An Investigation of the Goshen County, Wyoming, Tornadic Supercell of 5 June 2009 Using EnKF Assimilation of Mobile Mesonet and Radar Observations Collected during VORTEX2. Part II: Mesocyclone-Scale Processes Affecting Tornado Formation, Maintenance, and Decay

James Marquis Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania

Search for other papers by James Marquis in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Yvette Richardson Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania

Search for other papers by Yvette Richardson in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Paul Markowski Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania

Search for other papers by Paul Markowski in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Joshua Wurman Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Joshua Wurman in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Karen Kosiba Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Karen Kosiba in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Paul Robinson Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, Colorado

Search for other papers by Paul Robinson in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Storm-scale and mesocyclone-scale processes occurring contemporaneously with a tornado in the Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell observed on 5 June 2009 during the second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) are examined using ensemble analyses produced by assimilating mobile radar and in situ observations into a high-resolution convection-resolving model. This paper focuses on understanding the evolution of the vertical structure of the storm, the outflow buoyancy, and processes affecting the vertical vorticity and circulation within the mesocyclone that correspond to changes in observed tornado intensity.

Tornadogenesis occurs when the low-level mesocyclone is least negatively buoyant relative to the environment, possesses its largest circulation, and is collocated with the largest azimuthally averaged convergence during the analysis period. The average buoyancy, circulation, and convergence within the near-surface mesocyclone (on spatial scales resolved by the model) all decrease as the tornado intensifies and matures. The tornado and its parent low-level mesocyclone both dissipate surrounded by a weakening rear-flank downdraft. The decreasing buoyancy of parcels within the low-level mesocyclone may partly be responsible for the weakening of the updraft surrounding the tornado and decoupling of the mid- and low-level circulation. Although the supply of horizontal vorticity generated in the forward flank of the storm increases throughout the life cycle of the tornado, it is presumably less easily tilted and stretched on the mesocyclone-scale during tornado maturity owing to the disruption of the low-level updraft/downdraft structure. Changes in radar-measured tornado intensity lag those of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) mesocyclone vorticity and circulation.

Current affiliation: Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, Colorado.

Corresponding author address: James N. Marquis, Center for Severe Weather Research, 1945 Vassar Cir., Boulder, CO 80305. E-mail: jmarquis@cswr.org

Abstract

Storm-scale and mesocyclone-scale processes occurring contemporaneously with a tornado in the Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell observed on 5 June 2009 during the second Verification of the Origins of Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment (VORTEX2) are examined using ensemble analyses produced by assimilating mobile radar and in situ observations into a high-resolution convection-resolving model. This paper focuses on understanding the evolution of the vertical structure of the storm, the outflow buoyancy, and processes affecting the vertical vorticity and circulation within the mesocyclone that correspond to changes in observed tornado intensity.

Tornadogenesis occurs when the low-level mesocyclone is least negatively buoyant relative to the environment, possesses its largest circulation, and is collocated with the largest azimuthally averaged convergence during the analysis period. The average buoyancy, circulation, and convergence within the near-surface mesocyclone (on spatial scales resolved by the model) all decrease as the tornado intensifies and matures. The tornado and its parent low-level mesocyclone both dissipate surrounded by a weakening rear-flank downdraft. The decreasing buoyancy of parcels within the low-level mesocyclone may partly be responsible for the weakening of the updraft surrounding the tornado and decoupling of the mid- and low-level circulation. Although the supply of horizontal vorticity generated in the forward flank of the storm increases throughout the life cycle of the tornado, it is presumably less easily tilted and stretched on the mesocyclone-scale during tornado maturity owing to the disruption of the low-level updraft/downdraft structure. Changes in radar-measured tornado intensity lag those of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) mesocyclone vorticity and circulation.

Current affiliation: Center for Severe Weather Research, Boulder, Colorado.

Corresponding author address: James N. Marquis, Center for Severe Weather Research, 1945 Vassar Cir., Boulder, CO 80305. E-mail: jmarquis@cswr.org
Save
  • Aksoy, A., D. C. Dowell, and C. Snyder, 2009: A multicase comparative assessment of the ensemble Kalman filter for assimilation of radar observations. Part I: Storm-scale analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 1805–1824, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2691.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Alexander, C., and J. Wurman, 2008: Updated mobile radar climatology of supercell tornado structures and dynamics. 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P19.4. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/24SLS/techprogram/paper_141821.htm.]

