Characterizing Warm-ENSO Variability in the Equatorial Pacific: An OLR Perspective

A. M. Chiodi Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington

Search for other papers by A. M. Chiodi in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
D. E. Harrison Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, and NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, Washington

Search for other papers by D. E. Harrison in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

It is shown that space–time smoothed outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) indices of equatorial Pacific seasonal variability can give an interestingly different perspective on El Niño than is obtained from sea surface temperature (SST) indices or the Southern Oscillation index (SOI). In particular, the index defined by averaging over an eastern-central region exhibits strong event like character—more so than in any other El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm-phase index known to the authors. Although the historical record for OLR is much shorter than for SST or SOI, OLR offers a direct connection to anomalous atmospheric heating. It is suggested that the years identified as events by this OLR index deserve particular recognition; and it is noteworthy that they all meet the criteria for “El Niño” years. Other years, whose warm-ENSO status differs depending upon the index favored, are not particularly distinctive from an OLR perspective, and a case could be made that either the other years do not deserve special classification or that they should be identified as different from the OLR-distinguished El Niño years.

Corresponding author address: A. M. Chiodi, NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Box 357941, Seattle, WA 98115. Email: andy.chiodi@noaa.gov

Abstract

It is shown that space–time smoothed outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) indices of equatorial Pacific seasonal variability can give an interestingly different perspective on El Niño than is obtained from sea surface temperature (SST) indices or the Southern Oscillation index (SOI). In particular, the index defined by averaging over an eastern-central region exhibits strong event like character—more so than in any other El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm-phase index known to the authors. Although the historical record for OLR is much shorter than for SST or SOI, OLR offers a direct connection to anomalous atmospheric heating. It is suggested that the years identified as events by this OLR index deserve particular recognition; and it is noteworthy that they all meet the criteria for “El Niño” years. Other years, whose warm-ENSO status differs depending upon the index favored, are not particularly distinctive from an OLR perspective, and a case could be made that either the other years do not deserve special classification or that they should be identified as different from the OLR-distinguished El Niño years.

Corresponding author address: A. M. Chiodi, NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Box 357941, Seattle, WA 98115. Email: andy.chiodi@noaa.gov

Save
  • Arkin, P. A., and B. N. Meisner, 1987: The relationship between large-scale convective rainfall and cold cloud over the Western Hemisphere during 1982–1984. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115 , 5174.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ashok, K., S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao, H. Weng, and T. Yamagata, 2007: El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection. J. Geophys. Res., 112 , C11007. doi:10.1029/2006JC003798.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Barnston, A. G., M. Chelliah, and S. B. Goldberg, 1997: Documentation of a highly ENSO-related SST region in the equatorial Pacific. Atmos.–Ocean, 35 , 367383.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bretherton, C. S., C. Smith, and J. M. Wallace, 1992: An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J. Climate, 5 , 541560.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chelliah, M., and P. Arkin, 1992: Large-scale interannual variability of monthly outgoing longwave radiation anomalies over the global tropics. J. Climate, 5 , 371389.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chiodi, A. M., and D. E. Harrison, 2008: Characterizing the interannual variability of the equatorial Pacific: An OLR perspective. NOAA Tech. Memo. OAR PMEL-140 (NTIS PB2008-112890), 30 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Curtis, S., and R. Adler, 2000: ENSO indices based on patterns of satellite-derived precipitation. J. Climate, 13 , 27862793.

  • Deser, C., and J. M. Wallace, 1987: El Niño events and their relationship to the Southern Oscillation: 1925–1986. J. Geophys. Res., 92 , (C13). 1418914196.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Enloe, J., J. J. O’Brien, and S. R. Smith, 2004: ENSO impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States. J. Climate, 17 , 17281737.

  • Garreaud, R. D., and J. M. Wallace, 1997: The diurnal march of convective cloudiness over the Americas. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125 , 31573171.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Garreaud, R. D., and J. M. Wallace, 1998: Summertime incursions of midlatitude air into subtropical and tropical South America. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126 , 27132733.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Harrison, D. E., and N. K. Larkin, 1997: The Darwin sea level pressure record, 1876–1996: Evidence for climate change? Geophys. Res. Lett., 24 , 17791782.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Harrison, D. E., and N. K. Larkin, 1998: El Niño-Southern Oscillation sea surface temperature and wind anomalies, 1946–1993. Rev. Geophys., 36 , 353399.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hoerling, M. P., and M. Ting, 1994: On the organization of extratropical transients during El Niño. J. Climate, 7 , 745766.

