Experimental 4D-Var Assimilation of SYNOP Rain Gauge Data at ECMWF

Philippe Lopez European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom

Search for other papers by Philippe Lopez in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) experiments with 6-hourly rain gauge accumulations observed at synoptic stations (SYNOP) around the globe have been run over several months, both at high resolution in an ECMWF operations-like framework and at lower resolution with the reference observational coverage reduced to surface pressure data only, as would be expected in early twentieth-century periods. The key aspects of the technical implementation of rain gauge data assimilation in 4D-Var are described, which include the specification of observation errors, bias correction procedures, screening, and quality control. Results from experiments indicate that the positive impact of rain gauges on forecast scores remains limited in the operations-like context because of their competition with all other observations already available. In contrast, when only synoptic station surface pressure observations are assimilated in the data-poor control experiment, the additional assimilation of rain gauge measurements substantially improves not only surface precipitation scores, but also analysis and forecast scores of temperature, geopotential, wind, and humidity at most atmospheric levels and for forecast ranges up to 10 days. The verification against Meteosat infrared imagery also shows a slight improvement in the spatial distribution of clouds. This suggests that assimilating rain gauge data available during data-sparse periods of the past might help to improve the quality of future reanalyses and subsequent forecasts.

Corresponding author address: Philippe Lopez, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom. E-mail: philippe.lopez@ecmwf.int

Abstract

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) experiments with 6-hourly rain gauge accumulations observed at synoptic stations (SYNOP) around the globe have been run over several months, both at high resolution in an ECMWF operations-like framework and at lower resolution with the reference observational coverage reduced to surface pressure data only, as would be expected in early twentieth-century periods. The key aspects of the technical implementation of rain gauge data assimilation in 4D-Var are described, which include the specification of observation errors, bias correction procedures, screening, and quality control. Results from experiments indicate that the positive impact of rain gauges on forecast scores remains limited in the operations-like context because of their competition with all other observations already available. In contrast, when only synoptic station surface pressure observations are assimilated in the data-poor control experiment, the additional assimilation of rain gauge measurements substantially improves not only surface precipitation scores, but also analysis and forecast scores of temperature, geopotential, wind, and humidity at most atmospheric levels and for forecast ranges up to 10 days. The verification against Meteosat infrared imagery also shows a slight improvement in the spatial distribution of clouds. This suggests that assimilating rain gauge data available during data-sparse periods of the past might help to improve the quality of future reanalyses and subsequent forecasts.

Corresponding author address: Philippe Lopez, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom. E-mail: philippe.lopez@ecmwf.int
Save
  • Andersson, E., and H. Järvinen, 1999: Variational quality control. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 125, 697722.

  • Bauer, P., A. J. Geer, P. Lopez, and D. Salmond, 2010: Direct 4D-Var assimilation of all-sky radiances. Part I: Implementation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 18681885.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Benedetti, A., and M. Janisková, 2008: Assimilation of MODIS cloud optical depths in the ECMWF model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 17271746.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Benedetti, A., P. Lopez, P. Bauer, and E. Moreau, 2005: Experimental use of TRMM precipitation radar observations in 1D+4D-Var assimilation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 24732495.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bras, R. L., and I. Rodríguez-Iturbe, 1993: Random Functions and Hydrology. Dover Publications, 559 pp.

  • Caumont, O., V. Ducrocq, E. Wattrelot, G. Jaubert, and S. Pradier-Vabre, 2010: 1D+3D-Var assimilation of radar reflectivity data: A proof of concept. Tellus, 62A, 173187.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Caya, A., J. Sun, and C. Snyder, 2005: A comparison between the 4DVAR and the ensemble Kalman filter techniques for radar data assimilation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 30813094.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ciach, G. J., 2003: Local random errors in tipping-bucket rain gauge measurements. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 20, 752759.

  • Courtier, P., J.-N. Thépaut, and A. Hollingsworth, 1994: A strategy for operational implementation of 4D-Var using an incremental approach. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 120, 13671388.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dee, D. P., and S. Uppala, 2009: Variational bias correction of satellite radiance data in the ERA-Interim reanalysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 135, 18301841.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ducrocq, V., D. Ricard, J.-P. Lafore, and F. Orain, 2002: Storm-scale numerical rainfall prediction for five precipitating events over France: On the importance of the initial humidity field. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 12361256.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Fisher, M., 2004: Generalized frames on the sphere, with application to the background error covariance modelling. Proc. ECMWF Seminar on Recent Developments in Numerical Methods for Atmospheric and Ocean Modelling, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 87–102.

  • Folland, C. K., 1988: Numerical models of the raingauge exposure problem, field experiments and an improved collector design. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 114, 14851516.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Geer, A. J., and P. Bauer, 2011: Observation errors in all-sky data assimilation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 20242037.

