Validation and Use of a Semidistributed Hydrological Modeling System to Predict Short-Term Effects of Clear-Cutting on a Watershed Hydrological Regime

Martin-Pierre Lavigne Water, Earth, and Environment Center, Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique–Centre Eau, Terre et Environnement, Sainte-Foy, Québec, Canada

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Alain N. Rousseau INRS-ETE, Sainte-Foy, Québec, Canada

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Richard Turcotte Quebec Hydrological Expertise Center, Environnement Quebec, Québec, Canada

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Anne-Marie Laroche Sector of Civil Engineering, Université de Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada

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Jean-Pierre Fortin INRS-ETE, Sainte-Foy, Québec, Canada

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Jean-Pierre Villeneuve INRS-ETE, Sainte-Foy, Québec, Canada

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Abstract

The Gestion Intégrée des Bassins versants à l'aide d'un Système Informatisé (GIBSI), a semidistributed hydrological modeling system, was evaluated for its ability to simulate the impact of deforestation on the hydrological regime of the Famine River watershed (728 km2), a subwatershed of the Chaudière River, Québec, Canada. Annual, spring and summer, and low-water runoff, as well as peak flows, were estimated for both a base-case scenario and a deforestation scenario using 31 annual meteorological series. GIBSI simulated an average increase of annual runoff after clear-cutting of 57% (268 mm) and the proportion of runoff to precipitation increased from 40% to 63%. The average increase in spring runoff was 25%, while in summer it was 138%. For summer low-flow periods, GIBSI simulated an average increase in runoff of 102%. For spring and summer peak-flow rates, hydrographs generated by GIBSI showed that average spring peak flows were increased after deforestation by 26% while summer peak flows were increased by 101%. Differences between spring and summer runoffs as well as peak-flow rates are due to changes in the degree of saturation of the soil and actual evapotranspiration between the two scenarios. Hence, while land-use changes have a substantial impact on summer runoff and low flows, they have little impact on extreme peak-flow events, especially during spring (less than 10% or more than 90% nonexceeding probability). This suggests that land use has a limited role in controlling these extreme events. The simulation results obtained by GIBSI were consistent with those found in the literature. Therefore, GIBSI offers potential as a management tool for investigating prevention and reduction measures of deforestation effects on the hydrological regime of a watershed.

*Corresponding author address: Alain N. Rousseau, INRS-ETE, 2800 Einstein, C.P. 7500, Sainte-Foy, Québec G1V 4C7, Canada. alain_rousseau@inrs-ete.uquebec.ca

This article included in Land Use and Ecosystems special collection.

Abstract

The Gestion Intégrée des Bassins versants à l'aide d'un Système Informatisé (GIBSI), a semidistributed hydrological modeling system, was evaluated for its ability to simulate the impact of deforestation on the hydrological regime of the Famine River watershed (728 km2), a subwatershed of the Chaudière River, Québec, Canada. Annual, spring and summer, and low-water runoff, as well as peak flows, were estimated for both a base-case scenario and a deforestation scenario using 31 annual meteorological series. GIBSI simulated an average increase of annual runoff after clear-cutting of 57% (268 mm) and the proportion of runoff to precipitation increased from 40% to 63%. The average increase in spring runoff was 25%, while in summer it was 138%. For summer low-flow periods, GIBSI simulated an average increase in runoff of 102%. For spring and summer peak-flow rates, hydrographs generated by GIBSI showed that average spring peak flows were increased after deforestation by 26% while summer peak flows were increased by 101%. Differences between spring and summer runoffs as well as peak-flow rates are due to changes in the degree of saturation of the soil and actual evapotranspiration between the two scenarios. Hence, while land-use changes have a substantial impact on summer runoff and low flows, they have little impact on extreme peak-flow events, especially during spring (less than 10% or more than 90% nonexceeding probability). This suggests that land use has a limited role in controlling these extreme events. The simulation results obtained by GIBSI were consistent with those found in the literature. Therefore, GIBSI offers potential as a management tool for investigating prevention and reduction measures of deforestation effects on the hydrological regime of a watershed.

*Corresponding author address: Alain N. Rousseau, INRS-ETE, 2800 Einstein, C.P. 7500, Sainte-Foy, Québec G1V 4C7, Canada. alain_rousseau@inrs-ete.uquebec.ca

This article included in Land Use and Ecosystems special collection.

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