Weather, Climate, and Resource Information Should Meet the Needs of Sahelian Pastoralists

Laura Vang Rasmussen Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, Denmark

Search for other papers by Laura Vang Rasmussen in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Ole Mertz Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, Denmark

Search for other papers by Ole Mertz in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Kjeld Rasmussen Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, Denmark

Search for other papers by Kjeld Rasmussen in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Hector Nieto Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen K, Denmark

Search for other papers by Hector Nieto in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Abdou Ali AGRHYMET Regional Centre, Niamey, Niger

Search for other papers by Abdou Ali in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Idrissa Maiga AGRHYMET Regional Centre, Niamey, Niger

Search for other papers by Idrissa Maiga in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

There has been an increasing focus on providing better weather, climate, and resource information for decision making in drylands. This study explores what kind of information pastoralists in the Sahel received in 2013 and how they responded to this information. Moreover, the study assesses whether the disseminated information corresponds to the actual needs of pastoralists. The overall objective is thus to identify the outcome of providing weather, climate, and resource information to pastoralists and thereby to explore whether and how various products may guide their mobility and decision-making patterns. The results show that few of the interviewed pastoralists receive the seasonal rainfall forecasts, which have been produced since 1998 by the Climate Outlook Forum for West Africa. The pastoralists who did receive the forecasts used the information to adjust their crop cultivation strategies rather than to support livestock management decisions. To do the latter, pastoralists need information pertaining to the availability of grazing resources in various areas, the onset date of the rains, flooding events, and finescale information on rainfall amount during the first weeks of the rainy season. Such information could be used to adjust the purchase of supplementary fodder, to make qualified choices on transhumance destinations, and to make changes in herd composition. As pastoralists primarily acquire this information by calling friends and family in nearby areas, the results point to a strong disconnect between the parameters and scale of information that pastoralists need and those currently provided.

Denotes Open Access content.

Corresponding author address: Laura Vang Rasmussen, Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Øster Voldgade 10, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark. E-mail: lr@ign.ku.dk

Abstract

There has been an increasing focus on providing better weather, climate, and resource information for decision making in drylands. This study explores what kind of information pastoralists in the Sahel received in 2013 and how they responded to this information. Moreover, the study assesses whether the disseminated information corresponds to the actual needs of pastoralists. The overall objective is thus to identify the outcome of providing weather, climate, and resource information to pastoralists and thereby to explore whether and how various products may guide their mobility and decision-making patterns. The results show that few of the interviewed pastoralists receive the seasonal rainfall forecasts, which have been produced since 1998 by the Climate Outlook Forum for West Africa. The pastoralists who did receive the forecasts used the information to adjust their crop cultivation strategies rather than to support livestock management decisions. To do the latter, pastoralists need information pertaining to the availability of grazing resources in various areas, the onset date of the rains, flooding events, and finescale information on rainfall amount during the first weeks of the rainy season. Such information could be used to adjust the purchase of supplementary fodder, to make qualified choices on transhumance destinations, and to make changes in herd composition. As pastoralists primarily acquire this information by calling friends and family in nearby areas, the results point to a strong disconnect between the parameters and scale of information that pastoralists need and those currently provided.

Denotes Open Access content.

Corresponding author address: Laura Vang Rasmussen, Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Øster Voldgade 10, DK-1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark. E-mail: lr@ign.ku.dk
Save
  • ACMAD, 2013: Seasonal climate outlook valid for July-August-September 2013 in West Africa, Chad and Cameroon. ACMAD Rep., 10 pp. [Available online at http://www.acmad.net/new/sites/default/files/bulletinpresao16nutileRGaandyandrefinal.pdf.]

  • Adger, W. N., Huq S. , Brown K. , Conway D. , and Hulme M. , 2003: Adaptation to climate change in the developing world. Prog. Dev. Stud., 3, 179–195, doi:10.1191/1464993403ps060oa.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Adriansen, H. K., 1999: Pastoral mobility as a response to climate variability in African drylands. Geogr. Tidsskr., 1, 1–8.

