Using High-Resolution Reanalysis Data to Explore Localized Western North America Hydroclimate Relationships with ENSO

Joshua P. Heyer Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah

Search for other papers by Joshua P. Heyer in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Simon C. Brewer Department of Geography, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah

Search for other papers by Simon C. Brewer in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Jacqueline J. Shinker Department of Geography, University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming

Search for other papers by Jacqueline J. Shinker in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Many studies have used observational data to explore associations between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and western North America (NA) hydroclimate at regional spatial scales. However, relationships between tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability and western NA hydroclimate at local scales using reanalysis data are less understood. Here, the current understanding of relationships between large-scale tropical Pacific SST variability and western NA hydroclimate is extended to localized headwaters. To accomplish this, high-resolution reanalysis data (i.e., monthly mean surface precipitation rate, 2-m temperature, 850-mb specific humidity, and 500-mb omega) were used for gridpoint correlation analyses with Niño-3.4 SST and El Niño Modoki indices. Reanalysis time series data were provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) product. To validate the accuracy of NARR surface data, observational Livneh precipitation and temperature data were used. Resulting correlations between tropical Pacific indices and NARR surface precipitation and 2-m temperature are consistent with previous research both spatially and temporally, indicating that the strongest correlations occur primarily over southwestern NA during the winter (DJF). The results herein demonstrate the potential of high-resolution reanalysis data to reveal distinct correlations over topographically complex watersheds in the U.S. Intermountain West (IMW) over the recent record, 1979–2015. The use of the high-resolution NARR product as a viable option to explore western NA hydroclimate is demonstrated here.

Denotes content that is immediately available upon publication as open access.

© 2017 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Joshua P. Heyer, josh.heyer@geog.utah.edu

Abstract

Many studies have used observational data to explore associations between El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and western North America (NA) hydroclimate at regional spatial scales. However, relationships between tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability and western NA hydroclimate at local scales using reanalysis data are less understood. Here, the current understanding of relationships between large-scale tropical Pacific SST variability and western NA hydroclimate is extended to localized headwaters. To accomplish this, high-resolution reanalysis data (i.e., monthly mean surface precipitation rate, 2-m temperature, 850-mb specific humidity, and 500-mb omega) were used for gridpoint correlation analyses with Niño-3.4 SST and El Niño Modoki indices. Reanalysis time series data were provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) product. To validate the accuracy of NARR surface data, observational Livneh precipitation and temperature data were used. Resulting correlations between tropical Pacific indices and NARR surface precipitation and 2-m temperature are consistent with previous research both spatially and temporally, indicating that the strongest correlations occur primarily over southwestern NA during the winter (DJF). The results herein demonstrate the potential of high-resolution reanalysis data to reveal distinct correlations over topographically complex watersheds in the U.S. Intermountain West (IMW) over the recent record, 1979–2015. The use of the high-resolution NARR product as a viable option to explore western NA hydroclimate is demonstrated here.

Denotes content that is immediately available upon publication as open access.

© 2017 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Joshua P. Heyer, josh.heyer@geog.utah.edu
Save
  • Abatzoglou, J. T., 2011: Influence of the PNA on declining mountain snowpack in the western United States. Int. J. Climatol., 31, 11351142, doi:10.1002/joc.2137.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Akima, H., 1978: A method of bivariate interpolation and smooth surface fitting for irregularly distributed data points. ACM Trans. Math. Softw., 4, 148159, doi:10.1145/355780.355786.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Alexander, M. A., J. D. Scott, D. Swales, M. Hughes, K. Mahoney, and C. A. Smith, 2015: Moisture pathways into the U.S. Intermountain West associated with heavy winter precipitation events. J. Hydrometeor., 16, 11841206, doi:10.1175/JHM-D-14-0139.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Amaya, D. J., and G. R. Foltz, 2014: Impacts of canonical and Modoki El Niño on tropical Atlantic SST. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 119, 777789, doi:10.1002/2013JC009476.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Anderson, L., 2012: Rocky Mountain hydroclimate: Holocene variability and the role of insolation, ENSO and the North American monsoon. Global Planet. Change, 92–93, 198208, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.05.012.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Antinao, J. L., and E. McDonald, 2013: An enhanced role for the tropical Pacific on the humid Pleistocene–Holocene transition in southwestern North America. Quat. Sci., 78, 319341, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2013.03.019.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ashok, K., and T. Yamagata, 2009: Climate change: The El Niño with a difference. Nature, 461, 481484, doi:10.1038/461481a.

