A Decadal Weakening in the Connection between ENSO and the Following Spring SST over the Northeast Tropical Atlantic after the Mid-1980s

Wei Chen aState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Search for other papers by Wei Chen in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3161-8447
Restricted access

We are aware of a technical issue preventing figures and tables from showing in some newly published articles in the full-text HTML view.
While we are resolving the problem, please use the online PDF version of these articles to view figures and tables.

Abstract

The north tropical Atlantic (NTA) displays significant sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) during the ENSO decaying spring. This study identifies a largely weakened impact of ENSO on the SSTA concentrated over the northeast tropical Atlantic (NETA) after the mid-1980s, while the impacts on the SSTA over the northwest tropical Atlantic (NWTA) are stable during the whole period. Different SST datasets can recognize this weakened connection between ENSO and the NETA SSTA, suggesting the robustness in this decadal variation. The El Niño–related teleconnections shift westward after the mid-1980s, and thus the anomalous southwesterly, leading to the positive NTA SSTA via the wind–evaporation–SST feedbacks, is restricted over the NWTA without extending eastward. As a result, the positive SSTA rises only over the NWTA but is diminished over the NETA. The regime shift in these circulation anomalies is due to the westward shift in the El Niño–induced convection and circulation anomalies from the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) to the central equatorial Pacific (CEP). Further analysis indicates that the intensified zonal SST gradient over the equatorial Pacific leads to a westward shift of Pacific Walker circulation after the mid-1980s. The westward shift of Walker circulation contributes to the convergent circulation anomalies over the CEP and thus results in the El Niño–induced precipitation anomalies concentrated there.

Significance Statement

Previous studies have indicated a positive connection between ENSO and the succeeding spring SSTA over the north tropical Atlantic (NTA), and this connection tends to be unstable. This study identifies a decadal weakening in the connection between ENSO and the SSTA actually concentrated over the northeast part of tropical Atlantic (NETA) after the mid-1980s. Further analysis indicates that the decadal changes in the ENSO–NETA connection are due to the westward shift in the ENSO-related convection and teleconnections, resulting from the westward shift of Pacific Walker circulation, induced by the intensified zonal SST gradient over the equatorial Pacific after the mid-1980s. The result implies a decadal change in NTA SSTA structure, which may bring different climate anomalies in the surrounding area.

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Wei Chen, chenwei@mail.iap.ac.cn

Abstract

The north tropical Atlantic (NTA) displays significant sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA) during the ENSO decaying spring. This study identifies a largely weakened impact of ENSO on the SSTA concentrated over the northeast tropical Atlantic (NETA) after the mid-1980s, while the impacts on the SSTA over the northwest tropical Atlantic (NWTA) are stable during the whole period. Different SST datasets can recognize this weakened connection between ENSO and the NETA SSTA, suggesting the robustness in this decadal variation. The El Niño–related teleconnections shift westward after the mid-1980s, and thus the anomalous southwesterly, leading to the positive NTA SSTA via the wind–evaporation–SST feedbacks, is restricted over the NWTA without extending eastward. As a result, the positive SSTA rises only over the NWTA but is diminished over the NETA. The regime shift in these circulation anomalies is due to the westward shift in the El Niño–induced convection and circulation anomalies from the eastern equatorial Pacific (EEP) to the central equatorial Pacific (CEP). Further analysis indicates that the intensified zonal SST gradient over the equatorial Pacific leads to a westward shift of Pacific Walker circulation after the mid-1980s. The westward shift of Walker circulation contributes to the convergent circulation anomalies over the CEP and thus results in the El Niño–induced precipitation anomalies concentrated there.

Significance Statement

Previous studies have indicated a positive connection between ENSO and the succeeding spring SSTA over the north tropical Atlantic (NTA), and this connection tends to be unstable. This study identifies a decadal weakening in the connection between ENSO and the SSTA actually concentrated over the northeast part of tropical Atlantic (NETA) after the mid-1980s. Further analysis indicates that the decadal changes in the ENSO–NETA connection are due to the westward shift in the ENSO-related convection and teleconnections, resulting from the westward shift of Pacific Walker circulation, induced by the intensified zonal SST gradient over the equatorial Pacific after the mid-1980s. The result implies a decadal change in NTA SSTA structure, which may bring different climate anomalies in the surrounding area.

© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Wei Chen, chenwei@mail.iap.ac.cn
Save
  • Alexander, M. A., and J. D. Scott, 2002: The influence of ENSO on air–sea interaction in the Atlantic. Geophys. Res. Lett., 29, 1701, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL014347.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Amaya, D. J., and G. R. Foltz, 2014: Impacts of canonical and Modoki El Niño on tropical Atlantic SST. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 119, 777789, https://doi.org/10.1002/2013JC009476.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, S., R. Wu, and W. Chen, 2015: The changing relationship between interannual variations of the North Atlantic oscillation and northern tropical Atlantic SST. J. Climate, 28, 485504, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00422.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, W., J.-K. Park, B. Dong, R. Lu, and W.-S. Jung, 2012: The relationship between ENSO and the western North Pacific summer climate in a coupled GCM: Role of the duration of El Niño decaying phases. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D12111, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD017385.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, W., R. Lu, and B. Dong, 2014: Revisiting asymmetry for the decaying phases of El Niño and La Niña. Atmos. Ocean. Sci. Lett., 7, 275278, https://doi.org/10.1080/16742834.2014.11447175.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, W., J.-Y. Lee, R. Lu, B. Dong, and K.-J. Ha, 2015: Intensified impact of tropical Atlantic SST on the western North Pacific summer climate under a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation. Climate Dyn., 45, 20332046, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2454-4.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, W., J.-Y. Lee, K.-J. Ha, K.-S. Yun, and R. Lu, 2016: Intensification of the western North Pacific anticyclone response to the short decaying El Niño event due to greenhouse warming. J. Climate, 29, 36073627, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0195.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, W., R. Lu, and H. Ding, 2022: A decadal intensification in the modulation of spring west topical Atlantic sea surface temperature to the following winter ENSO after the mid-1980s. Climate Dyn., in press.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chou, C., J.-T. Tu, and J.-Y. Yu, 2003: Interannual variability of the western North Pacific summer monsoon: Differences between ENSO and non-ENSO years. J. Climate, 16, 22752287, https://doi.org/10.1175/2761.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Czaja, A., P. van der Vaart, and J. Marshall, 2002: A diagnostic study of the role of remote forcing in tropical Atlantic variability. J. Climate, 15, 32803290, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<3280:ADSOTR>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Deser, C., M. A. Alexander, S.-P. Xie, and A. S. Phillips, 2010: Sea surface temperature variability: Patterns and mechanisms. Annu. Rev. Mar. Sci., 2, 115143, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-marine-120408-151453.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Enfield, D. B., and D. A. Mayer, 1997: Tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature variability and its relation to El Niño-Southern Oscillation. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 929945, https://doi.org/10.1029/96JC03296.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Freeman, E., and Coauthors, 2017: ICOADS release 3.0: A major update to the historical marine climate record. Int. J. Climatol., 37, 22112237, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4775.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • García-Serrano, J., C. Cassou, H. Douville, A. Giannini, and F. J. Doblas-Reyes, 2017: Revisiting the ENSO teleconnection to the tropical North Atlantic. J. Climate, 30, 69456957, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0641.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Giannini, A., Y. Kushnir, and M. A. Cane, 2000: Interannual variability of Caribbean rainfall, ENSO, and the Atlantic Ocean. J. Climate, 13, 297311, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<0297:IVOCRE>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Guo, Y., Z. Wen, and R. Wu, 2016: Interdecadal change in the tropical Pacific precipitation anomaly pattern around the late 1990s during boreal spring. J. Climate, 29, 59795997, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0462.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Guo, Y., Z. Wen, R. Chen, X. Li, and X.-Q. Yang, 2019: Effect of boreal spring precipitation anomaly pattern change in the late 1990s over tropical Pacific on the atmospheric teleconnection. Climate Dyn., 52, 401416, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4149-8.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ham, Y.-G., J.-S. Kug, J.-Y. Park, and F.-F. Jin, 2013: Sea surface temperature in the north tropical Atlantic as a trigger for El Niño/Southern Oscillation events. Nat. Geosci., 6, 112116, https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo1686.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Han, Z., Q. Zhang, Q. Wen, Z. Lu, G. Feng, T. Su, Q. Li, and Q. Zhang, 2020: The changes in ENSO-induced tropical Pacific precipitation variability in the past warm and cold climates from the EC-Earth simulations. Climate Dyn., 55, 503519, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05280-9.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • He, Z. Q., W. Wang, R. Wu, I. Kang, C. He, X. Li, K. Xu, and S. Chen, 2020: Change in coherence of summer rainfall variability over the western Pacific around the early 2000s: ENSO influence. J. Climate, 33, 11051119, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0150.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Horel, J. D., and J. M. Wallace, 1981: Planetary-scale atmospheric phenomena associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 813829, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0813:PSAPAW>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hu, Z.-Z., A. Kumar, H. Ren, H. Wang, M. L’Heureux, and F. Jin, 2013: Weakened interannual variability in the tropical Pacific Ocean since 2000. J. Climate, 26, 26012613, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00265.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Huang, B., and Coauthors, 2017: Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature version 5 (ERSSTv5), upgrades, validations, and intercomparisons. J. Climate, 30, 81798205, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0836.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jiang, L., and T. Li, 2019: Relative roles of El Niño-induced extratropical and tropical forcing in generating tropical North Atlantic (TNA) SST anomaly. Climate Dyn., 53, 37913804, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04748-7.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jo, H.-S., S.-W. Yeh, and S.-K. Lee, 2015: Changes in the relationship in the SST variability between the tropical Pacific and the North Pacific across the 1998/99 regime shift. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 71717178, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL065049.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437471, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Klein, S. A., B. J. Soden, and N.-C. Lau, 1999: Remote sea surface temperature variations during ENSO: Evidence for a tropical atmospheric bridge. J. Climate, 12, 917932, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<0917:RSSTVD>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lee, S.-K., D. B. Enfield, and C. Wang, 2008: Why do some El Niños have no impact on tropical North Atlantic SST? Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16705, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034734.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lee, T., and M. J. McPhaden, 2010: Increasing intensity of El Niño in the central-equatorial Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L14603, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044007.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Li X., X. Wang, T. Lian, N. C. Johnson, J. Zhu, C.-H. Chang, H. Liu, and W. Wang, 2021: Local and remote SST variability contribute to the westward shift of the Pacific Walker circulation during 1979–2015. Geosci. Lett., 8, 16, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-021-00180-0.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Liu, G., L. Ji, and R. Wu, 2012: An east–west SST anomaly pattern in the midlatitude North Atlantic Ocean associated with winter precipitation variability over eastern China. J. Geophys. Res., 117, D15104, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012JD017960.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lyon, B., A. G. Barnston, and D. G. DeWitt, 2014: Tropical Pacific forcing of a 1998–1999 climate shift: Observational analysis and climate model results for the boreal spring season. Climate Dyn., 43, 893909, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1891-9.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ma S., and T. Zhou, 2016: Robust strengthening and westward shift of the tropical Pacific Walker circulation during 1979–2012: A comparison of 7 sets of reanalysis data and 26 CMIP5 models. J. Climate, 29, 30973118, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0398.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Park, J. H., and T. Li, 2019: Interdecadal modulation of El Niño–tropical North Atlantic teleconnection by the Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation. Climate Dyn., 52, 53455360, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4452-4.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Philander, S. G. H., 1983: El Niño Southern Oscillation phenomena. Nature, 302, 295301, https://doi.org/10.1038/302295a0.