  • Anderson, J. L., 2007: An adaptive covariance inflation error correction algorithm for ensemble filters. Tellus, 59A, 210–224, doi:10.1111/j.1600-0870.2006.00216.x.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Atkins, N. T., A. McGee, R. Ducharme, R. M. Wakimoto, and J. Wurman, 2012: The LaGrange tornado during VORTEX2. Part II: Photogrammetric analysis of the tornado combined with dual-Doppler radar data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2939–2958, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00285.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Beck, J., and C. Weiss, 2013: An assessment of low-level baroclinicity and vorticity within a simulated supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 649–669, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00115.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Brandes, E. A., 1981: Finestructure of the Del City-Edmund tornadic mesocirculation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 109, 635–647, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1981)109<0635:FOTDCE>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Brandes, E. A., 1984: Vertical vorticity generation and mesoscyclone sustenance in tornadic thunderstorms: The observational evidence. Mon. Wea. Rev., 112, 2253–2269, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1984)112<2253:VVGAMS>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dahl, J. M., M. D. Parker, and L. J. Wicker, 2012: Uncertainties in trajectory calculations within near-surface mesocyclones of simulated supercells. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2959–2966, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00131.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Davies-Jones, R., and H. E. Brooks, 1993: Mesocyclogenesis from a theoretical perspective. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Meteor. Monogr., No. 79, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 105–114.

  • Dowell, D. C., and H. B. Bluestein, 2002: The 8 June 1995 McLean, Texas, storm. Part II: Cyclic tornado formation, maintenance, and dissipation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 2649–2670, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<2649:TJMTSP>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dowell, D. C., and L. J. Wicker, 2009: Additive noise for storm-scale ensemble data assimilation. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 26, 911–927, doi:10.1175/2008JTECHA1156.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Emanuel, K. A., 1994: Atmospheric Convection. Oxford University Press, 592 pp.

  • Finley, C. A., and B. D. Lee, 2008: Mobile mesonet observations of an intense RFD and multiple RFD gust fronts in the May 23 Quinter, Kansas tornadic supercell during TWISTEX 2008. 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P3.18.

  • Frame, J., P. Markowski, Y. Richardson, J. Straka, and J. Wurman, 2009: Polarimetric and dual-Doppler radar observations of the Lipscomb County, Texas, supercell thunderstorm on 23 May 2002. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 544–561, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2425.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • French, M. M., H. B. Bluestein, I. PopStefanija, C. A. Baldi, and R. T. Bluth, 2014: Mobile, phased-array, Doppler radar observations of tornadoes at X band. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 1010–1036, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00101.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • French, M. M., D. W. Burgess, E. R. Mansell, and L. J. Wicker, 2015: Bulk hook echo raindrop sizes retrieved using mobile, polarimetric Doppler radar observations. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 54, 423–450, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0171.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Fujita, T. T., 1975: New evidence from April 3-4, 1974 tornadoes. Preprints, Ninth Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Norman, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 248–255.

  • Grzych, M. L., B. D. Lee, and C. A. Finley, 2007: Thermodynamic analysis of supercell rear-flank downdrafts from Project ANSWERS. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 240–246, doi:10.1175/MWR3288.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hane, C. E., and P. S. Ray, 1985: Pressure and buoyancy fields derived from Doppler radar data in a tornadic thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 18–35, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1985)042<0018:PABFDF>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hirth, B. D., J. L. Schroeder, and C. C. Weiss, 2008: Surface analysis of the rear-flank downdraft outflow in two tornadic supercells. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 2344–2363, doi:10.1175/2007MWR2285.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Klemp, J. B., and R. Rotunno, 1983: A study of the tornadic region within a supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 359–377, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1983)040<0359:ASOTTR>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kosiba, K., J. Wurman, Y. Richardson, P. Markowski, P. Robinson, and J. Marquis, 2013: Genesis of the Goshen County, Wyoming, tornado on 5 June 2009 during VORTEX2. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 1157–1181, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00056.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lee, B. D., C. A. Finley, and P. Skinner, 2004a: Thermodynamic and kinematic analysis of multiple RFD surges for the 24 June 2003 Manchester, SD cyclic tornadic supercell during Project ANSWERS 2003. 22nd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P11.2.

  • Lee, B. D., C. A. Finley, and P. Skinner, 2004b: High resolution mobile mesonet observations of RFD surges in the June 9 Basset, Nebraska supercell during Project ANSWERS 2003. 22nd Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P11.3.