  • Ashok, K., S. K. Behera, S. A. Rao, H. Weng, and T. Yamagata, 2007: El Niño Modoki and its possible teleconnection. J. Geophys. Res., 112, C11007, doi:10.1029/2006JC003798.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Barnett, T. P., and Coauthors, 2008: Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science, 319, 10801083, doi:10.1126/science.1152538.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Barron, J. A., and L. Anderson, 2010: Enhanced Late Holocene ENSO/PDO expression along the margins of the eastern North Pacific. Quat. Int., 235, 312, doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2010.02.026.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cai, W., and Coauthors, 2014: Increasing frequency of extreme El Niño events due to greenhouse warming. Nat. Climate Change, 4, 111116, doi:10.1038/nclimate2100.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cane, M. A., 2005: The evolution of El Niño, past and future. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett., 230, 227240, doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2004.12.003.

  • Castro, C. L., T. B. McKee, and R. A. Pielke Sr., 2001: The relationship of the North American monsoon to tropical and North Pacific sea surface temperatures as revealed by observational analyses. J. Climate, 14, 44494473, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4449:TROTNA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cayan, D. R., 1996: Interannual climate variability and snowpack in the western United States. J. Climate, 9, 928948, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<0928:ICVASI>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cayan, D. R., and D. H. Peterson, 1989: The influence of North Pacific atmosphere circulation on streamflow in the west. Aspects of Climate Variability in the Pacific and the Western Americas, Geophys. Monogr., Vol. 55, Amer. Geophys. Union, 375–397.

    • Crossref
    • Export Citation
  • Cayan, D. R., K. T. Redmond, and L. G. Riddle, 1999: ENSO and hydrologic extremes in the western United States. J. Climate, 12, 28812893, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<2881:EAHEIT>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, P., and M. Newman, 1998: Rossby wave propagation and rapid development of upper-level anomalous anticyclones during the 1988 U.S. drought. J. Climate, 11, 24912504, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<2491:RWPATR>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Clement, A. C., R. Seager, and M. A. Cane, 2000: Suppression of El Niño during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth’s orbit. Paleoceanography, 15, 731737, doi:10.1029/1999PA000466.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Coats, S., J. E. Smerdon, B. I. Cook, and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical Pacific teleconnection to North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 model simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 49274932, doi:10.1002/grl.50938.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cole, J. E., and E. R. Cook, 1998: The changing relationship between ENSO variability and moisture balance in the continental United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 45294532, doi:10.1029/1998GL900145.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cook, B. I., R. Seager, and R. L. Miller, 2011: Atmospheric circulation anomalies during two persistent North American droughts: 1932–1939 and 1948–1957. Climate Dyn., 36, 23392355, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0807-1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cook, B. I., J. E. Smerdon, R. Seager, and S. Coats, 2014: Global warming and 21st century drying. Climate Dyn., 43, 26072627, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cook, E. R., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, and D. W. Stahle, 2007: North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences. Earth Sci. Rev., 81, 93134, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2006.12.002.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dai, A., 2012: Increasing drought under global warming in observations and models. Nat. Climate Change, 3, 5258, doi:10.1038/nclimate1633.

  • DeFlorio, M. J., D. W. Pierce, D. R. Cayan, and A. J. Miller, 2013: Western U.S. extreme precipitation events and their relation to ENSO and PDO in CCSM4. J. Climate, 26, 42314243, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00257.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Deser, C., A. S. Phillips, and J. W. Hurrell, 2004: Pacific interdecadal climate variability: Linkages between the tropics and the North Pacific during boreal winter since 1900. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17, 31093124, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3109:PICVLB>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dettinger, M. D., D. R. Cayan, G. M. McCabe, and J. A. Marengo, 2000: Multiscale streamflow variability associated with El Niño/Southern Oscillation. El Niño and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and Global and Regional Impacts, H. F. Diaz and V. Markgraf, Eds., Cambridge University Press, 113–146.