  • Adriansen, H. K., 2006: Continuity and change in pastoral livelihoods of Senegalese Fulani. Agric. Hum. Values, 23, 215–229, doi:10.1007/s10460-005-6108-3.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Adriansen, H. K., and Nielsen T. T. , 2005: The geography of pastoral mobility: A spatio-temporal analysis of GPS data from Sahelian Senegal. GeoJournal, 64, 177–188, doi:10.1007/s10708-005-5646-y.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Archer, E. R. M., 2003: Identifying underserved end-user groups in the provision of climate information. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1525–1532, doi:10.1175/BAMS-84-11-1525.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Atampugre, N., 1997: Aid, NGOs and grassroots development: Northern Burkina Faso. Rev. Afr. Polit. Econ., 24, 57–73, doi:10.1080/03056249708704238.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bryan, E., Deressa T. T. , Gbetibouo G. A. , and Ringler C. , 2009: Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: Options and constraints. Environ. Sci. Policy, 12, 413–426, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2008.11.002.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cash, D. W., Clark W. C. , Alcock F. , Dickson N. M. , Eckley N. , Guston D. H. , Jäger J. , and Mitchell R. B. , 2003: Knowledge systems for sustainable development. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 100, 8086–8091, doi:10.1073/pnas.1231332100.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Crane, T. A., Roncoli C. , and Hoogenboom G. , 2011: Adaptation to climate change and climate variability: The importance of understanding agriculture as performance. NJAS - Wageningen J. Life Sci., 57, 179–185, doi:10.1016/j.njas.2010.11.002.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Diallo, Y., 2012. Forms and modalities of property rights in cattle in a Fulbe society (western Burkina Faso). Who Owns the Stock?: Collective and Multiple Forms of Property Rights in Animals, A. Khazanov and G. Schlee, Eds., Berghahn Books, 342 pp.

  • Dilling, L., and Lemos M. C. , 2011: Creating usable science: Opportunities and constraints for climate knowledge use and their implications for science policy. Global Environ. Change, 21, 680–689, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2010.11.006.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dyson-Hudson, R., and Dyson-Hudson N. , 1980: Nomadic pastoralism. Annu. Rev. Anthropol., 9, 15–61, doi:10.1146/annurev.an.09.100180.000311.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hansen, J. W., Mason S. J. , Sun L. , and Tall A. , 2011: Review of seasonal climate forecasting for agriculture in sub-Saharan Africa. Exp. Agric., 47, 205–240, doi:10.1017/S0014479710000876.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Ingram, K. T., Roncoli M. C. , and Kirshen P. H. , 2002: Opportunities and constraints for farmers of West Africa to use seasonal precipitation forecasts with Burkina Faso as a case study. Agric. Syst., 74, 331–349, doi:10.1016/S0308-521X(02)00044-6.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kaitho, R. J., Jama A. A. , Stuth J. W. , Kariuki G. , Abdirahman A. , MacOpiyo L. , and Ndung'u J. , 2007: Livestock early warning information resource in the Horn of Africa: Forage and livestock marketing information analysis and forecasts. Outlook Agric., 36, 267–272, doi:10.5367/000000007783418525.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kirshen, P. H., and Flitcroft I. D. , 2000: Use of seasonal precipitation forecasting to improve agricultural production in the Sudano-Sahel: An institutional analysis of Burkina Faso. Nat. Resour. Forum, 24, 185–195, doi:10.1111/j.1477-8947.2000.tb00943.x.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Laux, P., Kunstmann H. , and Báírdossy A. , 2008: Predicting the regional onset of the rainy season in West Africa. Int. J. Climatol., 28, 329–342, doi:10.1002/joc.1542.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lemos, M. C., Kirchhoff C. J. , and Ramprasad V. , 2012: Narrowing the climate information usability gap. Nat. Climate Change, 2, 789–794, doi:10.1038/nclimate1614.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lenton, T. M., 2013: What early warning systems are there for environmental shocks? Environ. Sci. Policy, 27 (Suppl.), S60–S75, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.06.011.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Luseno, W. K., McPeak J. G. , Barrett C. B. , Little P. D. , and Gebru G. , 2003: Assessing the value of climate forecast information for pastoralists: Evidence from southern Ethiopia and northern Kenya. World Dev., 31, 1477–1494, doi:10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00113-X.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mertz, O., Mbow C. , Reenberg A. , and Diouf A. , 2009: Farmers’ perceptions of climate change and agricultural adaptation strategies in rural Sahel. Environ. Manage., 43, 804–816, doi:10.1007/s00267-008-9197-0.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mertz, O., and Coauthors, 2010: Climate factors play a limited role for past adaptation strategies in West Africa. Ecol. Soc., 15 (4), Article 25. [Available online at http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss4/art25/.]

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mertz, O., and Coauthors 2012: Climate variability and environmental stress in the Sudan-Sahel zone of West Africa. Ambio, 41, 380–392, doi:10.1007/s13280-011-0231-8.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Meza, F. J., Hansen J. W. , and Osgood D. , 2008: Economic value of seasonal climate forecasts for agriculture: Review of ex-ante assessments and recommendations for future research. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 47, 1269–1286, doi:10.1175/2007JAMC1540.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Morgan, D. L., 1997. Focus Groups as Qualitative Research. Qualitative Research Methods Series, Vol. 16, SAGE Publications, 88 pp.

