A 10-yr Climatology of Diabatic Rossby Waves in the Northern Hemisphere

Maxi Boettcher Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

Search for other papers by Maxi Boettcher in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
and
Heini Wernli Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland

Search for other papers by Heini Wernli in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Diabatic Rossby waves (DRWs) are low-tropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in moist and sufficiently baroclinic regions. They regenerate continuously by moist-diabatic processes and potentially develop into explosively intensifying cyclones. In this study a specific DRW-tracking algorithm is developed and applied to operational ECMWF analyses to compile a first climatology of DRWs in the Northern Hemisphere for the years 2001–10. DRWs are more frequent over the North Pacific than over the North Atlantic with on average 81 and 43 systems per year, respectively. Less than 15% of these systems intensify explosively, on average 12 per year over the Pacific and 5 over the Atlantic. DRWs are most frequent in summer but most of the explosively intensifying DRWs occur in autumn and winter. DRWs are generated typically between 30°–50°N over the eastern parts of the continents and the western/central parts of the oceans. They propagate fairly zonally along the midlatitude baroclinic zone. The generation of the initial low-tropospheric PV anomalies goes along with precipitation processes in characteristic flow patterns, which correspond to 1) flow around the subtropical high against the midlatitude baroclinic zone, 2) flow induced by an upper-level cutoff or a (tropical) cyclone against the baroclinic zone, 3) upper-level trough-induced ascent at the baroclinic zone, and 4) PV remnants of a tropical cyclone or a mesoscale convective system that are advected into the baroclinic zone where they start propagating as a DRW. In most cases, explosive intensification of DRWs occurs through interaction with a preexisting upper-level trough.

Corresponding author address: Maxi Boettcher, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland. E-mail: maxi.boettcher@env.ethz.ch

This article is included in the Predictability and Dynamics of Weather Systems in the Atlantic-European Sector (PANDOWAE) Special Collection.

Abstract

Diabatic Rossby waves (DRWs) are low-tropospheric positive potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in moist and sufficiently baroclinic regions. They regenerate continuously by moist-diabatic processes and potentially develop into explosively intensifying cyclones. In this study a specific DRW-tracking algorithm is developed and applied to operational ECMWF analyses to compile a first climatology of DRWs in the Northern Hemisphere for the years 2001–10. DRWs are more frequent over the North Pacific than over the North Atlantic with on average 81 and 43 systems per year, respectively. Less than 15% of these systems intensify explosively, on average 12 per year over the Pacific and 5 over the Atlantic. DRWs are most frequent in summer but most of the explosively intensifying DRWs occur in autumn and winter. DRWs are generated typically between 30°–50°N over the eastern parts of the continents and the western/central parts of the oceans. They propagate fairly zonally along the midlatitude baroclinic zone. The generation of the initial low-tropospheric PV anomalies goes along with precipitation processes in characteristic flow patterns, which correspond to 1) flow around the subtropical high against the midlatitude baroclinic zone, 2) flow induced by an upper-level cutoff or a (tropical) cyclone against the baroclinic zone, 3) upper-level trough-induced ascent at the baroclinic zone, and 4) PV remnants of a tropical cyclone or a mesoscale convective system that are advected into the baroclinic zone where they start propagating as a DRW. In most cases, explosive intensification of DRWs occurs through interaction with a preexisting upper-level trough.

Corresponding author address: Maxi Boettcher, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Universitaetstrasse 16, CH-8092 Zurich, Switzerland. E-mail: maxi.boettcher@env.ethz.ch

This article is included in the Predictability and Dynamics of Weather Systems in the Atlantic-European Sector (PANDOWAE) Special Collection.

Save
  • Ahmadi-Givi, F., G. C. Craig, and R. S. Plant, 2004: The dynamics of a midlatitude cyclone with very strong latent-heat release. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 295323.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Boettcher, M., and H. Wernli, 2011: Life cycle study of a diabatic Rossby wave as a precursor to rapid cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic—Dynamics and forecast performance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 18611878.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Čampa, J., and H. Wernli, 2012: A PV perspective on the vertical structure of mature midlatitude cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 725–740.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Chen, G. T.-J., C.-C. Wang, and S.-W. Chang, 2008: A diagnostic case study of Mei-yu frontogenesis and development of wavelike frontal disturbances in the subtropical environment. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 4161.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Clough, S. A., C. S. Davitt, and A. J. Thorpe, 1996: Attribution concepts applied to the omega equation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 122, 19431962.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cordeira, J. M., and L. F. Bosart, 2011: Cyclone interactions and evolutions during the “Perfect Storms” of late October and early November 1991. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 16831707.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Crout, R. C., I. T. Sears, and L. K. Locke, 2008: The great coastal gale of 2007 from coastal storms program buoy 46089. Proc. OCEANS 2008, Quebec, QC, Canada, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 1516–1522.

  • Dacre, H. F., and S. L. Gray, 2009: The spatial distribution and evolution of North Atlantic cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 99115.