  • Dominguez, F., J. Cañon, and J. Valdes, 2010: IPCC-AR4 climate simulations for the Southwestern US: The importance of future ENSO projections. Climatic Change, 99, 499514, doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9672-5.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gedalof, Z., N. J. Mantua, and D. L. Peterson, 2002: A multi-century perspective of variability in the Pacific decadal oscillation: New insights from tree rings and coral. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 2204, doi:10.1029/2002GL015824.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gershunov, A., 1998: ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United States: Implications for long-range predictability. J. Climate, 11, 31923203, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<3192:EIOIER>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gershunov, A., and T. P. Barnett, 1998a: ENSO influence on intraseasonal extreme rainfall and temperature frequencies in the contiguous United States: Observations and model results. J. Climate, 11, 15751586, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<1575:EIOIER>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gershunov, A., and T. P. Barnett, 1998b: Interdecadal modulation of ENSO teleconnections. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 27152725, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<2715:IMOET>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gershunov, A., and D. Cayan, 2003: Heavy daily precipitation frequency over the contiguous United States: Sources of climatic variability and seasonal predictability. J. Climate, 16, 27522765, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<2752:HDPFOT>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gershunov, A., T. Barnett, and D. Cayan, 1999: North Pacific interdecadal oscillation seen as factor in ENSO-related North American climate anomalies. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 80, 2530, doi:10.1029/99EO00019.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Graham, N. E., and T. P. Barnett, 1995: ENSO and ENSO-related predictability. Part II: Northern Hemisphere 700-mb height predictions based on a hybrid coupled ENSO model. J. Climate, 8, 544549, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<0544:EAERPP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hart, I. A., J. M. Broughton, and R. Gruhn, 2015: El Niño controls Holocene rabbit and hare populations in Baja California. Quat. Res., 84, 4656, doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2015.04.005.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hu, Q., and S. Feng, 2001: Variations of teleconnections of ENSO and interannual variation in summer rainfall in the central United States. J. Climate, 14, 24692480, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<2469:VOTOEA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437471, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kanamitsu, M., W. Ebisuzaki, J. Woollen, S. Yang, J. J. Hnilo, M. M. Fiorino, and G. L. Potter, 2002: NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 1631–1643, doi:10.1175/BAMS-83-11-1631.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kaplan, A., M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. C. Clement, M. B. Blumenthal, and B. Rajagopalan, 1998: Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 18 56718 589, doi:10.1029/97JC01736.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kiladis, G. N., and H. F. Diaz, 1989: Global climate anomalies associated with extremes in the Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 2, 10691090, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1989)002<1069:GCAAWE>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kirby, M. E., S. J. Feakins, C. A. Hiner, J. Fantozzi, S. R. H. Zimmerman, T. Dingemans, and S. A. Mensing, 2014: Tropical Pacific forcing of Late-Holocene hydrologic variability in the coastal southwestern United States. Quat. Sci. Rev., 102, 2738, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2014.08.005.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kistler, R., and Coauthors, 2001: The NCEP–NCAR 50-Year Reanalysis: Monthly means CD-ROM and documentation. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 247267, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0247:TNNYRM>2.3.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Larkin, N. K., and D. E. Harrison, 2005: On the definition of El Niño and associated seasonal average U.S. weather anomalies. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L13705, doi:10.1029/2005GL022738.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Leathers, D. J., and M. A. Palecki, 1992: The Pacific/North American teleconnection pattern and United States climate. Part II: Temporal characteristics and index specification. J. Climate, 5, 707716, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<0707:TPATPA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Liu, Z., Z. Lu, X. Wen, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, A. Timmermann, and K. M. Cobb, 2014: Evolution and forcing mechanisms of El Niño over the past 21,000 years. Nature, 515, 550553, doi:10.1038/nature13963.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Livneh, B., E. A. Rosenberg, C. Lin, B. Nijssen, V. Mishra, K. M. Andreadis, E. P. Maurer, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2013: A long-term hydrologically based dataset of land surface fluxes and states for the conterminous United States: Update and extensions. J. Climate, 26, 93849392, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00508.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Luce, C. H., J. T. Abatzoglou, and Z. A. Holden, 2013: The missing mountain water: Slower westerlies decrease orographic enhancement in the Pacific Northwest USA. Science, 342, 13601364, doi:10.1126/science.1242335.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mantua, N. J., and S. R. Hare, 2002: The Pacific decadal oscillation. J. Oceanogr., 58, 3544, doi:10.1023/A:1015820616384.

