Indian Monsoon Onset and the Americas Midsummer Drought: Out-of-Equilibrium Responses to Smooth Seasonal Forcing

Brian E. Mapes NOAA–CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Brian E. Mapes in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Ping Liu International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii

Search for other papers by Ping Liu in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Nikolaus Buenning NOAA–CIRES Climate Diagnostics Center, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Nikolaus Buenning in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Two dominant high-frequency features of Northern Hemisphere summer climatology are examined in an atmosphere–land general circulation model (AGCM): the sudden onset of rains in south Asia, and the midsummer rainfall minimum in the tropical Americas. A control simulation succeeds in capturing these observed features fairly well. A slowed-calendar experiment is performed, to see whether these features are close to equilibrium with seasonally evolving forcings (orbital geometry and SST). The results indicate that some lag (disequilbrium) within the AGCM delays south Asian onset by about a month, from May in the experiment when seasonal forcing evolves extremely slowly to June in the normal, full-speed seasonal cycle. Disequilibrium also acts to delay and limit the amplitude of the Americas midsummer drought, and the associated intrusion of the Atlantic subtropical high into the Intra-Americas Seas’ region. It is hypothesized that early summer (centered on the solstice) temperature over mid- and high-latitude continents, which differs greatly between experiment and control, drives the low-latitude rainfall differences. A more mysterious pole-to-pole, annual-mean, zonal wave-1 difference is also found in the slowed-calendar experiment.

Corresponding author address: Brian Mapes, RSMAS, University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149. Email: bmapes@rsmas.miami.edu

Abstract

Two dominant high-frequency features of Northern Hemisphere summer climatology are examined in an atmosphere–land general circulation model (AGCM): the sudden onset of rains in south Asia, and the midsummer rainfall minimum in the tropical Americas. A control simulation succeeds in capturing these observed features fairly well. A slowed-calendar experiment is performed, to see whether these features are close to equilibrium with seasonally evolving forcings (orbital geometry and SST). The results indicate that some lag (disequilbrium) within the AGCM delays south Asian onset by about a month, from May in the experiment when seasonal forcing evolves extremely slowly to June in the normal, full-speed seasonal cycle. Disequilibrium also acts to delay and limit the amplitude of the Americas midsummer drought, and the associated intrusion of the Atlantic subtropical high into the Intra-Americas Seas’ region. It is hypothesized that early summer (centered on the solstice) temperature over mid- and high-latitude continents, which differs greatly between experiment and control, drives the low-latitude rainfall differences. A more mysterious pole-to-pole, annual-mean, zonal wave-1 difference is also found in the slowed-calendar experiment.

Corresponding author address: Brian Mapes, RSMAS, University of Miami, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149. Email: bmapes@rsmas.miami.edu

Save
  • Chen, P., M. P. Hoerling, and R. M. Dole, 2001: The origin of the subtropical anticyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 58 , 18271835.

  • deMenocal, P. B., J. Ortiz, T. Guilderson, J. Adkins, M. Sarnthein, L. Baker, and M. Yarusinsky, 2000: Abrupt onset and termination of the African Humid Period: Rapid climate responses to gradual insolation forcing. Quat. Sci. Rev., 19 , 347361.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Knaff, J. A., 1997: Implications of summertime sea level pressure anomalies in the tropical Atlantic region. J. Climate, 10 , 789804.

  • Magaña, V., J. A. Amador, and S. Medina, 1999: The mid-summer drought over Mexico and Central America. J. Climate, 12 , 15771588.

  • North, G. R., and J. A. Coakley Jr, 1979: Differences between seasonal and mean annual energy balance model calculations of climate and climate sensitivity. J. Atmos. Sci., 36 , 11891204.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Plumb, R. A., and A. Y. Hou, 1992: The response of a zonally symmetric atmosphere to subtropical thermal forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 49 , 17901799.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Portig, W. H., 1961: Some climatological data of Salvador, Central America. Weather, 16 , 103112.

  • Rodwell, M. J., and B. J. Hoskins, 2001: Subtropical anticyclones and summer monsoons. J. Climate, 14 , 31923211.

  • Roeckner, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day climate. Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie Rep. 218, 90 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sundqvist, J. M., 1978: A parameterization scheme for non-convective condensation including prediction of cloud water content. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 104 , 677690.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Tiedtke, M., 1989: A comprehensive mass flux scheme for cumulus parameterization in large-scale models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 117 , 17791800.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Trenberth, K. E., 1983: What are the seasons? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 64 , 12761277.

  • Wang, B., and X. Xu, 1997: Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon singularities and climatological intraseasonal oscillation. J. Climate, 10 , 10711085.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, B., and Lin Ho, 2002: Rainy season of the Asian–Pacific summer monsoon. J. Climate, 15 , 386398.

  • Xie, P., and P. A. Arkin, 1997: Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78 , 25392558.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Xie, S-P., and N. Saiki, 1999: Abrupt onset and slow seasonal evolution of summer monsoon in an idealized GCM simulation. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77 , 949968.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yin, M. T., 1949: A synoptic-aerologic study of the onset of the summer monsoon over India and Burma. J. Meteor., 6 , 393400.

  • Zhang, Y., and I. M. Held, 1999: A linear stochastic model of a GCM’s midlatitude storm tracks. J. Atmos. Sci., 56 , 34163435.

  • Zwiers, F. W., and G. J. Boer, 1987: A comparison of climates simulated by a general circulation model when run in the annual cycle and perpetual modes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115 , 26262644.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 831 306 24
PDF Downloads 196 35 1