The Climate of the McMurdo, Antarctica, Region as Represented by One Year of Forecasts from the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System

Andrew J. Monaghan Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, and Atmospheric Sciences Program, Department of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio

Search for other papers by Andrew J. Monaghan in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
David H. Bromwich Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, and Atmospheric Sciences Program, Department of Geography, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio

Search for other papers by David H. Bromwich in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Jordan G. Powers Mesocale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Jordan G. Powers in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Kevin W. Manning Mesocale and Microscale Meteorology Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Kevin W. Manning in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

In response to the need for improved weather prediction capabilities in support of the U.S. Antarctic Program’s Antarctic field operations, the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) was implemented in October 2000. AMPS employs a limited-area model, the Polar fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5), optimized for use over ice sheets. Twice-daily forecasts from the 3.3-km resolution domain of AMPS are joined together to study the climate of the McMurdo region from June 2002 to May 2003. Annual and seasonal distributions of wind direction and speed, 2-m temperature, mean sea level pressure, precipitation, and cloud fraction are presented. This is the first time a model adapted for polar use and with relatively high resolution is used to study the climate of the rugged McMurdo region, allowing several important climatological features to be investigated with unprecedented detail.

Orographic effects exert an important influence on the near-surface winds. Time-mean vortices occur in the lee of Ross Island, perhaps a factor in the high incidence of mesoscale cyclogenesis noted in this area. The near-surface temperature gradient is oriented northwest to southeast with the warmest temperatures in the northwest near McMurdo and the gradient being steepest in winter. The first-ever detailed precipitation maps of the region are presented. Orographic precipitation maxima occur on the southerly slopes of Ross Island and in the mountains to the southwest. The source of the moisture is primarily from the large synoptic systems passing to the northeast and east of Ross Island. A precipitation-shadow effect appears to be an important influence on the low precipitation amounts observed in the McMurdo Dry Valleys. Total cloud fraction primarily depends on the amount of open water in the Ross Sea; the cloudiest region is to the northeast of Ross Island in the vicinity of the Ross Sea polynya.

* Byrd Polar Research Center Contribution Number 1314

Corresponding author address: Andrew J. Monaghan, Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, 1090 Carmack Rd., Columbus, OH 43210. Email: monaghan@polarmet1.mps.ohio-state.edu

Abstract

In response to the need for improved weather prediction capabilities in support of the U.S. Antarctic Program’s Antarctic field operations, the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) was implemented in October 2000. AMPS employs a limited-area model, the Polar fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5), optimized for use over ice sheets. Twice-daily forecasts from the 3.3-km resolution domain of AMPS are joined together to study the climate of the McMurdo region from June 2002 to May 2003. Annual and seasonal distributions of wind direction and speed, 2-m temperature, mean sea level pressure, precipitation, and cloud fraction are presented. This is the first time a model adapted for polar use and with relatively high resolution is used to study the climate of the rugged McMurdo region, allowing several important climatological features to be investigated with unprecedented detail.

Orographic effects exert an important influence on the near-surface winds. Time-mean vortices occur in the lee of Ross Island, perhaps a factor in the high incidence of mesoscale cyclogenesis noted in this area. The near-surface temperature gradient is oriented northwest to southeast with the warmest temperatures in the northwest near McMurdo and the gradient being steepest in winter. The first-ever detailed precipitation maps of the region are presented. Orographic precipitation maxima occur on the southerly slopes of Ross Island and in the mountains to the southwest. The source of the moisture is primarily from the large synoptic systems passing to the northeast and east of Ross Island. A precipitation-shadow effect appears to be an important influence on the low precipitation amounts observed in the McMurdo Dry Valleys. Total cloud fraction primarily depends on the amount of open water in the Ross Sea; the cloudiest region is to the northeast of Ross Island in the vicinity of the Ross Sea polynya.

* Byrd Polar Research Center Contribution Number 1314

Corresponding author address: Andrew J. Monaghan, Polar Meteorology Group, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, 1090 Carmack Rd., Columbus, OH 43210. Email: monaghan@polarmet1.mps.ohio-state.edu

Save
  • Armstrong, T., B. Roberts, and C. Swithinbank, 1973: Illustrated Glossary of Snow and Ice. Scott Polar Research Institute, 60 pp.

  • Bell, G. D., and L. F. Bosart, 1988: Appalachian cold-air damming. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116 , 137161.

  • Bromwich, D. H., 1988a: A satellite study of barrier-wind airflow around Ross Island. Antarct. J. U.S., 23 , 167169.

  • Bromwich, D. H., 1988b: Snowfall at high southern latitudes. Rev. Geophys., 26 , 149168.

