A 40-Year Climatology of Extratropical Transition in the Eastern North Pacific

Kimberly M. Wood Department of Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona

Search for other papers by Kimberly M. Wood in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Elizabeth A. Ritchie Department of Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona

Search for other papers by Elizabeth A. Ritchie in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

A 42-yr study of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones (TCs) undergoing extratropical transition (ET) is presented using the Japanese 55-yr Reanalysis dataset. By using cyclone phase space (CPS) to differentiate those TCs that undergo ET from those that do not, it is found that only 9% of eastern North Pacific TCs that developed from 1971 to 2012 complete ET, compared with 40% in the North Atlantic.

Using a combination of CPS, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, and composite analysis, it is found that the evolution of ET in this basin differs from that observed in the North Atlantic and western North Pacific, possibly as a result of the rapidly decreasing sea surface temperatures north of the main genesis region. The presence of a strong, deep subtropical ridge extending westward from North America into the eastern North Pacific is a major factor inhibiting ET in this basin. Similar to other basins, eastern North Pacific ET generally occurs in conjunction with an approaching midlatitude trough, which helps to weaken the ridge and allow northward passage of the TC. The frequency of ET appears to increase during developing El Niño events but is not significantly affected by the Pacific decadal oscillation.

Corresponding author address: Kimberly M. Wood, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, P.O. Box 210081, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0081. E-mail: wood@atmo.arizona.edu

Abstract

A 42-yr study of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones (TCs) undergoing extratropical transition (ET) is presented using the Japanese 55-yr Reanalysis dataset. By using cyclone phase space (CPS) to differentiate those TCs that undergo ET from those that do not, it is found that only 9% of eastern North Pacific TCs that developed from 1971 to 2012 complete ET, compared with 40% in the North Atlantic.

Using a combination of CPS, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, and composite analysis, it is found that the evolution of ET in this basin differs from that observed in the North Atlantic and western North Pacific, possibly as a result of the rapidly decreasing sea surface temperatures north of the main genesis region. The presence of a strong, deep subtropical ridge extending westward from North America into the eastern North Pacific is a major factor inhibiting ET in this basin. Similar to other basins, eastern North Pacific ET generally occurs in conjunction with an approaching midlatitude trough, which helps to weaken the ridge and allow northward passage of the TC. The frequency of ET appears to increase during developing El Niño events but is not significantly affected by the Pacific decadal oscillation.

Corresponding author address: Kimberly M. Wood, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, P.O. Box 210081, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721-0081. E-mail: wood@atmo.arizona.edu
Save
  • Bretherton, C. S., C. Smith, and J. M. Wallace, 1992: An intercomparison of methods for finding coupled patterns in climate data. J. Climate, 5, 541560, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0541:AIOMFF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Davis, M. A. S., G. M. Brown, and P. Leftwich Jr., 1984: A tropical cyclone data tape for the eastern and central North Pacific basins, 1949–1983: Contents, limitations, and uses. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC 25, 17 pp. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NWS-NHC-1984-25.pdf.]

  • Dee, D. P., and Coauthors, 2011: The ERA-Interim reanalysis: Configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 553597, doi:10.1002/qj.828.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ebita, A., and Coauthors, 2011: The Japanese 55-year Reanalysis “JRA-55”: An interim report. SOLA, 7, 149152, doi:10.2151/sola.2011-038.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • ECMWF, 2007: Annual report 2006. ECMWF Rep., 48 pp.

  • Englehart, P. J., and A. V. Douglas, 2001: The role of eastern North Pacific tropical storms in the rainfall climatology of western Mexico. Int. J. Climatol., 21, 13571370, doi:10.1002/joc.637.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Foley, G. R., and B. N. Hanstrum, 1994: The capture of tropical cyclones by cold fronts off the west coast of Australia. Wea. Forecasting, 9, 577592, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1994)009<0577:TCOTCB>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hart, R. E., 2003: A cyclone phase space derived from thermal wind and thermal asymmetry. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 585616, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<0585:ACPSDF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hart, R. E., and J. L. Evans, 2001: A climatology of extratropical transition of Atlantic tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 14, 546564, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<0546:ACOTET>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hatsushika, H., J. Tsutsui, M. Fiorino, and K. Onogi, 2006: Impact of wind profile retrievals on the analysis of tropical cyclones in the JRA-25 reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 84, 891905, doi:10.2151/jmsj.84.891.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ishii, M., A. Shouji, S. Sugimoto, and T. Matsumoto, 2005: Objective analyses of sea-surface temperature and marine meteorological variables for the 20th century using ICOADS and the Kobe collection. Int. J. Climatol., 25, 865879, doi:10.1002/joc.1169.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jones, S. C., and Coauthors, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenges, current understanding, and future directions. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 10521092, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(2003)018<1052:TETOTC>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kitabatake, N., 2011: Climatology of extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in the western North Pacific defined by using cyclone phase space. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 89, 309325, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2011-402.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Klein, P. M., P. A. Harr, and R. L. Elsberry, 2000: Extratropical transition of western North Pacific tropical cyclones: An overview and conceptual model of the transformation stage. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 373396, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0373:ETOWNP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kofron, D. E., E. A. Ritchie, and J. S. Tyo, 2010: Determination of a consistent time for the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones. Part II: Potential vorticity metrics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 43444361, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3181.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mantua, N. J., S. R. Hare, Y. Zhang, J. M. Wallace, and R. C. Francis, 1997: A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 78, 10691079, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<1069:APICOW>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • North, G. R., T. L. Bell, R. F. Cahalan, and F. J. Moeng, 1982: Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 699706, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1982)110<0699:SEITEO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Reynolds, R. W., T. M. Smith, C. Liu, D. B. Chelton, K. S. Casey, and M. G. Schlax, 2007: Daily high-resolution-blended analyses for sea surface temperature. J. Climate, 20, 54735496, doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1824.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ritchie, E. A., and R. L. Elsberry, 2001: Simulations of the transformation stage of the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 14621480, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<1462:SOTTSO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ritchie, E. A., K. M. Wood, D. S. Gutzler, and S. White, 2011: The influence of eastern Pacific tropical cyclone remnants on the southwestern United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 192210, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3389.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sinclair, M. R., 2002: Extratropical transition of southwest Pacific tropical cyclones. Part I: Climatology and mean structure changes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 590609, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<0590:ETOSPT>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stewart, S. R., and J. P. Cangialosi, 2012: Eastern North Pacific hurricane season of 2010. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 27692781, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00152.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: ERA-40: ECMWF 45-year reanalysis of the global atmosphere and surface conditions 1957–2002. ECMWF Newsletter, No. 101, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, 2–21.

  • Wood, K. M., 2012: Evaluating the impacts of eastern North Pacific tropical cyclones on North America utilizing remotely sensed and reanalysis data. Ph.D. dissertation, The University of Arizona, 125 pp.

  • Wood, K. M., and E. A. Ritchie, 2012: The unusual behavior and precipitation pattern associated with Tropical Storm Ignacio (1997). Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 33473360, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00284.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wood, K. M., and E. A. Ritchie, 2013: An updated climatology of tropical cyclone impacts on the southwestern United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 43224336, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00078.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 539 250 36
PDF Downloads 228 71 11