Surface Wind Fields of 1995 Hurricanes Erin, Opal, Luis, Marilyn, and Roxanne at Landfall

Mark D. Powell NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida

Search for other papers by Mark D. Powell in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Samuel H. Houston NOAA/AOML Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida

Search for other papers by Samuel H. Houston in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Hurricanes Erin, Opal, Luis, Marilyn, and Roxanne were the most destructive hurricanes of 1995. At landfall, Luis and Marilyn contained maximum sustained winds (marine exposure) estimated at near 60 and 46 m s−1, respectively. The strongest landfalling storm of the 1995 season, Luis, decreased in intensity from a category 4 to 3 on the Saffir–Simpson scale shortly before the eyewall crossed the Islands of Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts-Nevis, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, and Anguilla. Hurricane Marilyn strengthened as it approached the U.S. Virgin Islands, with St. Thomas bearing the brunt of the north and south eyewall winds of 46 m s−1 (marine exposure) and St. Croix being affected by the relatively weak western eyewall peak winds of 35–40 m s−1 (marine exposure). For Luis and Marilyn only surface winds with marine exposures were analyzed because of unknown small-scale interactions associated with complex island terrain with 500–1000-m elevations. Wind engineering studies suggest that wind acceleration over blunt ridges can increase or “speed up” winds by 20%–80%. Topographic effects were evident in damage debris analyses and suggest that an operational method of assessing terrain-induced wind gusts (such as a scaled down mesoscale model) is needed. After landfall as a marginal hurricane over central Florida, Hurricane Erin regained strength over the Gulf of Mexico with a well-defined radar reflectivity structure. Erin struck the Florida panhandle near Navarre Beach with maximum sustained surface winds of 35–40 m s−1 affecting the Destin–Ft. Walton area. Hurricane Opal made landfall in nearly the identical area as Erin, with maximum sustained surface winds of 40–45 m s−1, having weakened from an intensity of nearly 60 m s−1 only 10 h earlier. Opal was characterized by an asymmetric structure that was likely related to cold front interaction and an associated midlevel southwesterly jet. Roxanne struck Cozumel, Mexico, with sustained surface winds (marine exposure) of 46 s−1, crossed the Yucatan, and meandered in the southwest Gulf of Mexico for several days. While in the Bay of Campeche, Roxanne’s large area of hurricane-force winds disabled a vessel, which lead to the drowning deaths of five oil industry workers. High-resolution wind records are critical to preserving an accurate extreme wind climatology required for assessment of realistic building code risks. Unfortunately, power interruptions to Automated Surface Observing Stations on the U.S. Virgin Islands (St. Croix, St. Thomas) and Destin, Florida, prevented complete wind records of the eyewall passages of Marilyn and Opal, respectively.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Mark D. Powell, NOAA Hurricane Research Division—AOML, 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149.

