On the Distribution of Convective and Stratiform Precipitation in Tropical Cyclones from Airborne Doppler Radar and its Relationship to Intensity Change and Environmental Wind Shear Direction

Joshua B. Wadler 1Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University/Department of Applied Aviation Sciences, Daytona Beach, FL

Search for other papers by Joshua B. Wadler in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Joseph J. Cione 2NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL

Search for other papers by Joseph J. Cione in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Robert F. Rogers 2NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL

Search for other papers by Robert F. Rogers in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Michael S. Fischer 2NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, FL
3Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL

Search for other papers by Michael S. Fischer in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

Airborne Doppler radar reflectivity data collected in hurricanes on the NOAA P-3 aircraft between 1997 and 2021 were parsed into different modes of precipitation: stratiform precipitation, shallow convection, moderate convection, and deep convection. Stratiform precipitation was the most frequent precipitation mode with 82.6% of all observed precipitation while deep convection was the most infrequent at 1.3%. When stratified by 12-hr intensity change, intensifying TCs had a greater areal coverage of total convection in the eyewall compared to weakening and steady-state TCs. The largest difference in the azimuthal distributions in the precipitation modes was in deep convection, which was mostly confined to the downshear-left quadrant in weakening and steady-state hurricanes and more symmetrically distributed in intensifying hurricanes. For all intensity change categories, the most symmetrically distributed precipitation mode was stratiform rain.

To build upon the results of a recent thermodynamic study, the precipitation data were recategorized for hurricanes experiencing deep-layer wind shear with either a northerly-component or southerly-component. Like intensifying storms, hurricanes that experienced northerly-component shear had a more symmetric distribution of deep convection than southerly-component shear storms, which had a distribution of deep convection that resembled weakening storms. The greatest difference in the precipitation distributions between the shear direction groups were in major hurricanes experiencing moderate (4.5–11 m s−1) wind shear values. Consistent with previous airborne radar studies, the results suggest that considering the distribution of deep convection and the thermodynamic distributions associated with differing environmental wind shear direction could aid TC intensity forecasts.

© 2023 American Meteorological Society. This is an Author Accepted Manuscript distributed under the terms of the default AMS reuse license. For information regarding reuse and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding Author: Dr. Joshua B. Wadler, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Department of Applied Aviation Sciences, 1 Aerospace Boulevard, Daytona Beach, FL 32114; wadlerj@erau.edu

Abstract

Airborne Doppler radar reflectivity data collected in hurricanes on the NOAA P-3 aircraft between 1997 and 2021 were parsed into different modes of precipitation: stratiform precipitation, shallow convection, moderate convection, and deep convection. Stratiform precipitation was the most frequent precipitation mode with 82.6% of all observed precipitation while deep convection was the most infrequent at 1.3%. When stratified by 12-hr intensity change, intensifying TCs had a greater areal coverage of total convection in the eyewall compared to weakening and steady-state TCs. The largest difference in the azimuthal distributions in the precipitation modes was in deep convection, which was mostly confined to the downshear-left quadrant in weakening and steady-state hurricanes and more symmetrically distributed in intensifying hurricanes. For all intensity change categories, the most symmetrically distributed precipitation mode was stratiform rain.

To build upon the results of a recent thermodynamic study, the precipitation data were recategorized for hurricanes experiencing deep-layer wind shear with either a northerly-component or southerly-component. Like intensifying storms, hurricanes that experienced northerly-component shear had a more symmetric distribution of deep convection than southerly-component shear storms, which had a distribution of deep convection that resembled weakening storms. The greatest difference in the precipitation distributions between the shear direction groups were in major hurricanes experiencing moderate (4.5–11 m s−1) wind shear values. Consistent with previous airborne radar studies, the results suggest that considering the distribution of deep convection and the thermodynamic distributions associated with differing environmental wind shear direction could aid TC intensity forecasts.

© 2023 American Meteorological Society. This is an Author Accepted Manuscript distributed under the terms of the default AMS reuse license. For information regarding reuse and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding Author: Dr. Joshua B. Wadler, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University Department of Applied Aviation Sciences, 1 Aerospace Boulevard, Daytona Beach, FL 32114; wadlerj@erau.edu
Save