The Structure and Evolution of a Numerically Simulated High-Precipitation Supercell Thunderstorm

Mark S. Kulie Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina

Search for other papers by Mark S. Kulie in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Yuh-Lang Lin Department of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, North Carolina

Search for other papers by Yuh-Lang Lin in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

The structure and evolution of a high-precipitation (HP) supercell thunderstorm is investigated using a three-dimensional, nonhydrostatic, cloud-scale numerical model (TASS). The model is initialized with a sounding taken from a mesoscale modeling study of the environment that produced the 28 November 1988 Raleigh tornadic thunderstorm. TASS produces a long-lived convective system that compares favorably with the observed Raleigh tornadic thunderstorm. The simulated storm evolves from a multicell-type storm to a multiple-updraft supercell storm. The storm complex resembles a hybrid multicell-supercell thunderstorm and is consistent with the conceptual model of cool season strong dynamic HP supercells that are characterized by shallow mesocyclones. The origin of rotation in this type of storm is often in the lowest levels.

Interactions between various cells in the simulated convective system are responsible for the transition to a supercellular structure. An intense low-level updraft core forms on the southwest flank of the simulated storm and moves over a region that is rich in vertical vorticity. The stretching of this preexisting vertical vorticity in the storm’s lowest levels is the most important vertical vorticity production mechanism during the initial stages of the main updraft’s development. Interactions with an extensive cold pool created by the storm complex are also important in producing vertical vorticity as the main updraft grows. Overall, the development of vorticity associated with the main updraft appears similar to nonsupercellular tornadic storms. However, classic supercell signatures are seen early in the simulation associated with other updrafts (e.g., formation of vortex couplet due to tilting of ambient horizontal vorticity, storm splitting, etc.) and are deemed important.

In the storm’s supercell stage, rotation is sustained in the lowest levels of the storm despite large amounts of precipitation located near and within the main mesocyclone. Pulsating downdrafts periodically invigorate the storm and the gust front never occludes, thus allowing the main updraft to persist for a prolonged period of time. The storm’s intensity is also maintained by frequent updraft mergers.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Yuh-Lang Lin, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8208.

Email: yl_lin@ncsu.edu

Abstract

The structure and evolution of a high-precipitation (HP) supercell thunderstorm is investigated using a three-dimensional, nonhydrostatic, cloud-scale numerical model (TASS). The model is initialized with a sounding taken from a mesoscale modeling study of the environment that produced the 28 November 1988 Raleigh tornadic thunderstorm. TASS produces a long-lived convective system that compares favorably with the observed Raleigh tornadic thunderstorm. The simulated storm evolves from a multicell-type storm to a multiple-updraft supercell storm. The storm complex resembles a hybrid multicell-supercell thunderstorm and is consistent with the conceptual model of cool season strong dynamic HP supercells that are characterized by shallow mesocyclones. The origin of rotation in this type of storm is often in the lowest levels.

Interactions between various cells in the simulated convective system are responsible for the transition to a supercellular structure. An intense low-level updraft core forms on the southwest flank of the simulated storm and moves over a region that is rich in vertical vorticity. The stretching of this preexisting vertical vorticity in the storm’s lowest levels is the most important vertical vorticity production mechanism during the initial stages of the main updraft’s development. Interactions with an extensive cold pool created by the storm complex are also important in producing vertical vorticity as the main updraft grows. Overall, the development of vorticity associated with the main updraft appears similar to nonsupercellular tornadic storms. However, classic supercell signatures are seen early in the simulation associated with other updrafts (e.g., formation of vortex couplet due to tilting of ambient horizontal vorticity, storm splitting, etc.) and are deemed important.

In the storm’s supercell stage, rotation is sustained in the lowest levels of the storm despite large amounts of precipitation located near and within the main mesocyclone. Pulsating downdrafts periodically invigorate the storm and the gust front never occludes, thus allowing the main updraft to persist for a prolonged period of time. The storm’s intensity is also maintained by frequent updraft mergers.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Yuh-Lang Lin, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8208.

Email: yl_lin@ncsu.edu

Save
  • Bluestein, H. B., and C. R. Parks, 1983: A synoptic and photographic climatology of 786 low-precipitation severe thunderstorms in the southern plains. Mon. Wea. Rev.,111, 2034–2046.

  • Brady, R. H., and E. Szoke, 1989: A case study of nonmesocyclone tornado development in northeast Colorado: Similarities to waterspout formation. Mon. Wea. Rev.,117, 843–856.

  • Brooks, H. E., C. A. Doswell III, and R. B. Wilhelmson, 1994: The role of midtropospheric winds in the evolution and maintenance of low-level mesocyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev.,122, 126–136.

