Urbanization and Rainfall Variability in the Beijing Metropolitan Region

Yan Zhang Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, and Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Search for other papers by Yan Zhang in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
James A. Smith Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

Search for other papers by James A. Smith in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Lifeng Luo Department of Geography, and Center for Global Change and Earth Observations, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan

Search for other papers by Lifeng Luo in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Zifa Wang State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China

Search for other papers by Zifa Wang in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Mary Lynn Baeck Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

Search for other papers by Mary Lynn Baeck in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

In this study, rainfall variability in the Beijing metropolitan region and its link to urbanization during the first 10 years of the twenty-first century (2000–09) was examined. Analyses are based on both observations and regional climate model simulations. The study was focused on August, one of the summer months that receive most of the warm season precipitation in Beijing. Observations from surface stations and weather radars in Beijing and its surrounding regions along with satellite observations from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) are used to characterize the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation. It is found that the urban area has fewer rain days and higher rainfall intensity compared to its surrounding region. This suggests a possible impact of urbanization on the spatial variability of rainfall for the region. Regional climate model simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are thus performed with two land use–land cover datasets that represent different stages of urbanization in the Beijing metropolitan region to investigate such an impact. The modeling study demonstrates how urbanization modifies the surface energy budget and the planetary boundary layer, which in turn affects the production of precipitation.

Corresponding author address: Lifeng Luo, Ph.D., Department of Geography, Michigan State University, 122 Geography Building, East Lansing, MI 48824. E-mail: lluo@msu.edu

Abstract

In this study, rainfall variability in the Beijing metropolitan region and its link to urbanization during the first 10 years of the twenty-first century (2000–09) was examined. Analyses are based on both observations and regional climate model simulations. The study was focused on August, one of the summer months that receive most of the warm season precipitation in Beijing. Observations from surface stations and weather radars in Beijing and its surrounding regions along with satellite observations from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) are used to characterize the spatial and temporal variability of precipitation. It is found that the urban area has fewer rain days and higher rainfall intensity compared to its surrounding region. This suggests a possible impact of urbanization on the spatial variability of rainfall for the region. Regional climate model simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model are thus performed with two land use–land cover datasets that represent different stages of urbanization in the Beijing metropolitan region to investigate such an impact. The modeling study demonstrates how urbanization modifies the surface energy budget and the planetary boundary layer, which in turn affects the production of precipitation.

Corresponding author address: Lifeng Luo, Ph.D., Department of Geography, Michigan State University, 122 Geography Building, East Lansing, MI 48824. E-mail: lluo@msu.edu
Save
  • Aikawa, M., Hiraki T. , and Eiho J. , 2009: Change of atmospheric condition in an urbanized area of Japan from the viewpoint of rainfall intensity. Environ. Monit. Assess., 148, 449453, doi:10.1007/s10661-008-0174-0.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Baik, J. J., Kim Y.-H. , Kim J.-J. , and Han J.-Y. , 2007: Effects of boundary-layer stability on urban heat island–induced circulation. Theor. Appl. Climatol., 89, 7381, doi:10.1007/s00704-006-0254-4.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bornstein, R., and LeRoy M. , 1990: Urban barrier effects on convective and frontal thunderstorms. Preprints, Fourth Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Boulder, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 2529.

  • Bornstein, R., and Lin Q. , 2000: Urban heat islands and summertime convective thunderstorms in Atlanta: Three case studies. Atmos. Environ., 34, 507516, doi:10.1016/S1352-2310(99)00374-X.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chang, H. I., Kumar A. , Niyogi D. , Mohanty U. C. , Chen F. , and Dudhia J. , 2009: The role of land surface processes on the mesoscale simulation of the July 26, 2005 heavy rain event over Mumbai, India. Global Planet. Change, 67, 87103, doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.12.005.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Changnon, S. A., Jr., 1962: A climatological evaluation of precipitation patterns over an urban area. Air over cities, U.S. Public Health Services Tech. Rep. A62-5, 37–67.

  • Changnon, S. A., Jr., and Huff F. A. , 1986: The urban-related nocturnal rainfall anomaly at St. Louis. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 25, 19851995, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1986)025<1985:TURNRA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Changnon, S. A., Jr., Huff F. A. , and Semonin R. G. , 1971: METROMEX: An investigation of inadvertent weather modification. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 52, 958968, doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1971)052<0958:MAIOIW>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, F., and Dudhia J. , 2001a: Coupling an advanced land surface–hydrology model with the Penn State–NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: Model implementation and sensitivity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 569585, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0569:CAALSH>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, F., and Dudhia J. , 2001b: Coupling an advanced land surface–hydrology model with the Penn State–NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part II: Preliminary model validation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 587604, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0587:CAALSH>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, F., and Zhang Y. , 2009: On the coupling strength between the land surface and the atmosphere: From viewpoint of surface exchange coefficients. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L10404, doi:10.1029/2009GL037980.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, F., and Coauthors, 2011: The integrated WRF/urban modeling system: Development, evaluation, and applications to urban environmental problems. Int. J. Climatol., 31, 273–288, doi:10.1002/joc.2158.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Collier, C. G., 2006: The impact of urban areas on rainfall. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 132, 125, doi:10.1256/qj.05.199.

