ARCTIC ICE AND SEA TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES IN THE NORTHEASTERN NORTH ATLANTIC AND THEIR SIGNIFICANCE FOR SEASONAL FORESHADOWING LOCALLY AND TO THE EASTWARD

I. I. SCHELL Ocean-Atmosphere Research Institute, Cambridge, Mass.

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Abstract

An analysis was made of a combined 6 yr with an extreme northerly ice limit and relatively high sea temperatures and 6 yr with an extreme southerly ice limit and relatively low sea temperatures, respectively, in the northeastern North Atlantic during April–September and the contemporary and Subsequent October–March air temperatures and precipitation locally and to the eastward.

The results obtained indicate a relationship with the contemporary and, because of the persistence of the circulation, also the subsequent cold season temperature and precipitation progressively later in Iceland, Europe, the Middle East, northern Pakistan, and India, in keeping with the general movement of weather systems from west to east in the middle and high latitudes.

One may expect, following further study of the relationship from a consideration of anomalies of individual years, that a basis for foreshadowing the cold season temperature and precipitation in the northeastern North Atlantic, Europe, the Middle East, northern Pakistan, and India will become available early in October.

Abstract

An analysis was made of a combined 6 yr with an extreme northerly ice limit and relatively high sea temperatures and 6 yr with an extreme southerly ice limit and relatively low sea temperatures, respectively, in the northeastern North Atlantic during April–September and the contemporary and Subsequent October–March air temperatures and precipitation locally and to the eastward.

The results obtained indicate a relationship with the contemporary and, because of the persistence of the circulation, also the subsequent cold season temperature and precipitation progressively later in Iceland, Europe, the Middle East, northern Pakistan, and India, in keeping with the general movement of weather systems from west to east in the middle and high latitudes.

One may expect, following further study of the relationship from a consideration of anomalies of individual years, that a basis for foreshadowing the cold season temperature and precipitation in the northeastern North Atlantic, Europe, the Middle East, northern Pakistan, and India will become available early in October.

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