Impact of Great Salinity Anomalies on the Low-Frequency Variability of the North Atlantic Climate

Rong Zhang Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, and Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

Search for other papers by Rong Zhang in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Geoffrey K. Vallis Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, and Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

Search for other papers by Geoffrey K. Vallis in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

In this paper, it is shown that coherent large-scale low-frequency variabilities in the North Atlantic Ocean—that is, the variations of thermohaline circulation, deep western boundary current, northern recirculation gyre, and Gulf Stream path—are associated with high-latitude oceanic Great Salinity Anomaly events. In particular, a dipolar sea surface temperature anomaly (warming off the U.S. east coast and cooling south of Greenland) can be triggered by the Great Salinity Anomaly events several years in advance, thus providing a degree of long-term predictability to the system. Diagnosed phase relationships among an observed proxy for Great Salinity Anomaly events, the Labrador Sea sea surface temperature anomaly, and the North Atlantic Oscillation are also discussed.

Corresponding author address: Rong Zhang, GFDL/AOS Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08542. Email: rong.zhang@noaa.gov

Abstract

In this paper, it is shown that coherent large-scale low-frequency variabilities in the North Atlantic Ocean—that is, the variations of thermohaline circulation, deep western boundary current, northern recirculation gyre, and Gulf Stream path—are associated with high-latitude oceanic Great Salinity Anomaly events. In particular, a dipolar sea surface temperature anomaly (warming off the U.S. east coast and cooling south of Greenland) can be triggered by the Great Salinity Anomaly events several years in advance, thus providing a degree of long-term predictability to the system. Diagnosed phase relationships among an observed proxy for Great Salinity Anomaly events, the Labrador Sea sea surface temperature anomaly, and the North Atlantic Oscillation are also discussed.

Corresponding author address: Rong Zhang, GFDL/AOS Program, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08542. Email: rong.zhang@noaa.gov

Save
  • Belkin, I. M., 2004: Propagation of the “Great Salinity Anomaly” of the 1990s around the northern North Atlantic. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31 .L08306, doi:10.1029/2003GL019334.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Belkin, I. M., S. Levitus, J. Antonov, and S. Malmberg, 1998: ‘Great salinity anomalies' in the North Atlantic. Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 41, Pergamon, 1–68.

  • Bretherton, C. S., and D. S. Battisti, 2000: An interpretation of the results from atmospheric general circulation models forced by the time history of the observed sea surface temperature distribution. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27 , 767770.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Curry, R. G., M. S. McCartney, and T. M. Joyce, 1998: Oceanic transport of subpolar climate signals to mid-depth subtropical waters. Nature, 391 , 575577.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • da Silva, A., A. C. Young, and S. Levitus, 1994: Algorithms and Procedures. Vol. 1, Atlas of Surface Marine Data 1994, NOAA Atlas NESDIS 6, 83 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Delworth, T. L., and M. E. Mann, 2000: Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dyn., 16 , 661676.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Delworth, T. L., S. Manabe, and R. J. Stouffer, 1993: Interdecadal variations of the thermohaline circulation in a coupled ocean–atmosphere model. J. Climate, 6 , 19932011.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Deser, C., and M. L. Blackmon, 1993: Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic ocean during winter: 1900–1989. J. Climate, 6 , 17431753.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Deser, C., and M. S. Timlin, 1996: Decadal variations in sea ice and sea surface temperature in the subpolar North Atlantic. The Atlantic Climate Change Program, Proc. from the Principal Investigators Meeting, Woods Hole, MA, WHOI, 36–40.

  • Deser, C., M. Holland, G. Reverdin, and M. Timlin, 2002: Decadal variations in Labrador Sea ice cover and North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res., 107 .3035, doi:10.1029/2000JC000683.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dickson, R. R., J. Meincke, S-A. Malmberg, and A. J. Lee, 1988: The ‘Great Salinity Anomaly' in the northern North Atlantic 1968–1982. Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 20, Pergamon, 103–151.

  • Eden, C., and T. Jung, 2001: North Atlantic interdecadal variability: Oceanic response to the North Atlantic Oscillation (1865–1997). J. Climate, 14 , 676691.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Enfield, D. B., A. M. Mestas-Nuñez, and P. J. Trimble, 2001: The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28 , 20772080.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ezer, T., G. L. Mellor, and R. J. Greatbatch, 1995: On the interpentadal variability of the North Atlantic Ocean: Model simulated changes in transport, meridional heat flux and coastal sea level between 1955–1959 and 1970–1974. J. Geophys. Res., 100 , 1055910566.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gerdes, R., and C. Köberle, 1995: On the influence of DSOW in a numerical model of the North Atlantic general circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 25 , 26242641.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Goldenberg, S. B., C. W. Landsea, A. M. Mestas-Nuñez, and W. M. Gray, 2001: The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications. Science, 293 , 474479.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Greatbatch, R. J., A. F. Fanning, A. D. Goulding, and S. Levitus, 1991: A diagnosis of interpendatal circulation changes in the North Atlantic. J. Geophys. Res., 96 , 2200922023.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Griffies, S. M., M. J. Harrison, R. C. Pacanowski, and A. Rosati, 2004: A technical guide to MOM4. GFDL Ocean Group Tech. Rep. 5, NOAA/GFDL, 339 pp.

