Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2007

Lixion A. Avila National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Miami, Florida

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Jamie Rhome National Hurricane Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Miami, Florida

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Abstract

The hurricane season of 2007 in the eastern North Pacific Ocean basin is summarized, individual tropical cyclones are described, and a forecast verification is presented. The 2007 eastern North Pacific season was not an active one. There were 11 tropical storms, of which only 4 became hurricanes. Only one cyclone became a major hurricane. One hurricane struck Mexico and one tropical storm made landfall near the Guatemala–Mexico border. The 2007 National Hurricane Center forecast track errors were lower than the previous 5-yr means at all forecast lead times, and especially so for the 72-, 96-, and 120-h periods when the errors were 16%, 22%, and 20% lower, respectively. The official intensity forecasts had only limited skill.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Lixion A. Avila, National Hurricane Center, 11691 SW 17th St., Miami, FL 33165. Email: lixion.a.avila@noaa.gov

Abstract

The hurricane season of 2007 in the eastern North Pacific Ocean basin is summarized, individual tropical cyclones are described, and a forecast verification is presented. The 2007 eastern North Pacific season was not an active one. There were 11 tropical storms, of which only 4 became hurricanes. Only one cyclone became a major hurricane. One hurricane struck Mexico and one tropical storm made landfall near the Guatemala–Mexico border. The 2007 National Hurricane Center forecast track errors were lower than the previous 5-yr means at all forecast lead times, and especially so for the 72-, 96-, and 120-h periods when the errors were 16%, 22%, and 20% lower, respectively. The official intensity forecasts had only limited skill.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Lixion A. Avila, National Hurricane Center, 11691 SW 17th St., Miami, FL 33165. Email: lixion.a.avila@noaa.gov

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