  • Lee, B. D., C. A. Finley, and T. M. Samaras, 2008: Thermodynamic and kinematic analysis near and within the Tipton, KS tornado on May 29 during TWISTEX 2008. 24th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Savannah, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P3.13.

  • Lee, B. D., C. A. Finley, and C. D. Karstens, 2012: The Bowdle, South Dakota, cyclic tornadic supercell of 22 May 2010: Surface analysis of rear-flank downdraft evolution and multiple internal surges. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3419–3441, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00351.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lemon, L. R., and C. A. Doswell, 1979: Severe thunderstorm evolution and mesocyclone structure as related to tornadogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 1184–1197, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1979)107<1184:STEAMS>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lewellen, D. C., W. S. Lewellen, and J. Xia, 2000: The influence of a local swirl ratio on tornado intensification near the surface. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 527–544, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2000)057<0527:TIOALS>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Markowski, P. M., J. M. Straka, and E. N. Rasmussen, 2002: Direct surface thermodynamic observations within the rear-flank downdrafts of nontornadic and tornadic supercells. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 1692–1721, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2002)130<1692:DSTOWT>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Markowski, P. M., J. M. Straka, and E. N. Rasmussen, 2003: Tornadogenesis resulting from the transport of circulation by a downdraft: Idealized numerical simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 60, 795–823, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(2003)060<0795:TRFTTO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Markowski, P. M., M. Majcen, Y. Richardson, J. Marquis, and J. Wurman, 2011: Characteristics of the wind field in three nontornadic low-level mesocyclones observed by the Doppler on Wheels radars. Electron. J. Severe Storms Meteor., 6 (3). [Available online at http://www.ejssm.org/ojs/index.php/ejssm/article/viewArticle/75.]

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Markowski, P. M., and Coauthors, 2012a: The pretornadic phase of the Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2. Part I: Evolution of kinematic and surface thermodynamic fields. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2887–2915, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00336.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Markowski, P. M., Y. Richardson, J. Marquis, J. Wurman, K. Kosiba, P. Robinson, E. Rasmussen, and D. Dowell, 2012b: The pretornadic phase of the Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2. Part II: Intensification of low-level rotation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 2916–2938, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00337.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Marquis, J. N., Y. P. Richardson, J. M. Wurman, and P. M. Markowski, 2008: Single- and dual-Doppler analysis of a tornadic vortex and surrounding storm scale flow in the Crowell, TX, supercell of 30 April 2000. Mon. Wea. Rev., 136, 5017–5043, doi:10.1175/2008MWR2442.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Marquis, J. N., Y. P. Richardson, P. M. Markowski, D. Dowell, and J. Wurman, 2012: Tornado maintenance investigated with high-resolution dual-Doppler and EnKF analysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3–27, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-11-00025.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Marquis, J. N., Y. P. Richardson, P. M. Markowski, D. Dowell, J. Wurman, K. Kosiba, P. Robinson, and G. Romine, 2014a: An investigation of the Goshen County, Wyoming, tornadic supercell of 5 June 2009 using EnKF assimilation of mobile mesonet and radar observations collected during VORTEX2. Part I: Experiment design and verification of the EnKF analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 530–554, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00007.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Marquis, J. N., P. M. Markowski, Y. P. Richardson, J. Wurman, and K. Kosiba, 2014b: Evolution of angular momentum within observed tornadic mesocyclones. 27th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Madison, WI, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.5.

  • Mashiko, W., H. Niino, and T. Kato, 2009: Numerical simulation of tornadogenesis in an outer-rainband minisupercell of Typhoon Shanshan on 17 September 2006. Mon. Wea. Rev., 137, 4238–4260, doi:10.1175/2009MWR2959.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Noda, A. T., and H. Niino, 2010: A numerical investigation of a supercell tornado: Genesis and vorticity budget. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 88, 135–159, doi:10.2151/jmsj.2010-203.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Potvin, C. K., and L. J. Wicker, 2013: Correcting fast-mode pressure errors in storm-scale ensemble Kalman filter analyses. Adv. Meteor., 2013, 624931, doi:10.1155/2013/624931.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rasmussen, E. N., and J. M. Straka, 2007: Evolution of low-level angular momentum in the 2 June 1995 Dimmitt, Texas, tornado cyclone. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 1365–1378, doi:10.1175/JAS3829.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Richardson, Y., P. M. Markowski, J. Marquis, J. Wurman, K. Kosiba, P. Robinson, D. Burgess, and C. Weiss, 2012: Tornado maintenance and demise in the Goshen County, Wyoming supercell of 5 June 2009 intercepted by VORTEX2. 26th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13.3. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/26SLS/webprogram/Paper212526.html.]