  • Bromwich, D. H., 1989: Satellite analyses of Antarctic katabatic wind behavior. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 70 , 738749.

  • Bromwich, D. H., 1991: Mesoscale cyclogenesis over the southwestern Ross Sea linked to strong katabatic winds. Mon. Wea. Rev., 119 , 17361752.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bromwich, D. H., and T. R. Parish, Eds. 2002: Scientific motivation for the Ross Island Meteorology Experiment (RIME). BPRC Miscellaneous Series M-425, Byrd Polar Research Center, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, 14 pp.

  • Bromwich, D. H., J. F. Carrasco, and C. R. Stearns, 1992: Satellite observations of katabatic wind propagation for great distances across the Ross Ice Shelf. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120 , 19401949.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bromwich, D. H., Z. Liu, A. N. Rogers, and M. L. Van Woert, 1998: Winter atmospheric forcing of the Ross Sea Polynya. Ocean, Ice and Atmosphere: Interactions at the Antarctic Continental Margin, S. S. Jacobs and R. Weiss, Eds., Antarctic Research Series, Vol. 75, Amer. Geophys. Union, 101–133.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bromwich, D. H., J. J. Cassano, T. Klein, G. Heinemann, K. M. Hines, K. Steffen, and J. E. Box, 2001: Mesoscale modeling of katabatic winds over Greenland with the Polar MM5. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129 , 22902309.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bromwich, D. H., A. J. Monaghan, J. G. Powers, J. J. Cassano, H. Wei, Y. Kuo, and A. Pellegrini, 2003: Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS): A case study from the 2000/2001 field season. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131 , 412434.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bromwich, D. H., A. J. Monaghan, J. G. Powers, and K. W. Manning, 2005: Real-time forecasting for the Antarctic: An evaluation of the Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS). Mon. Wea. Rev., 133 , 579603.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bull, C., 1966: Climatological observations in ice-free areas of southern Victoria Land, Antarctica. Studies in Antarctic Meteorology, M. J. Rubin, Ed., Antarctic Research Series, Vol. 9, Amer. Geophys. Union, 177–194.

  • Carrasco, J. F., and D. H. Bromwich, 1994: Climatological aspects of mesoscale cyclogenesis over the Ross Sea and Ross Ice Shelf regions of Antarctica. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122 , 24052425.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Carrasco, J. F., and D. H. Bromwich, 1996: Mesoscale cyclone activity near Terra Nova Bay and Byrd Glacier, Antarctica during 1991. Global Atmos. Ocean Syst., 5 , 4372.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Carrasco, J. F., D. H. Bromwich, and A. J. Monaghan, 2003: Distribution and characteristics of mesoscale cyclones in the Antarctic: Ross Sea eastward to the Weddell Sea. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131 , 289301.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cassano, J. J., J. E. Box, D. H. Bromwich, L. Li, and K. Steffen, 2001: Verification of Polar MM5 simulations of Greenland’s atmospheric circulation. J. Geophys. Res., 106 , 1386713890.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Doran, P. T., C. P. McKay, G. D. Clow, G. L. Dana, A. G. Fountain, T. Nylen, and W. B. Lyons, 2002: Valley floor climate observations from the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica, 1986–2000. J. Geophys. Res., 107 .4772, doi:10.1029/2001JD002045.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gallée, H., 1996: Mesoscale atmospheric circulations over the southwestern Ross Sea sector, Antarctica. J. Appl. Meteor., 35 , 11291141.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Grell, G. L., J. Dudhia, and D. R. Stauffer, 1994: A description of the fifth-generation Penn State/NCAR mesoscale model (MM5). NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-398+STR, 117 pp.

  • Guo, Z., D. H. Bromwich, and J. J. Cassano, 2003: Evaluation of Polar MM5 simulations of Antarctic atmospheric circulation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131 , 384411.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Holmes, R., and C. R. Stearns, 1995: Use of automatic weather station data for forecasting high wind speed events at Pegasus Runway. Antarct. J. U.S., 30 , 329331.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Holmes, R., C. Stearns, G. Weidner, and L. Keller, 2000: Utilization of automatic weather station data for forecasting high wind speed events at Pegasus Runway, Antarctica. Wea. Forecasting, 15 , 137151.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Keys, J. R., 1980: Air temperature, wind, precipitation and atmospheric humidity in the McMurdo region. Department of Geology Publication 17, Antarctic Data Series 9, Victoria University, Wellington, New Zealand, 57 pp.

  • Liu, H., K. C. Jezek, and B. Li, 1999: Development of an Antarctic digital elevation model by integrating cartographic and remotely sensed data: A geographic information system based approach. J. Geophys. Res., 104 , 2319923213.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mather, K. B., and G. S. Miller, 1967: Notes on topographic factors affecting the surface wind in Antarctica, with special reference to katabatic winds. University of Alaska Tech. Rep. U.A.G. R-189, 125 pp.

