Abstract
Using numerical simulations, this study examines the sensitivity of hurricane intensity and structure to changes in the surface exchange coefficients and to changes in the length scales of a turbulence parameterization. Compared to other recent articles on the topic, this study uses higher vertical resolution, more values for the turbulence length scales, a different initial environment (including higher sea surface temperature), a broader specification of surface exchange coefficients, a more realistic microphysics scheme, and a set of three-dimensional simulations. The primary conclusions from a recent study by Bryan and Rotunno are all upheld: maximum intensity is strongly affected by the horizontal turbulence length scale lh but not by the vertical turbulence length scale lυ, and the ratio of surface exchange coefficients for enthalpy and momentum, Ck/Cd, has less effect on maximum wind speed than suggested by an often-cited theoretical model. The model output is further evaluated against various metrics of hurricane intensity and structure from recent observational studies, including maximum wind speed, minimum pressure, surface wind–pressure relationships, height of maximum wind, and surface inflow angle. The model settings lh ≈ 1000 m, lυ ≈ 50 m, and Ck/Cd ≈ 0.5 produce the most reasonable match to the observational studies. This article also reconciles a recent controversy about the likely value of Ck/Cd in high wind speeds by noting that simulations in a study by Emanuel used relatively large horizontal diffusion and low sea surface temperature. The model in this study can produce category 5 hurricanes with Ck/Cd as low as 0.25.
The National Center for Atmospheric Research is sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