  • Brown, R. A., 1992: Initiation and evolution of updraft rotation within an incipient supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci.,49, 1997–2014.

  • Browning, P. A., J. E. Hales Jr., and L. F. Wilson, 1989: Factors contributing to the Raleigh tornado of 28 November 1988. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 167–172.

  • Burgess, D. W., V. T. Wood, and R. A. Brown, 1982: Mesocyclone evolution statistics. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 422–424.

  • Carbone, R. E., 1983: A severe frontal rainband. Part II: Tornado parent vortex circulation. J. Atmos. Sci.,40, 2639–2654.

  • Davies-Jones, R. P., 1984: Streamwise vorticity: The origin of updraft rotation in supercell storms. J. Atmos. Sci.,41, 2991–3006.

  • ——, D. Burgess, and M. Foster, 1990; Test of helicity as a tornado forecast parameter. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 588–592.

  • Doswell, C. A., III, A. R. Moller, and R. W. Przybylinski, 1990: A unified set of conceptual models for variations on the supercell theme. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40–45.

  • Foote, G. B., and H. W. Frank, 1983: Case study of a hailstorm in Colorado. Part III: Airflow from triple-Doppler measurements. J. Atmos. Sci.,40, 686–707.

  • Funk, S., 1991: An analysis of the tornado-producing Raleigh thunderstorm of November 28, 1988. M.S. thesis, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, 98 pp. [Available from Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmosphere Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695.].

  • Gonski, R. F., B. P. Woods, and W. D. Korotky, 1989: The Raleigh tornado—28 November 1988: An operational perspective. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 173–178.

  • Johns, R. H., J. M. Davies, and P. W. Leftwich, 1993: Some wind and instability parameters associated with strong and violent tornadoes. Part II: Variations in the combinations of wind and instability parameters. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 583–590.

  • Johnson, K. W., P. S. Ray, B. C. Johnson, and R. P. Davies-Jones, 1987: Observations related to the rotational dynamics of the 20 May 1977 tornadic storms. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 2463–2478.

  • Kaplan, M. L., R. A. Rozumalski, R. P. Weglarz, Y.-L. Lin, S. Businger, and R. F. Gonski, 1995: Numerical simulation studies of the mesoscale environment conducive to the Raleigh tornado. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS ER-90, 101 pp. [Available from Y.-L. Lin, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8208.].

  • Klemp, J. B., and R. B. Wilhelmson, 1978: Simulations of right- and left-moving storms produced through storm splitting. J. Atmos. Sci.,35, 1097–1110.

  • ——, and R. Rotunno, 1983: A study of the tornadic region within a supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci.,40, 359–377.

  • ——, R. B. Wilhemson, and P. S. Ray, 1981: Observed and numerically simulated structure of a mature supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci.,38, 1558–1580.

  • Korotky, W. D., 1990: The Raleigh tornado of November 28, 1988:The evolution of a tornadic environment. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 532–537.

  • Lemon, L. R., 1976: The flanking line, a severe thunderstorm intensification source. J. Atmos. Sci.,33, 686–694.

  • ——, and C. A. Doswell III, 1979: Severe thunderstorm evolution and mesocyclone structure as related to tornadogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev.,107, 1184–1197.

  • Lin, Y.-L., R. D. Farley, and H. D. Orville, 1983: Bulk parameterization of the snow field in a cloud model. J. Climate Appl. Meteor.,22, 1065–1092.

  • Maddox, R. A., L. R. Hoxit, and C. F. Chappell, 1980: A study of tornadic thunderstorm interactions with thermal boundaries. Mon. Wea. Rev.,108, 322–336.

  • Marwitz, J. D., 1972: The structure and motion of severe hailstorms. Part 2: Multicell storms. J. Appl. Meteor.,11, 180–188.

  • McCaul, E. W., and M. L. Weisman, 1996: Simulations of shallow supercell storms in landfalling hurricane environments. Mon. Wea. Rev.,124, 408–429.

  • MESO, 1993: MASS version 5.5 reference manual. MESO, Inc., 118 pp.

  • Mogil, H. M., and G. P. Ellrod, 1989: The Raleigh tornado of November 28, 1988: Interpreting satellite signatures. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 179–185.

  • Moller, A. R., C. A. Doswell III, M. P. Foster, and G. R. Woodall, 1994: The operational recognition of supercell thunderstorm environments and storm structures. Wea. Forecasting,9, 327–347.

