North American Temperature, Snowfall, and Snow-Depth Response to Winter Climate Modes

Debjani Ghatak Program in Earth and Environmental Sciences, the Graduate Center, City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by Debjani Ghatak in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Gavin Gong Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering, Columbia University, New York, New York

Search for other papers by Gavin Gong in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Allan Frei Program in Earth and Environmental Sciences, the Graduate Center, and Department of Geography, Hunter College of the City University of New York, New York, New York

Search for other papers by Allan Frei in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

The snowpack is an important seasonal surface water storage reservoir that affects the availability of water resources during the spring and summer seasons in mid–high latitudes. Not surprisingly, interannual variations in snow cover extent and snow water equivalent have been extensively studied in arid regions such as western North America. This study broadens the focus by examining snow depth as an alternative snowpack metric, and considers its variability over different parts of North America. The authors use singular value decomposition (SVD) in conjunction with linear and partial correlation to show that regional snow-depth variations can be largely explained by the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific–North American (PNA) modes of atmospheric variability through distinct mechanistic pathways involving regional winter circulation patterns and hydrologic fluxes. The high index phase of the NAO generates positive winter air temperature anomalies over eastern parts of North America, causing thinning of the winter snowpack via snowmelt. Meanwhile, the high index phase of the PNA generates negative winter snowfall anomalies across midlatitudinal areas of North America, which also serve to thin the snowpack. Positive PNA anomalies have also been shown to increase temperatures and decrease snow depths over western North America. The PNA influence extends across the continent, whereas the NAO influence is limited to eastern North America. The winter snow-depth variations associated with all of these pathways exhibit seasonal persistence, which ultimately yield regional-scale spring snow-depth anomalies throughout much of North America.

Corresponding author address: Debjani Ghatak, Program in Earth and Environmental Sciences, the Graduate Center, City University of New York, 365 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10016. Email: dghatak@gc.cuny.edu

Abstract

The snowpack is an important seasonal surface water storage reservoir that affects the availability of water resources during the spring and summer seasons in mid–high latitudes. Not surprisingly, interannual variations in snow cover extent and snow water equivalent have been extensively studied in arid regions such as western North America. This study broadens the focus by examining snow depth as an alternative snowpack metric, and considers its variability over different parts of North America. The authors use singular value decomposition (SVD) in conjunction with linear and partial correlation to show that regional snow-depth variations can be largely explained by the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific–North American (PNA) modes of atmospheric variability through distinct mechanistic pathways involving regional winter circulation patterns and hydrologic fluxes. The high index phase of the NAO generates positive winter air temperature anomalies over eastern parts of North America, causing thinning of the winter snowpack via snowmelt. Meanwhile, the high index phase of the PNA generates negative winter snowfall anomalies across midlatitudinal areas of North America, which also serve to thin the snowpack. Positive PNA anomalies have also been shown to increase temperatures and decrease snow depths over western North America. The PNA influence extends across the continent, whereas the NAO influence is limited to eastern North America. The winter snow-depth variations associated with all of these pathways exhibit seasonal persistence, which ultimately yield regional-scale spring snow-depth anomalies throughout much of North America.

Corresponding author address: Debjani Ghatak, Program in Earth and Environmental Sciences, the Graduate Center, City University of New York, 365 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY 10016. Email: dghatak@gc.cuny.edu

Save
  • Armstrong, R. L., and E. Brun, 2008: Snow and Climate: Physical Processes, Surface Energy Exchange and Modeling. Cambridge University Press, 256 pp.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Baker, D., R. Skaggs, and D. Ruschy, 1991: Snow depth required to mask the underlying surface. J. Appl. Meteor., 30 , 387392.

  • Barnston, A. G., and R. E. Livezey, 1987: Classification, seasonality and persistence of low-frequency atmospheric circulation patterns. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115 , 10831126.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Blalock, H., 1961: Causal Inferences in Nonexperimental Research. The University of North Carolina Press, 193 pp.

  • Bretherton, C. S., C. Smith, and J. M. Wallace, 1992: An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J. Climate, 5 , 541560.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cayan, D. R., 1996: Interannual climate variability and snowpack in the western United States. J. Climate, 9 , 928948.

  • Cherry, S., 1997: Some comments on singular value decomposition analysis. J. Climate, 10 , 17591761.

  • Cohen, J., 1994: Snow cover and climate. Weather, 49 , 150156.

