Allen, M., 2003: Liability for climate change. Nature, 421, 891–892, doi:10.1038/421891a.
Barbour, A. D., 1988: Stein’s method and Poisson process convergence. J. Appl. Probab., 25, 175–184, doi:10.2307/3214155.
Bindoff, N. L., and Coauthors, 2014: Detection and attribution of climate change: From global to regional. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, T. F. Stocker et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 867–952.
Brown, L. D., T. T. Cai, and A. DasGupta, 2001: Interval estimation for a binomial proportion. Stat. Sci., 16, 101–117, doi:10.1214/ss/1009213286.
Chapman, D. G., 1952: On tests and estimates for the ratio of Poisson means. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math., 4, 45–49, doi:10.1007/BF02949788.
Cox, D. R., and V. Isham, 1980: Point Processes. Chapman and Hall, 188 pp.
Furrer, E. M., R. W. Katz, M. D. Walter, and R. Furrer, 2010: Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves. Climate Res., 43, 191–205, doi:10.3354/cr00924.
Jagger, T. H., and J. B. Elsner, 2006: Climatology models for extreme hurricane winds near the United States. J. Climate, 19, 3220–3236, doi:10.1175/JCLI3913.1.
Jovanovic, B. D., and P. S. Levy, 1997: A look at the rule of three. Amer. Stat., 51, 137–139.
Knutson, T. R., and Coauthors, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nat. Geosci., 3, 157–163, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
Meehl, G. A., and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994–997, doi:10.1126/science.1098704.
NOAA, cited 2014: Atlantic hurricane database (HURDAT2) 1851–2013. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data#hurdat.]
Price, R. M., and D. Bonett, 2000: Estimating the ratio of two Poisson means. Comput. Stat. Data Anal., 34, 345–356, doi:10.1016/S0167-9473(99)00100-0.
Przyborowski, J., and H. Wilenski, 1940: Homogeneity of results in testing samples from Poisson series: With an application to testing clover seed for dodder. Biometrika, 31, 313–323.
Rahmstorf, S., and D. Coumou, 2011: Increase of extreme events in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 108, 17 905–17 909, doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108.
Stott, P. A., D. A. Stone, and M. R. Allen, 2004: Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature, 432, 610–614, doi:10.1038/nature03089.
Walter, S. D., 1976: The estimation and interpretation of attributable risk in health research. Biometrics, 32, 829–849, doi:10.2307/2529268.
Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H.-R. Chang, 2005: Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309, 1844–1846, doi:10.1126/science.1116448.
Wilson, E., 1927: Probable inference, the law of succession, and statistical inference. J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., 22, 209–212, doi:10.1080/01621459.1927.10502953.
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Displayed acceptance dates for articles published prior to 2023 are approximate to within a week. If needed, exact acceptance dates can be obtained by emailing amsjol@ametsoc.org.
There is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisingly wide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.
There is growing interest in assessing the role of climate change in observed extreme weather events. Recent work in this area has focused on estimating a measure called attributable risk. A statistical formulation of this problem is described and used to construct a confidence interval for attributable risk. The resulting confidence is shown to be surprisingly wide even in the case where the event of interest is unprecedented in the historical record.
Allen, M., 2003: Liability for climate change. Nature, 421, 891–892, doi:10.1038/421891a.
Barbour, A. D., 1988: Stein’s method and Poisson process convergence. J. Appl. Probab., 25, 175–184, doi:10.2307/3214155.
Bindoff, N. L., and Coauthors, 2014: Detection and attribution of climate change: From global to regional. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, T. F. Stocker et al., Eds., Cambridge University Press, 867–952.
Brown, L. D., T. T. Cai, and A. DasGupta, 2001: Interval estimation for a binomial proportion. Stat. Sci., 16, 101–117, doi:10.1214/ss/1009213286.
Chapman, D. G., 1952: On tests and estimates for the ratio of Poisson means. Ann. Inst. Stat. Math., 4, 45–49, doi:10.1007/BF02949788.
Cox, D. R., and V. Isham, 1980: Point Processes. Chapman and Hall, 188 pp.
Furrer, E. M., R. W. Katz, M. D. Walter, and R. Furrer, 2010: Statistical modeling of hot spells and heat waves. Climate Res., 43, 191–205, doi:10.3354/cr00924.
Jagger, T. H., and J. B. Elsner, 2006: Climatology models for extreme hurricane winds near the United States. J. Climate, 19, 3220–3236, doi:10.1175/JCLI3913.1.
Jovanovic, B. D., and P. S. Levy, 1997: A look at the rule of three. Amer. Stat., 51, 137–139.
Knutson, T. R., and Coauthors, 2010: Tropical cyclones and climate change. Nat. Geosci., 3, 157–163, doi:10.1038/ngeo779.
Meehl, G. A., and C. Tebaldi, 2004: More intense, more frequent, and longer lasting heat waves in the 21st century. Science, 305, 994–997, doi:10.1126/science.1098704.
NOAA, cited 2014: Atlantic hurricane database (HURDAT2) 1851–2013. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data#hurdat.]
Price, R. M., and D. Bonett, 2000: Estimating the ratio of two Poisson means. Comput. Stat. Data Anal., 34, 345–356, doi:10.1016/S0167-9473(99)00100-0.
Przyborowski, J., and H. Wilenski, 1940: Homogeneity of results in testing samples from Poisson series: With an application to testing clover seed for dodder. Biometrika, 31, 313–323.
Rahmstorf, S., and D. Coumou, 2011: Increase of extreme events in a warming world. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 108, 17 905–17 909, doi:10.1073/pnas.1101766108.
Stott, P. A., D. A. Stone, and M. R. Allen, 2004: Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003. Nature, 432, 610–614, doi:10.1038/nature03089.
Walter, S. D., 1976: The estimation and interpretation of attributable risk in health research. Biometrics, 32, 829–849, doi:10.2307/2529268.
Webster, P. J., G. J. Holland, J. A. Curry, and H.-R. Chang, 2005: Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science, 309, 1844–1846, doi:10.1126/science.1116448.
Wilson, E., 1927: Probable inference, the law of succession, and statistical inference. J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., 22, 209–212, doi:10.1080/01621459.1927.10502953.
| All Time | Past Year | Past 30 Days | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract Views | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Full Text Views | 1859 | 560 | 113 |
| PDF Downloads | 530 | 103 | 13 |
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