  • Rayner, N. A., D. E. Parker, and E. B. Horton, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 4407, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Saravanan, R., and P. Chang, 2000: Interaction between tropical Atlantic variability and El Niño–Southern Oscillation. J. Climate, 13, 21772194, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<2177:IBTAVA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Taschetto, A. S., R. R. Rodrigues, G. A. Meehl, S. McGregor, and M. H. England, 2016: How sensitive are the Pacific–tropical North Atlantic teleconnections to the position and intensity of El Niño-related warming? Climate Dyn., 46, 18411860, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2679-x.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Uvo, C. B., C. A. Repelli, S. E. Zebiak, and Y. Kushnir, 1998: The relationships between tropical Pacific and Atlantic SST and Northeast Brazil monthly precipitation. J. Climate, 11, 551562, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<0551:TRBTPA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wallace, J. M., and D. C. Gutzler, 1981: Teleconnections in the geopotential height field during the Northern Hemisphere winter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 784812, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0784:TITGHF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, B., R. Wu, and X. Fu, 2000: Pacific–East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J. Climate, 13, 15171536, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013<1517:PEATHD>2.0.CO;2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, C., D. B. Enfield, S. Lee, and C. W. Landsea, 2006: Influences of the Atlantic warm pool on Western Hemisphere summer rainfall and Atlantic hurricanes. J. Climate, 19, 30113028, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI3770.1.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, H., G. Liu, and J. Chen, 2017: Contribution of the tropical western Atlantic thermal conditions during the preceding winter to summer temperature anomalies over the lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin–Jiangnan region. Int. J. Climatol., 37, 46314642, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5111.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wu, R., and Z. He, 2019: Northern tropical Atlantic warming in El Niño decaying spring: Impacts of El Niño amplitude. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 14 07214 081, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085840.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wu, R., M. Lin, and H. Sun, 2020: Impacts of different types of El Niño and La Niña on northern tropical Atlantic sea surface temperature. Climate Dyn., 54, 41474167, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05220-7.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yang, X., and P. Huang, 2021: Restored relationship between ENSO and Indian summer monsoon rainfall around 1999/2000. Innovation, 2, 100102, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2021.100102.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yeh, S. W., J.-S. Kug, B. Dewitte, M.-H. Kwon, B. P. Kirtman, and F.-F. Jin, 2009: El Niño in a changing climate. Nature, 461, 511514, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08316.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yin, X., and L.-T. Zhou, 2019: An interdecadal change in the influence of the central Pacific ENSO on the subsequent north tropical Atlantic spring SST variability around the mid-1980s. Climate Dyn., 53, 879893, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-04618-2.

    • Crossref
    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 796 0 0
Full Text Views 870 404 72
PDF Downloads 668 177 12