  • Monin, A. S., and A. M. Obukhov, 1954: Basic laws of turbulent mixing in the atmosphere near the ground. Tr. Geofiz. Inst., Akad. Nauk., SSSR,151, 1963–1987.

  • Nelson, S. P., 1987: The hybrid multicellular-supercellular storm—An efficient hail producer. Part II: General characteristics and implications for hail growth. J. Atmos. Sci.,44, 2060–2073.

  • NOAA, 1988: Storm Data. Vol. 11, NOAA, 72 pp.

  • Orlanksi, I., 1976: A simple boundary condition for unbounded hyperbolic flows. J. Comput. Phys.,21, 251–269.

  • Proctor, F. H., 1987: The Terminal Area Simulation System. Vol. I, Theoretical formulation. NASA Contractor Rep. 4046, NASA, Washington, DC, 176 pp. [Available from Y.-L. Lin, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8208.].

  • ——, 1989: Numerical simulations of an isolated microburst. Part II:Sensitivity experiments. J. Atmos. Sci.,46, 2143–2165.

  • ——, 1992: Three-dimensional simulation of the Denver 11 July 1988 microburst-producing storm. Meteor. Atmos. Phys.,49, 107–124.

  • ——, 1996: Numerical simulation of wake vortices measured during the Idaho Falls and Memphis Field Programs. AIAA Paper No. 96–2496, 18 pp. [Available from NASA, Washington, DC.].

  • Przybylinski, R. W., 1989: The Raleigh tornado—28 November 1988:A radar overview. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 186–191.

  • ——, S. Runnels, P. Spoden, and S. Summy, 1990: The Allendale, Illinois, tornado—January 7, 1989. One type of an HP supercell. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Stroms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 516–521.

  • ——, J. T. Snow, E. M. Agee, and J. T. Curran, 1993a: The use of volumetric radar data to identify supercells: A case study of June 2, 1990. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 241–250.

  • ——, T. J. Shea, D. L. Ferry, E. H. Goetsch, R. R. Czys, and N. E. Wescott, 1993b: Doppler radar observations of high-precipitation supercells over the mid-Mississippi Valley region. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 158–163.

  • Purdom, J. F. W., 1993: Satellite observations of tornadic thunderstorms. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, Amer. Geophys. Union, 265–274.

  • Roberts, R. D., and J. W. Wilson, 1995: The genesis of three nonsupercell tornadoes observed with dual-Doppler radar. Mon. Wea. Rev.,123, 3408–3436.

  • Rotunno, R., and J. B. Klemp, 1985: On the rotation and propagation of simulated supercell thunderstorms. J. Atmos. Sci.,42, 271–292.

  • ——, ——, and M. L. Weisman, 1988: A theory for strong, long-lived squall lines. J. Atmos. Sci.,45, 463–485.

  • Smagorinsky, J., 1963: General circulation experiments with the primitive equations. Part I: The basic experiment. Mon. Wea. Rev.,91, 99–164.

  • Vasiloff, S. V., E. A. Brandes, R. P. Davies-Jones, and P. S. Ray, 1986: An investigation of the transition from multicell to supercell storms. J. Climate Appl. Meteor.,25, 1022–1036.

  • Wakimoto, R. M., and J. W. Wilson, 1989: Non-supercell tornadoes. Mon. Wea. Rev.,117, 1113–1140.

  • ——, and N. T. Atkins, 1996: Observations on the origin of rotation:The Newcastle tornado during VORTEX 94. Mon. Wea. Rev.,124, 384–407.

  • Weaver, J. F., and S. P. Nelson, 1982: Multiscale aspects of thunderstorm gust fronts and their effects on subsequent storm development. Mon. Wea. Rev.,110, 707–718.

  • Weisman, M. L., and J. B. Klemp, 1984: The structure and classification of numerically simulated convective storms in directionally varying wind shears. Mon. Wea. Rev.,112, 2479–2498.

  • Wicker, L. J., and R. B. Wilhelmson, 1995: Simulation and analysis of tornado development and decay within a three-dimensional supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci.,52, 2675–2703.

  • Zack, J. W., P. E. Price, K. T. Waight, and M. D. Bousquet, 1993: Numerical simulation and analysis of cold-season severe weather events. Final Rep. to the Dept. of Commerce, NOAA Contract No. 50-DKNA-2-00120, 131 pp. [Available from Y.-L. Lin, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8208.].

  • ——, ——, ——, and ——, 1994: A numerical-dynamical investigation of the rapid mesoscale evolution associated with the Raleigh, North Carolina, tornado event of November 28, 1988. Preprints, Sixth Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 138–139.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 276 171 41
PDF Downloads 229 111 28