson, J., 1989: Long-period fluctuations in El Niño amplitude and frequency reconstructed from tree-rings. Geophys. Monogr., No. 55, Amer. Geophys. Union, 69–74.

  • Minobe, S., 1997: An oscillation of period 50–70 years over the North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett.,24, 683–686.

  • ——, 1999: Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific: Role in climatic regime shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett.,26, 855–858.

  • Rasmusson, E. M., X. Wang, and C. F. Ropelewski, 1995: Secular variability of the ENSO cycle. Natural Climate Variability on Decade-to-Century Time Scales, D. G. Martinson et al., Eds., National Academy Press, 458–471.

  • Roden, G. I., 1989: Analysis and interpretation of long-term climatic variability along the west coast of North America. Geophys. Monogr., No. 55, Amer. Geophys. Union, 93–111.

  • Royer, T. C., 1989: Upper ocean temperature variability in the northeast Pacific Ocean: Is it an indicator of global warming? J. Geophys. Res.,94, 18 175–18 183.

  • Schwing, F. B., 1994: Long-term and seasonal patterns in coastal temperature and salinity along the North American west coast. Proc. Tenth Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop. Tech. Rep. 36, Asilomar, CA, California Department of Water Resources, 1–15.

  • Scuderi, L. A., 1993: A 2000-year tree ring record of annual temperatures in the Sierra Nevada mountains. Science,29, 1433– 1436.

  • Ware, D. M., 1995: A century and a half of change in the climate of the NE Pacific. Fish. Oceanogr.,4, 267–277.

  • ——, and R. E. Thomson, 1991: Link between long-term variability in upwelling and fish production in the northeast Pacific Ocean. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci.,48, 2296–2306.

  • White, W. B., and D. R. Cayan, 1998: Quasi-periodicity and global symmetries in interdecadal upper ocean temperature variability. J. Geophys. Res.,103, 21 335–21 354.

  • Yukimoto, S., M. Endoh, Y. Kitamura, A. Kitoh, T. Motoi, A. Noda, and T. Tokioka, 1996: Interannual and interdecadal variabilities in the Pacific in an MRI coupled GCM. Climate Dyn.,12, 667– 683.

  • ——, ——, ——, ——, ——, and ——, 2000: ENSO-like interdecadal variability in the Pacific Ocean as simulated in a coupled general circulation model. J. Geophys. Res., in press.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 378 110 50
PDF Downloads 132 22 1