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AN AID FOR FORECASTING THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE AT DENVER, COLO.

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  • 1 Weather Bureau Airport Station, Denver, Colo.
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Abstract

Research on objective forecasting of minimum temperatures is reviewed and the general approach to the problem at Denver is discussed. The variables selected and the graphical combination of these variables are described in detail. Results of forecasts made by exclusive use of the aid are presented and a comparison is made between these forecasts and the official minimum temperature forecasts issued to the public. It is found that the “system” forecasts compare very favorably with the official forecasts and the conclusion is drawn that with continued use of the aid and greater familiarity with its shortcomings the forecasters will be able to consistently improve upon the forecasts produced by the aid and in the long run improve the overall skill in forecasting the minimum temperature for Denver.

Abstract

Research on objective forecasting of minimum temperatures is reviewed and the general approach to the problem at Denver is discussed. The variables selected and the graphical combination of these variables are described in detail. Results of forecasts made by exclusive use of the aid are presented and a comparison is made between these forecasts and the official minimum temperature forecasts issued to the public. It is found that the “system” forecasts compare very favorably with the official forecasts and the conclusion is drawn that with continued use of the aid and greater familiarity with its shortcomings the forecasters will be able to consistently improve upon the forecasts produced by the aid and in the long run improve the overall skill in forecasting the minimum temperature for Denver.

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