  • Davies, H. C., C. Schär, and H. Wernli, 1991: The palette of fronts and cyclones within a baroclinic wave development. J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 16661689.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Descamps, L., D. Ricard, A. Joly, and P. Arbogast, 2007: Is a real cyclogenesis case explained by generalized linear baroclinic instability? J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 42874308.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Deveson, A. C. L., K. A. Browning, and T. D. Hewson, 2002: A classification of FASTEX cyclones using a height-attributable quasi-geostrophic vertical-motion diagnostic. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 93117.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gyakum, J. R., P. J. Roebber, and T. A. Bullock, 1992: The role of antecedent surface vorticity development as a conditioning process in explosive cyclone intensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 120, 14651489.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hofmann, C., 2010: Fallstudie einer diabatischen Rossby-Welle ber dem Nordpazifik (Case study of a diabatic Rossby-wave over the North Pacific). Diploma thesis, Department of Physics, Mathematics and Computer Science, Johannes Gutenberg-University of Mainz, Mainz, Germany, 69 pp. [Available online at http://www.uni-mainz.de/FB/Physik/IPA/forschung/publikationen/PDF/diplom_christianehofmann.pdf.]

  • Hoskins, B. J., and P. Berrisford, 1988: A potential vorticity perspective of the storm of 15-16 October 1987. Weather, 43, 122129.

  • Huffmann, G. J., and Coauthors, 2007: The TRMM multisatellite precipitation analysis (TMPA): Quasi-global, multiyear, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scales. J. Hydrometeor., 8, 3855.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jiayi, P., W. Rongsheng, and W. Yuan, 2002: Initiation mechanism of meso-β scale convective systems. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 19, 870884.

  • Jones, S. C., and Coauthors, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Forecast challenges, current understanding, and future directions. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 10521092.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Klein, P. M., P. A. Harr, and R. L. Elsberry, 2002: Extratropical transition of western North Pacific tropical cyclones: Midlatitude and tropical cyclone contributions to reintensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 22402259.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lai, H.-W., C. A. Davis, and B. J.-D. Jou, 2011: A subtropical oceanic mesoscale vortex observed during SoWMEX/TiMREX. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 23672385.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Malardel, S., A. Joly, F. Courbet, and P. Courtier, 1993: Nonlinear evolution of ordinary frontal waves induced by low-level potential vorticity anomalies. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 681713.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moore, R. W., and M. T. Montgomery, 2004: Reexamining the dynamics of short-scale, diabatic Rossby waves and their role in midlatitude cyclogenesis. J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 754768.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moore, R. W., and M. T. Montgomery, 2005: Analysis of an idealized, three-dimensional diabatic Rossby vortex: A coherent structure of the moist baroclinic atmosphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 62, 27032725.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Moore, R. W., M. T. Montgomery, and H. C. Davies, 2008: The integral role of a diabatic Rossby vortex in a heavy snowfall event. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 18781897.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Neiman, P. J., M. A. Shapiro, and L. S. Fedor, 1993: The life cycle of an extratropical marine cyclone. Part II: Mesoscale structure and diagnostics. Mon. Wea. Rev., 121, 21772199.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Parker, D. J., and A. J. Thorpe, 1995: Conditional convective heating in a baroclinic atmosphere: A model of convective frontogenesis. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 16991711.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Pettersen, S., and S. J. Smebye, 1971: On the development of extratropical cyclones. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 97, 457482.

  • Plant, R. S., G. C. Craig, and S. L. Gray, 2003: On a threefold classification of extratropical cyclogenesis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 29893012.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Raymond, D. J., and H. Jiang, 1990: A theory for long-lived mesoscale convective systems. J. Atmos. Sci., 47, 30673077.

  • Ritchie, E. A., and R. L. Elsberry, 2003: Simulations of the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Contributions by the midlatitude upper-level trough to reintensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 131, 21122128.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ritchie, E. A., and R. L. Elsberry, 2007: Simulations of the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: Phasing between the upper-level trough and tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 862876.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rivière, G., P. Arbogast, K. Maynard, and A. Joly, 2010: The essential ingredients leading to the explosive growth stage of the European wind storm Lothar of Christmas 1999. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 638652.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rossa, A. M., H. Wernli, and H. C. Davies, 2000: Growth and decay of an extra-tropical cyclone’s PV-tower. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 73, 139156.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sanders, F., and J. R. Gyakum, 1980: Synoptic-dynamic climatology of the “bomb.” Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 15891606.

  • Snyder, C., 1991: A minimal model of moist baroclinic instability. Preprints, Eighth Conf. on Atmospheric and Oceanic Waves and Stability, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 221–224.

  • Snyder, C., and R. S. Lindzen, 1991: Quasi-geostrophic wave-CISK in an unbounded baroclinic shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 48, 7686.

  • Thorncroft, C. D., B. J. Hoskins, and M. E. McIntyre, 1993: Two paradigms of baroclinic-wave life-cycle behaviour. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 119, 1755.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wernli, H., and C. Schwierz, 2006: Surface cyclones in the ERA-40 dataset (1958–2001). Part I: Novel identification method and global climatology. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 24862507.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wernli, H., S. Dirren, M. A. Lininger, and M. Zillig, 2002: Dynamical aspects of the life cycle of the winter storm ‘Lothar’ (24–26 December 1999). Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 405429.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Williams, G. P., and R. J. Wilson, 1988: The stability and genesis of Rossby vortices. J. Atmos. Sci., 45, 207241.

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 670 301 17
PDF Downloads 486 161 14