Abstract

Hurricanes Erin, Opal, Luis, Marilyn, and Roxanne were the most destructive hurricanes of 1995. At landfall, Luis and Marilyn contained maximum sustained winds (marine exposure) estimated at near 60 and 46 m s−1, respectively. The strongest landfalling storm of the 1995 season, Luis, decreased in intensity from a category 4 to 3 on the Saffir–Simpson scale shortly before the eyewall crossed the Islands of Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts-Nevis, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, and Anguilla. Hurricane Marilyn strengthened as it approached the U.S. Virgin Islands, with St. Thomas bearing the brunt of the north and south eyewall winds of 46 m s−1 (marine exposure) and St. Croix being affected by the relatively weak western eyewall peak winds of 35–40 m s−1 (marine exposure). For Luis and Marilyn only surface winds with marine exposures were analyzed because of unknown small-scale interactions associated with complex island terrain with 500–1000-m elevations. Wind engineering studies suggest that wind acceleration over blunt ridges can increase or “speed up” winds by 20%–80%. Topographic effects were evident in damage debris analyses and suggest that an operational method of assessing terrain-induced wind gusts (such as a scaled down mesoscale model) is needed. After landfall as a marginal hurricane over central Florida, Hurricane Erin regained strength over the Gulf of Mexico with a well-defined radar reflectivity structure. Erin struck the Florida panhandle near Navarre Beach with maximum sustained surface winds of 35–40 m s−1 affecting the Destin–Ft. Walton area. Hurricane Opal made landfall in nearly the identical area as Erin, with maximum sustained surface winds of 40–45 m s−1, having weakened from an intensity of nearly 60 m s−1 only 10 h earlier. Opal was characterized by an asymmetric structure that was likely related to cold front interaction and an associated midlevel southwesterly jet. Roxanne struck Cozumel, Mexico, with sustained surface winds (marine exposure) of 46 s−1, crossed the Yucatan, and meandered in the southwest Gulf of Mexico for several days. While in the Bay of Campeche, Roxanne’s large area of hurricane-force winds disabled a vessel, which lead to the drowning deaths of five oil industry workers. High-resolution wind records are critical to preserving an accurate extreme wind climatology required for assessment of realistic building code risks. Unfortunately, power interruptions to Automated Surface Observing Stations on the U.S. Virgin Islands (St. Croix, St. Thomas) and Destin, Florida, prevented complete wind records of the eyewall passages of Marilyn and Opal, respectively.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Mark D. Powell, NOAA Hurricane Research Division—AOML, 4301 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149.

Save
  • ASCE, 1995: Minimum design loads for buildings and other structures. ASCE 7-95, American Society of Civil Engineers, 134 pp. [Available from American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, NY 10017.].

  • Associated Press, 1995: Hurricane survivors recount 35 scary hours. New York Times, Late Edition, 19 October, Section: A, Foreign Desk, 5.

  • Atkinson, G. D., and C. R. Holliday, 1977: Tropical cyclone minimum sea level pressure/maximum sustained wind relationship for the western North Pacific. Mon. Wea. Rev.,105, 421–427.

  • Black, P. G., 1993: Evolution of maximum wind estimates in typhoons. Proc. ICSU/WMO Int. Symp. on Tropical Cyclone Disasters, Beijing, China, Peking University Press, 104–115.

  • Bradley, E. P., 1980: An experimental study of the profiles of wind speed, shearing stress, and turbulence characteristics close to the ground over various escarpment shapes. Bound.-Layer Meteor.,106, 101–123.

  • Burpee, R. W., and Coauthors, 1994: Real-time guidance provided by NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division to forecasters during Emily of 1993. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,75, 1765–1783.

  • Caribbean Uniform Building Code, 1989: Part 2—Structural design requirement. Georgetown, Guyana: Caribbean Community Secretariat, 55 pp.

  • DeMaria, M., S. M. Aberson, K. V. Ooyama, and S. J. Lord, 1992: A nested spectral model for hurricane track forecasting. Mon. Wea. Rev.,120, 1628–1643.

  • Dvorak, V. F., 1984: Tropical cyclone intensity analysis using satellite data. NOAA Tech. Rep. NESDIS 11, 47 pp. [Available from U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Washington, DC 20233.].

  • Fujita, T. T., 1971: Proposed characterization of tornados and hurricanes by area and intensity. SMRP Res. Paper No. 91, Dept. of Geophys. Sci., University of Chicago, 42 pp. [Available from Dept. of Geophys. Sciences, University of Chicago, 5734 Ellis Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637.].

  • ——, 1993: Wind fields of Andrew, Omar, and Iniki, 1992. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46–49.

  • Glanville, M. J., and K. C. S. Kwok, 1998: Measurements of topographic multipliers and flow separation from a steep escarpment. Part II: Model measurements. J. Wind Engin. Ind. Aerodyn., in press.

  • Holmes, J. D., R. W. Banks, and P. Paevere, 1998: Measurements of topographic multipliers and flow separation from a steep escarpment. Part I: Full scale measurements. J. Wind. Engin. Ind. Aerodyn., in press.