  • Diem, J. E., 2008: Detecting summer rainfall enhancement within metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia USA. Int. J. Climatol., 28, 129133, doi:10.1002/joc.1560.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Diem, J. E., Coleman L. B. , Digirolamo P. A. , Gowens C. W. , Hayden N. R. , Unger E. E. , Wetta G. B. , and Williams H. A. , 2004: Comments on “Rainfall modification by major urban areas: Observations from spaceborne rain radar on the TRMM satellite.” J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 941950, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2004)043<0941:CORMBM>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dinku, T., Ceccato P. , Grover-Kopec E. , Lemma M. , Connor S. J. , and Ropelewski C. F. , 2007: Validation of satellite rainfall products over East Africa’s complex topography. Int. J. Remote Sens., 28, 15031526, doi:10.1080/01431160600954688.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ebert, E. E., Janowiak J. E. , and Kidd C. , 2007: Comparison of near-real-time precipitation estimates from satellite observations and numerical models. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 4764, doi:10.1175/BAMS-88-1-47.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ek, M. B., Mitchell K. E. , Lin Y. , Rogers E. , Grunmann P. , Koren V. , Gayno G. , and Tarpley J. D. , 2003: Implementation of Noah land surface model advances in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction operational mesoscale Eta model. J. Geophys. Res., 108, 8851, doi:10.1029/2002JD003296.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Givati, A., and Rosenfeld D. , 2004: Quantifying precipitation suppression due to air pollution. J. Appl. Meteor., 43, 10381056, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2004)043<1038:QPSDTA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gong, D.-Y., Ho C.-H. , Chen D. , Qian Y. , Choi Y.-S. , and Kim J. , 2007: Weekly cycle of aerosol–meteorology interaction over China. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D22202, doi:10.1029/2007JD008888.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Guo, X., Fu D. , and Wang J. , 2006: Mesoscale convective precipitation system modified by urbanization in Beijing City. Atmos. Res., 82, 112126, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2005.12.007.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Han, W. S., Burian S. J. , and Shepherd J. M. , 2011: Assessment of satellite-based rainfall estimates in urban areas in different geographic and climatic regions. Nat. Hazards, 56, 733747, doi:10.1007/s11069-010-9585-7.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hand, L. M., and Shepherd J. M. , 2009: An investigation of warm-season spatial rainfall variability in Oklahoma City: Possible linkages to urbanization and prevailing wind. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 251269, doi:10.1175/2008JAMC2036.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Holt, T. R., Niyogi D. , Chen F. , Manning K. , LeMone M. A. , and Qureshi A. , 2006: Effect of land–atmosphere interactions on the IHOP 24–25 May 2002 convection case. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 113133, doi:10.1175/MWR3057.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Horton, R. E., 1921: Thunderstorm breeding spots. Mon. Wea. Rev., 49, 193194, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1921)49<193a:TS>2.0.CO;2.

  • Huff, F. A., and Changnon S. A. Jr., 1972: Climatological assessment of urban effects on precipitation at St. Louis. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 823842, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1972)011<0823:CAOUEO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Huffman, G. J., and Coauthors, 2007: The TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA): Quasi-global, multiyear, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scales. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 3855, doi:10.1175/JHM560.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jauregui, E., and Romales E. , 1996: Urban effects on convective precipitation in Mexico City. Atmos. Environ., 30, 33833389, doi:10.1016/1352-2310(96)00041-6.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jiang, X., and Liu W. , 2007: Numerical simulations of impacts on urbanization on heavy rainfall in Beijing using different land-use data. J. Meteor. Res., 21, 245–255.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jin, M., and Shepherd J. M. , 2008: Aerosol relationships to warm season clouds and rainfall at monthly scales over east China: Urban land versus ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D24S90, doi:10.1029/2008JD010276.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kalnay, E., and Cai M. , 2003: Impact of urbanization and land-use change on climate. Nature, 423, 528531, doi:10.1038/nature01675.

