Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season of 2010

Stacy R. Stewart National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida

Search for other papers by Stacy R. Stewart in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
John P. Cangialosi National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida

Search for other papers by John P. Cangialosi in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

The 2010 eastern North Pacific hurricane season was one of the least active seasons on record. Only seven named storms developed, which is the lowest number observed at least since routine satellite coverage of that basin began in 1966. Furthermore, only three of those storms reached hurricane status, which is also the lowest number of hurricanes ever observed in the satellite-era season. However, two tropical storms made landfall: Agatha in Guatemala and Georgette in Mexico, with Agatha directly causing 190 deaths and moderate to severe property damage as a result of rain-induced floods and mud slides. On average, the National Hurricane Center track forecasts in the eastern North Pacific for 2010 were quite skillful.

Corresponding author address: Stacy R. Stewart, National Hurricane Center, 11691 SW 17th Street, Miami, FL 33165. E-mail: stacy.r.stewart@noaa.gov

Abstract

The 2010 eastern North Pacific hurricane season was one of the least active seasons on record. Only seven named storms developed, which is the lowest number observed at least since routine satellite coverage of that basin began in 1966. Furthermore, only three of those storms reached hurricane status, which is also the lowest number of hurricanes ever observed in the satellite-era season. However, two tropical storms made landfall: Agatha in Guatemala and Georgette in Mexico, with Agatha directly causing 190 deaths and moderate to severe property damage as a result of rain-induced floods and mud slides. On average, the National Hurricane Center track forecasts in the eastern North Pacific for 2010 were quite skillful.

Corresponding author address: Stacy R. Stewart, National Hurricane Center, 11691 SW 17th Street, Miami, FL 33165. E-mail: stacy.r.stewart@noaa.gov
Save
  • Aberson, S. D., 1998: Five-day tropical cyclone track forecasts in the North Atlantic basin. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 1005–1015.

  • Bell, G. D., and Coauthors, 2000: Climate assessment for 1999. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, S1–S50.

  • Beven, J. L., II, and E. S. Blake, 2012: Atlantic Hurricane season of 2010. Mon. Wea. Rev., in press.

  • Brennan, M. J., C. C. Hennon, and R. D. Knabb, 2009: The operational use of QuikSCAT ocean surface vector winds at the National Hurricane Center. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 621–645.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Brueske, K. F., and C. S. Velden, 2003: Satellite-based tropical cyclone intensity estimation using the NOAA-KLM series Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit (AMSU). Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 687–697.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cangialosi, J. P. and J. F. Franklin, 2011: 2010 National Hurricane Center Forecast verification report. National Hurricane Center, 77 pp. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/verification/pdfs/Verification_2010.pdf.]

  • Demuth, J. L., M. DeMaria, and J. A. Knaff, 2006: Improvement of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit tropical cyclone intensity and size estimation algorithms. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 45, 1573–1581.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dvorak, V. F., 1984: Tropical cyclone intensity analysis using satellite data. NOAA Tech. Rep. NESDIS 11, 47 pp.

  • Hawkins, J. D., T. Lee, J. Turk, C. Sampson, J. Kent, and K. Richardson, 2001: Real-time internet distribution of satellite products for tropical cyclone reconnaissance. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 82, 567–578.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Herndon, D., and C. S. Velden, 2004: Updates to the UW-CIMSS AMSU-based TC intensity algorithm. Preprints, 26th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 118–119.

  • Jarvinen, B. R., and C. J. Neumann, 1979: Statistical forecasts of tropical cyclone intensity for the North Atlantic basin. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NHC-10, 22 pp.

  • Kalnay, E., and Coauthors, 1996: The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 77, 437–471.

  • Knaff, J. A., M. DeMaria, B. Sampson, and J. M. Gross, 2003: Statistical, 5-day tropical cyclone intensity forecasts derived from climatology and persistence. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 80–92.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Neumann, C. B., 1972: An alternate to the HURRAN (hurricane analog) tropical cyclone forecast system. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR-62, 24 pp.

  • Olander, T. L., and C. S. Velden, 2007: The advanced Dvorak technique: Continued development of an objective scheme to estimate tropical cyclone intensity using geostationary infrared satellite imagery. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 287–298.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rappaport, E. N., and Coauthors, 2009: Advances and challenges at the National Hurricane Center. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 395–419.

  • Saffir, H. S., 1973: Hurricane wind and storm surge. Mil. Eng., 423, 4–5.

  • Schott, T., and Coauthors, cited 2012: The Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. [Available online at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/sshws.pdf.]

  • Simpson, R. H., 1974: The hurricane disaster potential scale. Weatherwise, 27, 169, 186.

  • Velden, C., and Coauthors, 2006: The Dvorak tropical cyclone intensity estimation technique: A satellite-based method that has endured for over 30 years. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 87, 1195–1210.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wang, C., and S.-K. Lee, 2009: Co-variability of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic and the eastern North Pacific. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L24702, doi:10.1029/2009GL041469.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1076 384 82
PDF Downloads 299 74 6