A Note on the Stability Indicator of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

Wei Liu Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin—Madison, Madison, Wisconsin

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Zhengyu Liu Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, and Laboratory for Climate, Ocean and Atmosphere Studies, Peking University, Beijing, China, and Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin—Madison, Madison, Wisconsin

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Abstract

This study examines the validity of the net freshwater transport ΔMov as a stability indicator of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in a low-resolution version of the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3). It is shown that the sign of ΔMov indicates the monostability or bistability of the AMOC, which is based on a hypothesis that a collapsed AMOC induces a zero net freshwater transport. In CCSM3, this hypothesis is satisfied in that the collapsed AMOC, with a nonzero strength, induces a zero net freshwater transport ΔMov across the Atlantic basin by generating equivalent freshwater export MovS and freshwater import MovN at the southern and northern boundaries, respectively. Because of the satisfaction of the hypothesis, ΔMov is consistent with a generalized indicator L for a slowly evolving AMOC, both of which correctly monitor the AMOC stability.

Corresponding author address: W. Liu, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, CASPO, 9500 Gilman Dr., La Jolla, CA, 92093. E-mail: wel109@ucsd.edu

Abstract

This study examines the validity of the net freshwater transport ΔMov as a stability indicator of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in a low-resolution version of the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3). It is shown that the sign of ΔMov indicates the monostability or bistability of the AMOC, which is based on a hypothesis that a collapsed AMOC induces a zero net freshwater transport. In CCSM3, this hypothesis is satisfied in that the collapsed AMOC, with a nonzero strength, induces a zero net freshwater transport ΔMov across the Atlantic basin by generating equivalent freshwater export MovS and freshwater import MovN at the southern and northern boundaries, respectively. Because of the satisfaction of the hypothesis, ΔMov is consistent with a generalized indicator L for a slowly evolving AMOC, both of which correctly monitor the AMOC stability.

Corresponding author address: W. Liu, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, CASPO, 9500 Gilman Dr., La Jolla, CA, 92093. E-mail: wel109@ucsd.edu
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