  • Rotunno, R., and J. B. Klemp, 1985: On the rotation and propagation of simulated supercell thunderstorms. J. Atmos. Sci., 42, 271–292, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1985)042<0271:OTRAPO>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Schenkman, A. D., M. Xue, and M. Hu, 2014: Tornadogenesis in a high-resolution simulation of the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City supercell. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 130–154, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-13-073.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Schenkman, A. D., M. Xue, and D. T. Dawson, 2016: The cause of internal outflow surges in a high-resolution simulation of the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City tornadic supercell. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 353–370, doi:10.1175/JAS-D-15-0112.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Skinner, P. S., C. C. Weiss, M. M. French, H. B. Bluestein, P. M. Markowski, and Y. P. Richardson, 2014: VORTEX2 Observations of a low-level mesocyclone with multiple internal rear-flank downdraft momentum surges in the 18 May 2010 Dumas, Texas, supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 2935–2960, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-13-00240.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Skinner, P. S., C. C. Weiss, L. J. Wicker, C. K. Potvin, and D. C. Dowell, 2015: Forcing mechanisms for an internal rear-flank downdraft momentum surge in the 18 May 2010 Dumas, Texas, supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 4305–4330, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0164.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Supinie, T. A., Y. Jung, M. Xue, D. J. Stensrud, M. M. French, and H. B. Bluestein, 2016: Impact of VORTEX2 observations on analyses and forecasts of the 5 June 2009 Goshen County, Wyoming, supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 429–449, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-15-0171.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wakimoto, R. M., C. Liu, and H. Cai, 1998: The Garden City, Kansas, storm during VORTEX95. Part I: Overview of the storm’s life cycle and mesocyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 126, 372–392, doi:10.1175/1520-0493(1998)126<0372:TGCKSD>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wakimoto, R. M., N. Atkins, and J. Wurman, 2011: The LaGrange tornado during VORTEX2. Part I: Photogrammetric analysis of the tornado combined with single-Doppler radar data. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2233–2258, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3568.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wakimoto, R. M., P. Stauffer, W.-C. Lee, N. T. Atkins, and J. Wurman, 2012: Finescale structure of the LaGrange, Wyoming, tornado during VORTEX2: GBVTD and photogrammetric analyses. Mon. Wea. Rev., 140, 3397–3418, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-12-00036.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Weiss, C. C., D. C. Dowell, J. L. Schroeder, P. S. Skinner, A. E. Reinhart, P. M. Markowski, and Y. P. Richardson, 2015: A comparison of near-surface buoyancy and baroclinicity across three VORTEX2 supercell intercepts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2736–2753, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00307.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wicker, L. J., and R. B. Wilhelmson, 1995: Simulation and analysis of tornado development and decay within a three-dimensional supercell thunderstorm. J. Atmos. Sci., 52, 2675–2703, doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1995)052<2675:SAAOTD>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wurman, J., Y. Richardson, C. Alexander, S. Weygandt, and P. F. Zhang, 2007: Dual-Doppler and single-Doppler analysis of a tornadic storm undergoing mergers and repeated tornadogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 135, 736–758, doi:10.1175/MWR3276.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wurman, J., K. Kosiba, P. Markowski, Y. Richardson, D. Dowell, and P. Robinson, 2010: Finescale single- and dual-Doppler analysis of tornado intensification, maintenance, and dissipation in the Orleans, Nebraska, supercell. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4439–4455, doi:10.1175/2010MWR3330.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wurman, J., D. Dowell, Y. Richardson, P. Markowski, E. Rasmussen, D. Burgess, L. Wicker, and H. Bluestein, 2012: The second verification of the origins of rotation in tornadoes experiment: VORTEX2. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 1147–1170, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00010.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wurman, J., K. Kosiba, and P. Robinson, 2013: In-situ Doppler radar and video observations of the interior structure of a tornado and wind–damage relationship. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 94, 835–846, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00114.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 585 230 31
PDF Downloads 456 158 24