  • Coleman, J. S. M., and J. C. Rogers, 2003: Ohio River valley winter moisture conditions associated with the Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern. J. Climate, 16 , 969981.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dyer, J. L., and T. L. Mote, 2006: Spatial variability and trends in snow depth over North America. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33 , L16503. doi:10.1029/2006GL027258.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ellis, A. W., and D. J. Leathers, 1999: Analysis of cold airmass temperature modification across the U.S. Great Plains as a consequence of snow depth and albedo. J. Appl. Meteor., 38 , 696711.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Feldstein, S. B., 2000: The timescale, power spectra, and climate noise properties of teleconnection patterns. J. Climate, 13 , 44304440.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ge, Y., and G. Gong, 2008: Observed inconsistencies between snow extent and snow depth variability at regional/continental scales. J. Climate, 21 , 10661082.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ge, Y., and G. Gong, 2009: North American snow depth and climate teleconnection patterns. J. Climate, 22 , 217233.

  • Ge, Y., G. Gong, and A. Frei, 2009: Physical mechanisms linking the winter Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern to spring North American snow depth. J. Climate, 22 , 51355148.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Grundstein, A., 2003: A synoptic-scale climate analysis of anomalous snow water equivalent over the northern Great Plains of the USA. Int. J. Climatol., 23 , 871886.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hartley, S., and M. J. Keables, 1998: Synoptic associations of winter climate and snowfall variability in New England. Int. J. Climatol., 18 , 281298.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hurrell, J. W., 1995: Decadal trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional temperatures and precipitation. Science, 269 , 676679.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hurrell, J. W., 1996: Influence of variations in extratropical wintertime teleconnections on Northern Hemisphere temperature. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23 , 665668.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jin, J., N. L. Miller, S. Sorooshian, and X. Gao, 2006: Relationship between atmospheric circulation and snowpack in the western USA. Hydrol. Processes, 20 , 753767.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77 , 437471.

  • Kluver, D. B., 2007: Characteristics and trends in North American snowfall from a comprehensive gridded dataset. M.S. thesis, Department of Geography, University of Delaware, 159 pp.

  • Lanzante, J. R., 1984: A rotated eigenanalysis of the correlation between 700-mb heights and sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112 , 22702280.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Leathers, D. J., B. Yarnal, and M. A. Palecki, 1991: The Pacific/North American teleconnection pattern and United States climate. Part I: Regional temperature and precipitation associations. J. Climate, 4 , 517528.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • McCabe, G. J., and M. D. Dettinger, 2002: Primary modes and predictability of year to year snowpack variations in the western United States from teleconnection with Pacific Ocean climate. J. Hydrometeor., 3 , 1325.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • McFadden, J. D., and R. A. Ragotzkie, 1967: Climatological significance of albedo in central Canada. J. Geophys. Res., 72 , 11351143.

  • Morin, J., P. Block, B. Rajagopalan, and M. Clark, 2007: Identification of large-scale climate patterns affecting snow variability in the eastern United States. Int. J. Climatol., 28 , 315328.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mote, P. W., 2006: Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. J. Climate, 19 , 62096220.

  • Namias, J., 1985: Some empirical evidence for the influence of snow cover on temperature and precipitation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113 , 15421553.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Prohaska, J. T., 1976: A technique for analyzing the linear relationships between two meteorological fields. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104 , 13451353.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rajagopalan, B., E. Cook, U. Lall, and B. K. Ray, 2000: Spatiotemporal variability of ENSO and SST teleconnections to summer drought over the United States during the twentieth century. J. Climate, 13 , 42444255.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rivière, G., and I. Orlanski, 2007: Characteristics of the Atlantic storm-track activity and its relation with the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Atmos. Sci., 64 , 241266.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shepard, D., 1968: A two-dimensional interpolation function for irregularly-spaced data. Proc. 23rd Association for Computing Machinery National Conf., Washington, DC, Association of Computing Machinery, 517–524.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sheridan, S. C., 2003: North American weather-type frequency and teleconnection indices. Int. J. Climatol., 23 , 2745.

  • Sobolowski, S., and A. Frei, 2007: Lagged relationships between North American snow mass and atmospheric teleconnection indices. Int. J. Climatol., 27 , 221231.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Walker, G. T., and E. W. Bliss, 1932: World weather V. Mem. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 4 , 5384.

  • Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109 , 784812.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wallace, J. M., C. Smith, and C. S. Bretherton, 1992: Singular value decomposition of wintertime sea surface temperature and 500-mb height anomalies. J. Climate, 5 , 561576.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wettstein, J. J., and L. O. Mearns, 2002: The influence of the North Atlantic–Arctic Oscillation on mean, variance, and extremes of temperature in the northeastern United States and Canada. J. Climate, 15 , 35863600.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zhang, T., 2005: Influence of the seasonal snow cover on the ground thermal regime: An overview. Rev. Geophys., 43 , RG4002. doi:10.1029/2004RG000157.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 344 137 13
PDF Downloads 209 76 9