Attribution and Impacts of Upper-Ocean Biases in CCSM3

W. G. Large National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado

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G. Danabasoglu National Center for Atmospheric Research,* Boulder, Colorado

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Abstract

The largest and potentially most important ocean near-surface biases are examined in the Community Climate System Model coupled simulation of present-day conditions. They are attributed to problems in the component models of the ocean or atmosphere, or both. Tropical biases in sea surface salinity (SSS) are associated with precipitation errors, with the most striking being a band of excess rainfall across the South Pacific at about 8°S. Cooler-than-observed equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) is necessary to control a potentially catastrophic positive feedback, involving precipitation along the equator. The strength of the wind-driven gyres and interbasin exchange is in reasonable agreement with observations, despite the generally too strong near-surface winds. However, the winds drive far too much transport through Drake Passage [>190 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1)], but with little effect on SST and SSS. Problems with the width, separation, and location of western boundary currents and their extensions create large correlated SST and SSS biases in midlatitudes. Ocean model deficiencies are suspected because similar signals are seen in uncoupled ocean solutions, but there is no evidence of serious remote impacts. The seasonal cycles of SST and winds in the equatorial Pacific are not well represented, and numerical experiments suggest that these problems are initiated by the coupling of either or both wind components. The largest mean SST biases develop along the eastern boundaries of subtropical gyres, and the overall coupled model response is found to be linear. In the South Atlantic, surface currents advect these biases across much of the tropical basin. Significant precipitation responses are found both in the northwest Indian Ocean, and locally where the net result is the loss of an identifiable Atlantic intertropical convergence zone, which can be regained by controlling the coastal temperatures and salinities. Biases off South America and Baja California are shown to significantly degrade precipitation across the Pacific, subsurface ocean properties on both sides of the equator, and the seasonal cycle of equatorial SST in the eastern Pacific. These signals extend beyond the reach of surface currents, so connections via the atmosphere and subsurface ocean are implicated. Other experimental results indicate that the local atmospheric forcing is only part of the problem along eastern boundaries, with the representation of ocean upwelling another likely contributor.

* The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation

Corresponding author address: Dr. W. G. Large, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307. Email: wily@ncar.ucar.edu

Abstract

The largest and potentially most important ocean near-surface biases are examined in the Community Climate System Model coupled simulation of present-day conditions. They are attributed to problems in the component models of the ocean or atmosphere, or both. Tropical biases in sea surface salinity (SSS) are associated with precipitation errors, with the most striking being a band of excess rainfall across the South Pacific at about 8°S. Cooler-than-observed equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) is necessary to control a potentially catastrophic positive feedback, involving precipitation along the equator. The strength of the wind-driven gyres and interbasin exchange is in reasonable agreement with observations, despite the generally too strong near-surface winds. However, the winds drive far too much transport through Drake Passage [>190 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1)], but with little effect on SST and SSS. Problems with the width, separation, and location of western boundary currents and their extensions create large correlated SST and SSS biases in midlatitudes. Ocean model deficiencies are suspected because similar signals are seen in uncoupled ocean solutions, but there is no evidence of serious remote impacts. The seasonal cycles of SST and winds in the equatorial Pacific are not well represented, and numerical experiments suggest that these problems are initiated by the coupling of either or both wind components. The largest mean SST biases develop along the eastern boundaries of subtropical gyres, and the overall coupled model response is found to be linear. In the South Atlantic, surface currents advect these biases across much of the tropical basin. Significant precipitation responses are found both in the northwest Indian Ocean, and locally where the net result is the loss of an identifiable Atlantic intertropical convergence zone, which can be regained by controlling the coastal temperatures and salinities. Biases off South America and Baja California are shown to significantly degrade precipitation across the Pacific, subsurface ocean properties on both sides of the equator, and the seasonal cycle of equatorial SST in the eastern Pacific. These signals extend beyond the reach of surface currents, so connections via the atmosphere and subsurface ocean are implicated. Other experimental results indicate that the local atmospheric forcing is only part of the problem along eastern boundaries, with the representation of ocean upwelling another likely contributor.

* The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation

Corresponding author address: Dr. W. G. Large, National Center for Atmospheric Research, P.O. Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307. Email: wily@ncar.ucar.edu

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