  • Kug, J-S., F-F. Jin, and S-I. An, 2009: Two types of El Niño events: Cold tongue El Niño and warm pool El Niño. J. Climate, 22 , 14991515.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kumar, A., and M. P. Hoerling, 1997: Interpretation and implications of observed inter–El Niño variability. J. Climate, 10 , 8391.

  • Larkin, N. K., and D. E. Harrison, 2005a: Global seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies during El Niño autumn and winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32 , L16705. doi:10.1029/2005GL022860.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Larkin, N. K., and D. E. Harrison, 2005b: On the definition of El Niño and associated seasonal average U.S. weather anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32 , L13705. doi:10.1029/2005GL022738.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lau, K-M., H-T. Wu, and S. Bony, 1997: The role of large-scale atmospheric circulation in the relationship between tropical convection and sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 10 , 381392.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Leetmaa, A., W. Higgins, D. Anderson, P. Delecluse, and M. Latif, 2001: Application of seasonal to interannual predictions: A Northern Hemisphere perspective. Observing the Oceans in the 21st Century, C. J. Koblinsky and N. R. Smith, Eds., Bureau of Meteorology, 39–47.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Leith, C. E., 1973: The standard error of time-averaged estimates of climatic means. J. Appl. Meteor., 12 , 10661069.

  • Liebmann, B., and C. A. Smith, 1996: Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77 , 12751277.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mason, S. J., and L. Goddard, 2001: Probabilistic precipitation anomalies associated with ENSO. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82 , 619638.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Patten, J. M., S. R. Smith, and J. J. O’Brien, 2003: Impacts of ENSO on snowfall frequencies in the United States. Wea. Forecasting, 18 , 965980.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rasmusson, E. M., and T. H. Carpenter, 1982: Variations in tropical sea surface temperature and surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño. Mon. Weather Rev., 110 , 354384.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1987: Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115 , 16061626.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1996: Quantifying Southern Oscillation–precipitation relationships. J. Climate, 9 , 10431059.

  • Smith, S. R., and J. J. O’Brien, 2001: Regional snowfall distributions associated with ENSO: Implications for seasonal forecasting. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82 , 11791191.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Smith, S. R., D. M. Legler, M. J. Remigio, and J. J. O’Brien, 1999: Comparison of 1997–98 U.S. temperature and precipitation anomalies to historical ENSO warm phases. J. Climate, 12 , 35073515.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Smith, S. R., C. Tartaglione, J. J. O’Brien, and J. Brolley, 2007: ENSO’s impact on regional U.S. hurricane activity. J. Climate, 20 , 14041414.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Trenberth, K. E., 1984: Signal versus noise in the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112 , 326332.

  • Trenberth, K. E., 1997: The definition of El Niño. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78 , 27712777.

  • Trenberth, K. E., and J. M. Caron, 2000: The Southern Oscillation revisited: Sea level pressures, surface temperatures, and precipitation. J. Climate, 13 , 43584365.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Trenberth, K. E., G. W. Branstator, D. Karoly, A. Kumar, N-C. Lau, and C. Ropelewski, 1998: Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res., 103 , 1429114324.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Waliser, D. E., and W. F. Zhou, 1997: Removing satellite equatorial crossing time biases from the OLR and HRC datasets. J. Climate, 10 , 21252146.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, G., and H. H. Hendon, 2007: Sensitivity of Australian rainfall to inter–El Niño variations. J. Climate, 20 , 42114226.

  • Weng, H., K. Ashok, S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao, and T. Yamagata, 2007: Impacts of recent El Niño Modoki on dry/wet conditions in the Pacific rim during boreal summer. Climate Dyn., 29 , 113129.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wilks, D. S., 1995: Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences—An Introduction. International Geophysics Series, Vol. 59, Academic Press, 467 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wilks, D. S., 2006: On “field significance” and the false discovery rate. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 45 , 11811189.

  • Wolter, K., and M. S. Timlin, 1998: Measuring the strength of ENSO events: How does 1997/98 rank? Weather, 53 , 315324.

  • Wyrtki, K., 1975: El Niño—The dynamic response of the equatorial Pacific Ocean to atmospheric forcing. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 5 , 572584.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 504 266 36
PDF Downloads 187 66 4