How Stationary Eddies Shape Changes in the Hydrological Cycle: Zonally Asymmetric Experiments in an Idealized GCM

Robert C. Wills California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, and ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland

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Tapio Schneider California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, and ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland

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Abstract

Stationary and low-frequency Rossby waves are the primary drivers of extratropical weather variations on monthly and longer time scales. They take the form of persistent highs and lows, which, for example, shape subtropical dry zones and guide extratropical storms. More generally, stationary-eddy circulations, including zonally anomalous tropical overturning circulations, set up large zonal variations in net precipitation (precipitation minus evaporation, PE). This paper investigates the response of stationary eddies and the zonally asymmetric hydrological cycle to global warming in an idealized GCM, simulating a wide range of climates by varying longwave absorption. The stationary eddies are forced by two idealized zonal asymmetries: a midlatitude Gaussian mountain and an equatorial ocean heat source. Associated with changes in stationary eddies are changes in the zonal variation of the hydrological cycle. Particularly in the subtropics, these simulations show a nearly constant or decreasing amplitude of the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle in climates warmer than modern despite the wet gets wetter, dry gets drier effect associated with increasing atmospheric moisture content. An approximation for zonally anomalous PE, based on zonal-mean surface specific humidity and stationary-eddy vertical motion, disentangles the roles of thermodynamic and dynamic changes. The approximation shows that changes in the zonally asymmetric hydrological cycle are predominantly controlled by changes in lower-tropospheric vertical motion in stationary eddies.

Publisher’s Note: This article was revised on 22 April 2016 to fix a production error that degraded the quality of Figs. 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 11, and to correct typesetting errors for variables containing an overbar and asterisk.

Corresponding author address: Robert C. Wills, Geological Institute, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse 5, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland. E-mail: robert.wills@erdw.ethz.ch

Abstract

Stationary and low-frequency Rossby waves are the primary drivers of extratropical weather variations on monthly and longer time scales. They take the form of persistent highs and lows, which, for example, shape subtropical dry zones and guide extratropical storms. More generally, stationary-eddy circulations, including zonally anomalous tropical overturning circulations, set up large zonal variations in net precipitation (precipitation minus evaporation, PE). This paper investigates the response of stationary eddies and the zonally asymmetric hydrological cycle to global warming in an idealized GCM, simulating a wide range of climates by varying longwave absorption. The stationary eddies are forced by two idealized zonal asymmetries: a midlatitude Gaussian mountain and an equatorial ocean heat source. Associated with changes in stationary eddies are changes in the zonal variation of the hydrological cycle. Particularly in the subtropics, these simulations show a nearly constant or decreasing amplitude of the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle in climates warmer than modern despite the wet gets wetter, dry gets drier effect associated with increasing atmospheric moisture content. An approximation for zonally anomalous PE, based on zonal-mean surface specific humidity and stationary-eddy vertical motion, disentangles the roles of thermodynamic and dynamic changes. The approximation shows that changes in the zonally asymmetric hydrological cycle are predominantly controlled by changes in lower-tropospheric vertical motion in stationary eddies.

Publisher’s Note: This article was revised on 22 April 2016 to fix a production error that degraded the quality of Figs. 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 11, and to correct typesetting errors for variables containing an overbar and asterisk.

Corresponding author address: Robert C. Wills, Geological Institute, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse 5, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland. E-mail: robert.wills@erdw.ethz.ch
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