  • Marathe, S., K. Ashok, P. Swapna, and T. P. Sabin, 2015: Revisiting El Niño Modokis. Climate Dyn., 45, 35273545, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2555-8.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • McCabe, G. J., and M. D. Dettinger, 1999: Decadal variations in the strength of ENSO teleconnections with precipitation in the western United States. Int. J. Climatol., 19, 13991410, doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0088(19991115)19:13<1399::AID-JOC457>3.0.CO;2-A.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meehl, G. A., and H. Teng, 2007: Multi-model changes in El Niño teleconnections over North America in a future warmer climate. Climate Dyn., 29, 779790, doi:10.1007/s00382-007-0268-3.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mesinger, F., and Coauthors, 2006: North American Regional Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 343360, doi:10.1175/BAMS-87-3-343.

  • Mills, C., and J. E. Walsh, 2013: Seasonal variation and spatial patterns of the atmospheric component of the Pacific decadal oscillation. J. Climate, 26, 15751594, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00264.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Milly, P. C. D., J. Betancourt, M. Falkenmark, R. M. Hirsch, Z. W. Kundzewicz, D. P. Lettenmaier, and R. J. Stouffer, 2008: Stationary is dead: Whither water management? Science, 319, 573574, doi:10.1126/science.1151915.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Minobe, S., 1997: A 50–70 year climatic oscillation over the North Pacific and North America. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 683686, doi:10.1029/97GL00504.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mock, C. J., 1996: Climatic controls and spatial variations of precipitation in the western United States. J. Climate, 9, 11111125, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<1111:CCASVO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mote, P. W., A. F. Hamlet, M. P. Clark, and D. P. Lettenmaier, 2005: Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 86, 3949, doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-1-39.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moy, C. M., G. O. Seltzer, D. T. Rodbell, and D. M. Anderson, 2002: Variability of El Niño/Southern Oscillation activity at millennial timescales during the Holocene epoch. Nature, 420, 162165, doi:10.1038/nature01194.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Myneni, R. B., S. O. Los, and C. J. Tucker, 1996: Satellite-based identification of linked vegetation index and sea surface temperature anomaly areas from 1982–1990 for Africa, Australia and South America. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 729732, doi:10.1029/96GL00266.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Newman, M., and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 1998: The impact of the annual cycle on the North Pacific/North American response to remote low-frequency forcing. J. Atmos. Sci., 55, 13361353, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1998)055<1336:TIOTAC>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Newman, M., G. P. Compo, and M. A. Alexander, 2003: ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific decadal oscillation. J. Climate, 16, 38533857, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<3853:EVOTPD>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Pederson, G. T., and Coauthors, 2011: The unusual nature of recent snowpack declines in the North American Cordillera. Science, 333, 332335, doi:10.1126/science.1201570.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Pierce, D. W., and D. R. Cayan, 2013: The uneven response of different snow measures to human-induced climate change. J. Climate, 26, 41484167, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00534.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Polade, S. D., A. Gershunov, D. R. Cayan, M. D. Dettinger, and D. W. Pierce, 2013: Natural climate variability and teleconnections to precipitation over the Pacific–North American region in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 22962301, doi:10.1002/grl.50491.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, E. B. Horton, C. K. Folland, L. V. Alexander, D. P. Rowell, E. C. Kent, and A. Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4407, doi:10.1029/2002JD002670.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Redmond, K. T., and R. W. Koch, 1991: Surface climate and streamflow variability in the western United States and their relationship to large-scale circulation indices. Water Resour. Res., 27, 23812399, doi:10.1029/91WR00690.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ropelewski, C. F., and M. S. Halpert, 1986: North American precipitation and temperature patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 23522362, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1986)114<2352:NAPATP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ropelewski, C. F., and P. D. Jones, 1987: An extension of the Tahiti–Darwin Southern Oscillation Index. Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 21612165, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<2161:AEOTTS>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Seager, R., and A. Vecchi, 2010: Greenhouse warming and the 21st century hydroclimate of southwestern North America. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 107, 21 27721 282, doi:10.1073/pnas.0910856107.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Seager, R., N. Harnik, W. A. Robinson, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, H.-P. Huang, and J. Velez, 2005: Mechanisms of ENSO-forcing of hemispherically symmetric precipitation variability. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 15011527, doi:10.1256/qj.04.96.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Seager, R., and Coauthors, 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316, 11811184, doi:10.1126/science.1139601.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, M. Ting, and N. Naik, 2010: Northern Hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L14703, doi:10.1029/2010GL043830.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Seager, R., M. Ting, C. Li, N. Naik, B. Cook, J. Nakamura, and H. Liu, 2012: Projections of declining surface-water availability for the southwestern United States. Nat. Climate Change, 3, 482486, doi:10.1038/nclimate1787.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shinker, J. J., and P. J. Bartlein, 2009: Visualizing the large-scale patterns of ENSO-related climate anomalies in North America. Earth Interact., 13, 150, doi:10.1175/2008EI244.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shinker, J. J., and P. J. Bartlein, 2010: Spatial variations of effective moisture in the western United States. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L02701, doi:10.1029/2009GL041387.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shinker, J. J., P. J. Bartlein, and B. Shuman, 2006: Synoptic and dynamic climate controls of North American mid-continental aridity. Quat. Sci. Rev., 25, 14011417, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2005.12.012.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stewart, I. T., D. R. Cayan, and M. D. Dettinger, 2004: Changes in snowmelt runoff timing in the western North America under a ‘business as usual’ climate change scenario. Climatic Change, 62, 217232, doi:10.1023/B:CLIM.0000013702.22656.e8.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Trenberth, K. E., G. W. Branstator, D. Karoly, A. Kumar, N. C. Lau, and C. Ropelewski, 1998: Progress during TOGA in understanding and modeling global teleconnections associated with tropical sea surface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 14 29114 324, doi:10.1029/97JC01444.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Verdon, D. C., A. M. Wyatt, A. S. Kiem, and S. W. Franks, 2004: Multidecadal variability of rainfall and streamflow: Eastern Australia. Water Resour. Res., 40, W10201, doi:10.1029/2004WR003234.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wallace, J. M., and D. S. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 784812, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0784:TITGHF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wise, E. K., 2012: Hydroclimatology of the US Intermountain West. Prog. Phys. Geogr., 36, 458479, doi:10.1177/0309133312446538.

  • Wise, E. K., and M. P. Dannenberg, 2014: Persistence of pressure patterns over North America and the North Pacific since AD 1500. Nat. Commun., 5, 4912, doi:10.1038/ncomms5912.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yamazaki, K., and M. Watanabe, 2015: Effects of extratropical warming on ENSO amplitudes in an ensemble of a coupled GCM. Climate Dyn., 44, 679693, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2145-1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yarnal, B., and H. F. Diaz, 1986: Relationships between extremes of the Southern Oscillation and the winter climate of the Anglo-American Pacific coast. Int. J. Climatol., 6, 197219, doi:10.1002/joc.3370060208.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yeh, S.-W., J.-S. Kug, B. Dewitte, M.-H. Kwon, B. P. Kirtman, and F.-F. Jin, 2009: El Niño in a changing climate. Nature, 461, 511514, doi:10.1038/nature08316.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zhou, Z.-Q., S.-P. Xie, X.-T. Zheng, Q. Liu, and H. Wang, 2014: Global warming–induced changes in El Niño teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America. J. Climate, 27, 90509064, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00254.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 588 152 34
PDF Downloads 318 59 7