  • Husty, D., 1995: What hit us? 130 mph winds, expert says. The Virgin Island Daily News, 16 October.

  • Jackson, P. S., and J. C. R. Hunt, 1975: Turbulent wind flow over a low hill. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,101, 929–955.

  • Jensen, N. O., and E. W. Peterson, 1978: On the escarpment wind profile. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,104, 719–728.

  • Lawrence, M., M. Mayfield, L. Avila, R. Pasch, and E. Rappaport, 1998: Atlantic hurricane season of 1995 Mon. Wea. Rev.,126, 1124–1151.

  • Lohr, L., 1995: St. Johnians remain calm, begin picking up. The Virgin Island Daily News, 18 September.

  • Lord, S. J., and J. L. Franklin, 1987: The environment of Hurricane Debby. Part I: Winds. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 2760–2780.

  • Marshall, R. D., and J. L. Schroeder, 1997: Hurricane Marilyn in the Caribbean—Measured wind speeds and design wind speeds compared. NISTIR 5987. [Available from National Institute for Standards and Technology, Building and Fire Research Laboratory, Gaithersburg, MD 20899.].

  • Means, B., T. A. Reinhold, and D. C. Perry, 1996: Wind loads for low rise buildings on escarpments. Structures Congress XIV, Chicago, IL, American Society of Civil Engineers, 1045–1052.

  • National Research Council, 1994: Hurricane Hugo. Puerto Rico, the Virgin islands, and Charleston, South Carolina. Natural Disaster Studies. Vol. 6, 276 pp.

  • Ooyama, K. V., 1987: Scale controlled objective analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 2479–2506.

  • Powell, M. D., 1980: Evaluations of diagnostic marine boundary layer models applied to hurricanes. Mon. Wea. Rev.,108, 757–766.

  • ——, 1993: Wind measurement and archival under the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS): User concerns and opportunity for improvement. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.,74, 615–623.

  • ——, and S. H. Houston, 1996: Hurricane Andrew’s landfall in south Florida. Part II: Surface wind fields and potential real-time applications. Wea. Forecasting,11, 329–349.

  • ——, P. P. Dodge, and M. L. Black, 1991: The landfall of Hurricane Hugo in the Carolinas: Surface wind distribution. Wea. Forecasting,6, 379–399.

  • ——, S. H. Houston, and T. Reinhold, 1996: Hurricane Andrew’s landfall in south Florida. Part I: Standardizing measurements for documentation of surface wind fields. Wea. Forecasting,11, 304–328.

  • Roux, F., and F. D. Marks, 1996: Extended velocity track display (EVTD): An improved processing method for Doppler radar observation of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol.,13, 875–899.

  • Saffir, H. S., 1977: Design and construction requirements for hurricane resistant construction. Preprint No. 2830, ASCE, 20 pp. [Available from American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, NY 10017.].

  • Simpson, R. H., and H. Riehl, 1981: The Hurricane and its Impact. Louisiana State University Press, 398 pp.

  • Standards Australia, 1989: SAA loading code. Part 2: Wind loads. AS1170.2-1989, Standards Australia, 96 pp. [Available from Standards Australia, Standards House, 80 Arthur Street, North Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.].

  • Wernly, D., 1996: Hurricane Marilyn September 15–16, 1995. Natural Disaster Survey Report. National Weather Service. [Available from National Weather Service, Office of Meteorology, 1325 East-West Highway, Room 14370, Silver Spring, MD 20910.].

  • Willoughby, H. E., 1995: Mature structure and evolution. Global perspectives on tropical cyclones. WMO/TD-No. 693, Tropical Cyclone Programme Report No. TCP-38, 21–62. [Available from the World Meteorological Organization, Case Postale 2300, CH-1211 Geneva 2, Switzerland.].

  • ——, J. A. Clos, and M. G. Shoreibah, 1982: Concentric eye walls, secondary wind maxima, and the evolution of the hurricane vortex. J. Atmos. Sci.,39, 395–411.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 2511 1481 108
PDF Downloads 767 173 10