  • Katsanos, D., Lagouvardos K. , Kotroni V. , and Huffman G. J. , 2004: Statistical evaluation of MPA-RT high resolution precipitation estimates from satellite platforms over the central and eastern Mediterranean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L06116, doi:10.1029/2003GL019142.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kaufmann, R. K., Seto K. C. , Schneider A. , Liu Z. , Zhou L. , and Wang W. , 2007: Climate response to rapid urban growth: Evidence of a human-induced precipitation deficit. J. Climate, 20, 22992306, doi:10.1175/JCLI4109.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kendall, M. G., 1955: Rank Correlation Methods. 2nd ed. Oxford University Press, 196 pp.

  • Landsberg, H. E., 1981: The Urban Climate. International Geophysics Series, Vol. 28, Academic Press, 275 pp.

  • Lei, M., Niyogi D. , Kishtawal C. , Pielke R. A. Sr., Beltrán-Przekurat A. , Nobis T. E. , and Vaidya S. S. , 2008: Effect of explicit urban land surface representation on the simulation of the 26 July 2005 heavy rain event over Mumbai, India. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 8, 59755995, doi:10.5194/acp-8-5975-2008.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • LeMone, M. A., Tewari M. , Chen F. , Alfieri J. , and Niyogi D. , 2008: Evaluation of the Noah land-surface model using data from a fair-weather IHOP_200 day with heterogeneous surface fluxes. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 49154941, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2354.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Li, J., Yu R. , and Wang J. , 2008: Diurnal variations of summer precipitation in Beijing. Chin. Sci. Bull.,53, 1933–1936, doi:10.1007/s11434-008-0195-7.

  • Li, Z., and Coauthors, 2011a: East Asian Studies of Tropospheric Aerosols and their Impact on Regional Climate (EAST-AIRC): An overview. J. Geophys. Res., 116, D00K34, doi:10.1029/2010JD015257.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Li, Z., Niu F. , Fan J. , Liu Y. , Rosenfeld D. , and Ding Y. , 2011b: Long-term impacts of aerosols on the vertical development of clouds and precipitation. Nat. Geosci., 4, 888894, doi:10.1038/ngeo1313.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lin, Y.-L., Farley R. D. , and Orville H. D. , 1983: Bulk parameterization of the snow field in a cloud model. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 22, 10651092, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1983)022<1065:BPOTSF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Liu, Y., Chen F. , Warner T. , Swerdlin S. , Bowers J. , and Halvorson S. , 2004: Improvements to surface flux computations in a non-local-mixing PBL scheme, and refinements on urban processes in the Noah land-surface model with the NCAR/ATEC real-time FDDA and forecast system. 20th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. on Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 22.2. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/84Annual/techprogram/paper_72489.htm.]

  • Lowry, W. P., 1998: Urban effects on precipitation amount. Prog. Phys. Geogr., 22, 477520, doi:10.1177/030913339802200403.

  • Lu, R., 2003: Linear relationship between the interdecadal and interannual variabilities of North China rainfall in rainy season. Chin. Sci. Bull., 48, 10401044, doi:10.1007/BF03184223.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Miao, S., Chen F. , LeMone M. A. , Tewari M. , Li Q. , and Wang Y. , 2009: An observational and modeling study of characteristics of urban heat island and boundary layer structure in Beijing. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 48, 484501, doi:10.1175/2008JAMC1909.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mölders, N., and Olson M. A. , 2004: Impact of urban effects on precipitation in high latitudes. J. Hydrometeor., 5, 409429, doi:10.1175/1525-7541(2004)005<0409:IOUEOP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mote, T. L., Lacke M. C. , and Shepherd J. M. , 2007: Radar signatures of the urban effect on precipitation distribution: A case study for Atlanta, Georgia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L20710, doi:10.1029/2007GL031903.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ntelekos, A. A., Smith J. A. , Baeck M. L. , Krajewski W. F. , Miller A. J. , and Goska R. , 2008: Extreme hydrometeorological events and the urban environment: Dissecting the 7 July 2004 thunderstorm over the Baltimore MD metropolitan region. Water Resour. Res., 44, W08446, doi:10.1029/2007WR006346.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ntelekos, A. A., Smith J. A. , Donner L. , Fast J. D. , Gustafson W. I. Jr., Chapman E. G. , and Krajewski W. F. , 2009: The effects of aerosols on intense convective precipitation in the northeastern United States. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 13671394, doi:10.1002/qj.476.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Oke, T. R., 1982: The energetic basis of the urban heat island. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 108, 124.