  • Geer, A. J., P. Bauer, and P. Lopez, 2010: Direct 4D-Var assimilation of all-sky radiances. Part II: Assessment. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136, 18861905.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ide, K., P. Courtier, M. Ghil, and A. C. Lorenc, 1997: Unified notation for data assimilation: Operational, sequential and variational. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 75, 181189.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Janisková, M., J.-F. Mahfouf, J.-J. Morcrette, and F. Chevallier, 2002: Linearized radiation and cloud schemes in the ECMWF model: Development and evaluation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 128, 15051527.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Janisková, M., P. Lopez, and P. Bauer, 2012: Experimental 1D+4D-Var assimilation of CloudSat observations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 11961220, doi:10.1002/qj.988.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kelly, G. A., P. Bauer, A. J. Geer, P. Lopez, and J.-N. Thépaut, 2008: Impact of SSM/I observations sensitive to moisture, clouds, and precipitation on global NWP forecast skill. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 27132726.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lin, X., S. Q. Zhang, and A. Y. Hou, 2007: Variational assimilation of global microwave rainfall retrievals: Physical and dynamical impact on GEOS analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 29312957.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lopez, P., 2011: Direct 4D-Var assimilation of NCEP stage IV radar and gauge precipitation data at ECMWF. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 20982116.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lopez, P., and E. Moreau, 2005: A convection scheme for data assimilation: Description and initial tests. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 409436.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lopez, P., and P. Bauer, 2007: “1D+4D-Var” assimilation of NCEP stage IV radar and gauge hourly precipitation data at ECMWF. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 25062524.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lopez, P., G.-H. Ryu, B.-J. Sohn, L. Davies, C. Jakob, and P. Bauer, 2011: Specification of rain gauge representativity error for data assimilation. Tech. Rep. ECMWF Tech. Memo. 647, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, 22 pp.

  • Macpherson, B., 2001: Operational experience with assimilation of rainfall data in the Met.Office mesoscale model. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 76, 38.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mahfouf, J.-F., 1999: Influence of physical processes on the tangent-linear approximation. Tellus, 51A, 147166.

  • Mahfouf, J.-F., B. Brasnett, and S. Gagnon, 2007: A Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPa) Project: Description and preliminary results. Atmos.–Ocean, 45, 117.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Marécal, V., and J.-F. Mahfouf, 2003: Experiments on 4D-Var assimilation of rainfall data using an incremental formulation. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 129, 31373160.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Matricardi, M., 2005: The inclusion of aerosols and clouds in RTIASI, the ECMWF fast radiative transfer model for the infrared atmospheric sounding interferometer. Tech. Rep. ECMWF Tech. Memo. 474, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, 53 pp.

  • Matricardi, M., F. Chevallier, G. Kelly, and J.-N. Thépaut, 2004: An improved general fast radiative transfer model for the assimilation of radiance observations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 153173.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Nešpor, V., and B. Sevruk, 1999: Estimation of wind-induced error of rainfall gauge measurements using a numerical simulation. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 16, 450464.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Orr, A., P. Bechtold, J. Scinoccia, M. Ern, and M. Janisková, 2010: Improved middle atmosphere climate and analysis in the ECMWF forecasting system through a nonorographic gravity wave parametrization. J. Climate, 23, 59055926.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rabier, F., 2005: Overview of global data assimilation developments in numerical weather prediction centres. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 32153233.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sevruk, B., 1974a: Evaporation losses from containers of Hellmann precipitation gauges. Hydrol. Sci. Bull., XIX, 231236.

  • Sevruk, B., 1974b: Correction for the wetting loss of a Hellmann precipitation gauge. Hydrol. Sci. Bull., XIX, 549559.

  • Sevruk, B., and S. Klemm, 1989: Catalogue of national standard precipitation gauges. Tech. Rep. WMO, Instruments and Observing Methods, Rep. 39, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland, 50 pp.

  • Tompkins, A. M., and M. Janisková, 2004: A cloud scheme for data assimilation: Description and initial tests. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 130, 24952518.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Tong, M., and M. Xue, 2005: Ensemble Kalman filter assimilation of Doppler radar data with a compressible nonhydrostatic model: OSS experiments. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 17891807.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Treadon, R. E., H.-L. Pan, W.-S. Wu, Y. Lin, W. S. Olson, and R. J. Kuligowski, 2002: Global and regional moisture analyses at NCEP. Proc. ECMWF Workshop on Humidity Analysis, Reading, United Kingdom, ECMWF, 33–47.

  • Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 29613012.

  • Vukicevic, T., M. Sengupta, A. S. Jones, and T. V. Haar, 2006: Cloud-resolving satellite data assimilation: Information content of IR window observations and uncertainties in estimation. J. Atmos. Sci., 63, 901919.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Yang, D., B. E. Goodison, J. R. Metcalfe, V. S. Golubev, R. Bates, T. Pangburn, and C. L. Hanson, 1998: Accuracy of NWS 8” standard nonrecording precipitation gauge: Results and application of WMO intercomparison. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 15, 5468.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zou, X., and Y.-H. Kuo, 1996: Rainfall assimilation through an optimal control of initial and boundary conditions in a limited-area mesoscale model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 28592882.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Zupanski, D., and F. Mesinger, 1995: Four-dimensional variational data assimilation of precipitation data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 11121127.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 385 181 10
PDF Downloads 217 79 13