Editorial Type:
Article
Article Type:
Research Article

The Centennial Variation of El Niño Impact on Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Ruixin Yang Department of Geography and Geoinformation Science, College of Science, and Center for Earth Observing and Space Research, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia

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Allison Fairley Department of Geography and Geoinformation Science, College of Science, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia

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Wonsun Park GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Kiel, Germany

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Print Publication:
01 Jan 2018
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1175/EI-D-17-0006.1
Page(s):
1–15
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Abstract

Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) activity becomes more important every year while the understanding of what factors impact them continues to be complicated. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the primary factors impacting the activities in both the Pacific and the Atlantic, but an extensive examination of the fluctuation in this system has yet to be studied in its entirety. This article analyzes the ENSO impacts on the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity during the assessed warm and cold years to show the dominant centennial-scale variation impact. This study looks to plausibly link this variation to the Southern Ocean centennial variability, which is rarely mentioned in any factors affecting the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. This centennial variability could be used to enhance future work related to predicting tropical cyclones.

© 2018 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

aCorresponding author: Ruixin Yang, ryang@gmu.edu

Abstract

Predicting tropical cyclone (TC) activity becomes more important every year while the understanding of what factors impact them continues to be complicated. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the primary factors impacting the activities in both the Pacific and the Atlantic, but an extensive examination of the fluctuation in this system has yet to be studied in its entirety. This article analyzes the ENSO impacts on the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity during the assessed warm and cold years to show the dominant centennial-scale variation impact. This study looks to plausibly link this variation to the Southern Ocean centennial variability, which is rarely mentioned in any factors affecting the Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. This centennial variability could be used to enhance future work related to predicting tropical cyclones.

© 2018 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

aCorresponding author: Ruixin Yang, ryang@gmu.edu
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