Rainfall Shortage and El Niño–Southern Oscillation in New Caledonia, Southwestern Pacific

A. Morliere Surtropac Group, Orstom B.P. A5 Noumea, Nouvelle Calédonie

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J. P. Rebert Surtropac Group, Orstom B.P. A5 Noumea, Nouvelle Calédonie

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Abstract

About three months after the beginning of an El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) year, a rainfall shortage develops over all of New Caledonia (21°S, 165°E) and lasts for 12 months. There is, on the average, a 22% decrease over the mean monthly rainfalls for one year. This result is based on the study of a rainfall composite and of a composite obtained from the first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) extracting more than half of the variance over 30 years of measurement at 18 stations.

Abstract

About three months after the beginning of an El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) year, a rainfall shortage develops over all of New Caledonia (21°S, 165°E) and lasts for 12 months. There is, on the average, a 22% decrease over the mean monthly rainfalls for one year. This result is based on the study of a rainfall composite and of a composite obtained from the first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) extracting more than half of the variance over 30 years of measurement at 18 stations.

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