  • Monaghan, A. J., D. H. Bromwich, H. Wei, A. M. Cayette, J. G. Powers, Y. H. Kuo, and M. Lazzara, 2003: Performance of weather forecast models in the rescue of Dr. Ronald Shemenski from the South Pole in April 2001. Wea. Forecasting, 18 , 142160.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • National Antarctic Expedition, 1901–1904, 1908: Meteorology Part 1. Observations at Winter Quarters and on Sledge Journeys, with Discussions by Various Authors. Royal Society, 548 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Nuss, W. A., and D. W. Titley, 1994: Use of multiquadric interpolation for meteorological objective analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122 , 16111631.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • O’Connor, W. P., and D. H. Bromwich, 1988: Surface airflow around Windless Bight, Ross Island, Antarctica. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 114 , 917938.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • O’Connor, W. P., D. H. Bromwich, and J. F. Carraso, 1994: Cyclonically-forced barrier winds along the Transantarctic Mountains near Ross Island. Mon. Wea. Rev., 122 , 137150.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Powers, J. G., A. J. Monaghan, A. M. Cayette, D. H. Bromwich, Y-H. Kuo, and K. W. Manning, 2003: Real-time mesoscale modeling over Antarctica: The Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84 , 15331545.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Riordan, A. J., 1975: The climate of Vanda Station, Antarctica. Climate of the Arctic, G. Weller and S. A. Bowling, Eds., Geophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks, 268–275.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Savage, M. L., and C. R. Stearns, 1985: Climate in the vicinity of Ross Island. Antarctica. Antarct. J. U.S., 20 , 19.

  • Scott, R. F., 1907: The Voyage of the “Discovery.”. Vol. 1, C. Scribner’s Sons, 410 pp.

  • Seefeldt, M. W., G. J. Tripoli, and C. R. Stearns, 2003: A high-resolution numerical simulation of the wind flow in the Ross Island region, Antarctica. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131 , 435458.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Simmonds, I., K. Keay, and E-P. Lim, 2003: Synoptic activity in the seas around Antarctica. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131 , 272288.

  • Simpson, G. G., 1919: Meteorology. Vol. 1, British Antarctic Expedition 1910–1913, Thacker, Spink and Co., 326 pp.

  • Sinclair, M. R., 1982: Weather observations in the Ross Island area, Antarctica. New Zealand Meteorological Service Tech. Note 253, 36 pp.

  • Slotten, H. R., and C. R. Stearns, 1987: Observations of the dynamics and kinematics of the atmospheric surface layer on the Ross Ice Shelf, Antarctica. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 26 , 17311743.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stearns, C. R., 1997: Ross Island area wind field. Antarct. J. U.S., 33 , 181182.

  • Stearns, C. R., and G. A. Weidner, 1993: Snow temperature, wind speed, and wind direction around the Pegasus Runway during 1992. Antarct. J. U.S., 28 , 291294.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stearns, C. R., L. M. Keller, G. A. Weidner, and M. Sievers, 1993: Monthly mean climatic data for Antarctic automatic weather stations. Antarctic Meteorology and Climatology: Studies Based on Antarctic Automatic Weather Stations, D. H. Bromwich and C. R. Stearns, Eds., Antarctic Research Series, Vol. 61, Amer. Geophys. Union, 1–22.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stull, R. B., 1988: An Introduction to Boundary Layer Meteorology. Kluwer Academic, 666 pp.

  • Thompson, D. C., 1968: Eleven years of temperature records at Scott Base. Antarctic, 5 , 7677.

  • Thompson, D. C., 1969: The coreless winter at Scott Base, Antarctica. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 95 , 404407.

  • Thompson, D. C., and W. J. P. McDonald, 1961: Meteorology, Scott Base. N. Z. Dep. Sci, Industr. Res. Bull., 140 , 3755.

  • Thompson, D. C., and W. J. P. McDonald, 1962: Radiation measurements at Scott Base. N. Z. J. Geol. Geophys., 5 , 874909.

  • van Loon, H., 1967: The half-yearly oscillations in the middle and high southern latitudes and the coreless winter. J. Atmos. Sci., 24 , 472486.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zwally, H. J., J. C. Comiso, and A. L. Gordon, 1985: Antarctic offshore leads and polynyas and oceanographic effects. Oceanology of the Antarctic Continental Shelf, S. S. Jacobs, Ed., Antarctic Research Series, Vol. 43, Amer. Geophys. Union, 203–226.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1151 348 29
PDF Downloads 661 181 21