  • Qian, Y., Gong D. , Fan J. , Leung L. R. , Bennartz R. , Chen D. , and Wang W. , 2009: Heavy pollution suppresses light rain in China: Observations and modeling. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D00K02, doi:10.1029/2008JD011575.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rosenfeld, D., 2000: Suppression of rain and snow by urban and industrial air pollution. Science, 287, 17931796, doi:10.1126/science.287.5459.1793.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rutledge, S. A., and Hobbs P. V. , 1984: The mesoscale and microscale structure and organization of clouds and precipitation in mid-latitude cyclones. XII: A diagnostic modeling study of precipitation development in narrow cloud-frontal rainbands. J. Atmos. Sci., 41, 29492972, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1984)041<2949:TMAMSA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Saha, and Coauthors, 2010: The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 91,10151057, doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sapiano, M. R. P., and Arkin P. A. , 2009: An intercomparison and validation of high-resolution satellite precipitation estimates with 3-hourly gauge data. J. Hydrometeor., 10, 149166, doi:10.1175/2008JHM1052.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shea, D. J., Worley S. J. , Stern I. R. , and Hoar T. J. , 1994: An introduction to atmospheric and oceanographic datasets. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-404+IA, 132 pp.

  • Shem, W., and Shepherd M. , 2009: On the impact of urbanization on summertime thunderstorms in Atlanta: Two numerical model case studies. Atmos. Res., 92, 172189, doi:10.1016/j.atmosres.2008.09.013.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shepherd, J. M., 2005: A review of current investigations of urban-induced rainfall and recommendations for the future. Earth Interact., 9, 127, doi:10.1175/EI156.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shepherd, J. M., Pierce H. , and Negri A. J. , 2002: Rainfall modification by major urban areas: Observations from spaceborne rain radar on the TRMM satellite. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 689701, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(2002)041<0689:RMBMUA>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Shepherd, J. M., Carter M. , Manyin M. , Messen D. , and Burian S. , 2010: The impact of urbanization on current and future coastal precipitation: A case study for Houston. Environ. Plann., 37B, 284304, doi:10.1068/b34102t.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Skamarock, W. C., and Coauthors, 2008: A description of the Advanced Research WRF version 3. NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN-475+STR, 113 pp. [Available online at http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/wrf/users/docs/arw_v3_bw.pdf.]

  • Smith, J. A., and Krajewski W. F. , 1991: Estimation of the mean field bias of radar rainfall estimates. J. Appl. Meteor., 30, 397412, doi:10.1175/1520-0450(1991)030<0397:EOTMFB>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Stout, G. E., 1962: Some observations of cloud initiation in industrial areas. Air over cities, U.S. Public Health Service Tech. Rep. A62-5, 147–153.

  • Tian, Y., Peters-Lidard C. D. , Choudhury B. J. , and Garcia M. , 2007: Multitemporal analysis of TRMM-based satellite precipitation products for land data assimilation applications. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 11651183, doi:10.1175/2007JHM859.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • United Nations, 2010: 2009 revision of world urbanization prospects. Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations, 4 pp. [Available online at http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/Documents/WUP2009_Press-Release_Final_Rev1.pdf.]

  • Van Den Heever, S. C., and Cotton W. R. , 2007: Urban aerosol impacts on downwind convective storms. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 46, 828850, doi:10.1175/JAM2492.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Villarini, G., and Krajewski W. F. , 2007: Evaluation of the research version TMPA three-hourly 0.25° × 0.25° rainfall estimates over Oklahoma. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05402, doi:10.1029/2006GL029147.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Villarini, G., Krajewski W. F. , and Smith J. A. , 2009: New paradigm for statistical validation of satellite precipitation estimates: Application to a large sample of the TMPA 0.25° 3-hourly estimates over Oklahoma. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D12106, doi:10.1029/2008JD011475.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, B., Wu R. , and Lau K. M. , 2001: Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon: Contrasts between the Indian and the western North Pacific–East Asian monsoons. J. Climate, 14, 40734090, doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<4073:IVOTAS>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wei, F., Yu X. , and Mann M. E. , 2008: Probabilistic trend of anomalous summer rainfall in Beijing: Role of interdecadal variability. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D20106, doi:10.1029/2008JD010111.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Xu, Z. X., Zhang L. , and Ruan B. Q. , 2006: Analysis on the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation in the Beijing region. Arid Land Geogr., 29 (2), 186192.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zhang, C. L., Chen F. , Miao S. G. , Li Q. C. , Xia X. A. , and Xuan C. Y. , 2009: Impacts of urban expansion and future green planting on summer precipitation in the Beijing metropolitan area. J. Geophys. Res., 114, D02116, doi:10.1029/2008JD010328.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zhao, C., Tie X. , and Lin Y. , 2006: A possible positive feedback of reduction of precipitation and increase in aerosols over eastern central China. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L11814, doi:10.1029/2006GL025959.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 2102 1284 443
PDF Downloads 709 157 15