  • Mortimore, M. J., 2009: Dryland opportunities: New paradigm for people, ecosystems and development. UNDP/IUCN/IIED, 86 pp.

  • Mortimore, M. J., and Adams W. M. , 2001: Farmer adaptation, change and ‘crisis’ in the Sahel. Global Environ. Change, 11, 49–57, doi:10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00044-3.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Patt, A. G., Ogallo L. , and Hellmuth M. , 2007: Learning from 10 years of climate outlook forums in Africa. Science, 318, 49–50, doi:10.1126/science.1147909.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Powell, J. M., Pearson A. , and Hiernaux P. , 2004: Crop–livestock interactions in the West African drylands. Agron. J., 96, 469–483, doi:10.2134/agronj2004.0469.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Proud, S. R., and Rasmussen L. V. , 2011: The influence of seasonal rainfall upon Sahel vegetation. Remote Sens. Lett., 2, 241–249, doi:10.1080/01431161.2010.515268.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rasmussen, L. V., and Reenberg A. , 2014: Multiple outcomes of cultivation in the Sahel: A call for a multifunctional view of farmers’ incentives. Int. J. Agric. Sustainability, 12, doi:10.1080/14735903.2013.826048.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Roncoli, C., Ingram K. , and Kirshen P. , 2000: Can farmers of Burkina Faso use seasonal rainfall forecasts? Pract. Anthropol., 22, 24–28.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Roncoli, C., Ingram K. , and Kirshen P. , 2001: The costs and risks of coping with drought: Livelihood impacts and farmers’ responses in Burkina Faso. Climate Res., 19, 119–132, doi:10.3354/cr019119.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Roncoli, C., and Coauthors, 2009: From accessing to assessing forecasts: An end-to-end study of participatory climate forecast dissemination in Burkina Faso (West Africa). Climatic Change, 92, 433–460, doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9445-6.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Roudier, P., Sultan B. , Quirion P. , Baron C. , Alhassane A. , Traoré S. B. , and Muller B. , 2012: An ex-ante evaluation of the use of seasonal climate forecasts for millet growers in SW Niger. Int. J. Climatol., 32, 759–771, doi:10.1002/joc.2308.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Roudier, P., Muller B. , d’Aquino P. , Roncoli C. , Soumaré M. A. , Batté L. , and Sultan B. , 2014: The role of climate forecasts in smallholder agriculture: Lessons from participatory research in two communities in Senegal. Climate Risk Manage., 2, 42–55, doi:10.1016/j.crm.2014.02.001.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Solomon, S., Qin D. , Manning M. , Chen Z. , Marquis M. , Averyt K. , Tignor M. , and Miller H. L. Jr., Eds., 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Cambridge University Press, 996 pp.

  • Sultan, B., Barbier B. , Fortilus J. , Mbaye S. M. , and Leclerc G. , 2010: Estimating the potential economic value of seasonal forecasts in West Africa: A long-term ex-ante assessment in Senegal. Wea. Climate Soc., 2, 69–87, doi:10.1175/2009WCAS1022.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Tarhule, A., and Lamb P. J. , 2003: Climate research and seasonal forecasting for West Africans: Perceptions, dissemination, and use? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 1741–1759, doi:10.1175/BAMS-84-12-1741.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Thébaud, B., and Batterbury S. , 2001: Sahel pastoralists: Opportunism, struggle, conflict and negotiation. A case study from eastern Niger. Global Environ. Change, 11, 69–78, doi:10.1016/S0959-3780(00)00046-7.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Thornton, P. K., 2006: Ex ante impact assessment and seasonal climate forecasts: Status and issues. Climate Res., 33, 55–65, doi:10.3354/cr033055.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Toulmin, C., 1994. Tracking through drought: Options for destocking and restocking. Living with Uncertainty: New Directions in Pastoral Development in Africa, I. Scoones, Ed., Intermediate Technology Publications, 96–115.

  • Turner, M. D., and Williams T. O. , 2002: Livestock market dynamics and local vulnerabilities in the Sahel. World Dev., 30, 683–705, doi:10.1016/S0305-750X(01)00133-4.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Vogel, C., and O’Brien K. , 2006: Who can eat information? Examining the effectiveness of seasonal climate forecasts and regional climate-risk management strategies. Climate Res., 33, 111–122, doi:10.3354/cr033111.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Weibel, D., 2010. Health and demographic surveillance in Sahelian mobile livestock production systems. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Basel, 108 pp.

  • Ziervogel, G., Bithell M. , Washington R. , and Downing T. , 2005: Agent-based social simulation: A method for assessing the impact of seasonal climate forecast applications among smallholder farmers. Agric. Syst., 83, 1–26, doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2004.02.009.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1846 1067 115
PDF Downloads 568 89 15