  • Häkkinen, S., 1993: An Arctic source for the Great Salinity Anomaly: A simulation of the Arctic ice-ocean system for 1955–1975. J. Geophys. Res., 98 , 1639716410.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Halliwell Jr., G. R., 1997: Decadal and multidecadal North Atlantic SST anomalies driven by standing and propagating basin-scale atmospheric anomalies. J. Climate, 10 , 24052411.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hartmann, D. L., J. M. Wallace, V. Limpasuvan, D. W. J. Thompson, and J. R. Holton, 2000: Can ozone depletion and greenhouse warming interact to produce rapid climate change? Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 97 , 14121417.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hoerling, M. P., J. W. Hurrell, and T. Xu, 2001: Tropical origins for recent North Atlantic climate change. Science, 292 , 9092.

  • Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269 , 676679.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Joyce, T. M., C. Deser, and M. A. Spall, 2000: The relation between decadal variability of subtropical mode water and the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 13 , 25502569.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kelly, P. M., C. M. Goodess, and B. S. G. Cherry, 1987: The interpretation of the Icelandic sea ice record. J. Geophys. Res., 92 , 1083510843.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kushnir, Y., 1994: Interdecadal variations in North Atlantic sea surface temperature and associated atmospheric conditions. J. Climate, 7 , 141157.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kushnir, Y., W. A. Robinson, I. Bladé, N. M. J. Hall, S. Peng, and R. T. Sutton, 2002: Atmospheric GCM response to extratropical SST anomalies: Synthesis and evaluation. J. Climate, 15 , 22332256.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Latif, M., 2001: Tropical Pacific/Atlantic ocean interactions at multi-decadal time scales. Geophys. Res. Lett., 28 , 539542.

  • Lazier, J. R. N., 1980: Oceanographic conditions at Ocean Weather Ship Bravo, 1964–74. Atmos.–Ocean, 18 , 227238.

  • Levitus, S., and Coauthors, 1998: Introduction. Vol. 1, World Ocean Database 1998 (WOD98), 346 pp.

  • Manabe, S., K. Bryan, and M. J. Spelman, 1990: Transient response of a global ocean–atmosphere model to a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 20 , 722749.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mehta, V. M., M. J. Suarez, J. V. Manganello, and T. L. Delworth, 2000: Oceanic influence on the North Atlantic Oscillation and associated Northern Hemisphere climate variations: 1959–1993. Geophys. Res. Lett., 27 , 121124.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mysak, L. A., D. K. Manak, and D. F. Marsden, 1990: Sea-ice anomalies observed in the Greenland and Labrador Seas during 1901–1984 and their relations to an interdecadal Arctic climate cycle. Climate Dyn., 5 , 111133.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res., 108 .4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Robertson, A. W., C. R. Mechoso, and Y-J. Kim, 2000: The influence of sea surface temperature anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate, 13 , 122138.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rodwell, M. J., D. P. Rowell, and C. K. Folland, 1999: Oceanic forcing of the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and European climate. Nature, 398 , 320323.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Schmith, T., and C. Hansen, 2003: Fram Strait ice export during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries reconstructed from a multiyear sea ice index from southwestern Greenland. J. Climate, 16 , 27822791.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sutton, R. T., and D. L. R. Hodson, 2005: Atlantic ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science, 309 , 115118.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Taylor, A. R., and J. A. Stephens, 1998: The North Atlantic oscillation and the latitude of the Gulf Stream. Tellus, 50 , 134142.

  • Thompson, J. D., and W. J. Schmitz, 1989: A limited-area model of the Gulf Stream: Design, initial experiments, and model–data intercomparison. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 19 , 791814.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Vallis, G. K., E. Gerber, P. Kushner, and B. Cash, 2004: A mechanism and simple model of the North Atlantic Oscillation and annular modes. J. Atmos. Sci., 61 , 264280.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Visbeck, M., H. Cullen, G. Krahmann, and N. Naik, 1998: An ocean model's response to North Atlantic Oscillation-like wind forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25 , 45214524.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wallevik, J. E., and H. Sigurjónsson, 1998: The Koch Index: Formulation, corrections and extension. Icelandic Meteorological Office Rep. VÍ-G98035-ÚR28, 14 pp.

  • Walsh, J. E., and W. L. Chapman, 1990: Arctic contribution to upper-ocean variability in the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 3 , 14621473.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Weaver, A. J., J. Marotzke, P. F. Cummins, and E. S. Sarachik, 1993: Stability and variability of the thermohaline circulation. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 23 , 3960.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Weaver, A. J., and Coauthors, 2001: The UVic Earth System Climate Model: Model description, climatology and application to past, present and future climates. Atmos.–Ocean, 39 , 361428.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Winton, M., 2000: A reformulated three-layer sea ice model. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 17 , 525531.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1212 577 192
PDF Downloads 674 142 26