Tornado Damage Mitigation: Benefit–Cost Analysis of Enhanced Building Codes in Oklahoma

Kevin M. Simmons Austin College, Sherman, Texas

Search for other papers by Kevin M. Simmons in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
Paul Kovacs Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Search for other papers by Paul Kovacs in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Gregory A. Kopp Faculty of Engineering, Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada

Search for other papers by Gregory A. Kopp in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

In April 2014, the city of Moore, Oklahoma, adopted enhanced building codes designed for wind-resistant construction. This action came after Moore suffered three violent tornadoes in 14 yr. Insured loss data and a rigorous approach to estimating how much future damage can be mitigated is used to conduct a benefit–cost analysis of the Moore standards applied to the entire state of Oklahoma. The results show that the new codes easily pass the benefit–cost test for the state of Oklahoma by a factor of 3 to 1. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted on each of the five input variables to identify the threshold where each variable causes the benefit–cost test to fail. Variables include the estimate of future losses, percent of damage that can be reduced, added cost, residential share of overall losses, and the discount rate.

Corresponding author address: G. A. Kopp, Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London ON N6A 5B9, Canada. E-mail: gakopp@uwo.ca

Abstract

In April 2014, the city of Moore, Oklahoma, adopted enhanced building codes designed for wind-resistant construction. This action came after Moore suffered three violent tornadoes in 14 yr. Insured loss data and a rigorous approach to estimating how much future damage can be mitigated is used to conduct a benefit–cost analysis of the Moore standards applied to the entire state of Oklahoma. The results show that the new codes easily pass the benefit–cost test for the state of Oklahoma by a factor of 3 to 1. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis is conducted on each of the five input variables to identify the threshold where each variable causes the benefit–cost test to fail. Variables include the estimate of future losses, percent of damage that can be reduced, added cost, residential share of overall losses, and the discount rate.

Corresponding author address: G. A. Kopp, Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Laboratory, University of Western Ontario, London ON N6A 5B9, Canada. E-mail: gakopp@uwo.ca
Save
  • ASCE, 2006: Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures. ASCE, 388 pp.

  • Bouwer, L., 2011: Have disaster losses increased due to anthropogenic climate change? Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 92, 3946, doi:10.1175/2010BAMS3092.1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Brooks, H. E., and Doswell C. A. , 2001: Normalized damage from major tornadoes in the United States: 1890–1999. Wea. Forecasting, 16, 168176, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(2001)016<0168:NDFMTI>2.0.CO;2.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Cannon, J., 2014: Moore city council takes historic step in bolstering homes. NewsOK, 17 March. [Available online at http://newsok.com/moore-city-council-takes-historic-step-in-bolstering-homes/article/3944338/?page=2.]

  • Census, 2012: Selected housing characteristics (Table DP04), American Community Survey 2012, 5 year estimates. American Fact Finder, U.S. Census Bureau. [Available online at http://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid=ACS_12_5YR_DP04&prodType=table.]

  • Census, 2014: Median and average square feet of floor area in new single-family houses completed by location. U.S. Census Bureau. [Available online at www.census.gov/const/C25Ann/sftotalmedavgsqft.pdf.]

  • City of Moore, 2014: Ordinance No. 768 (14). [Available online at www.cityofmoore.com/sites/default/files/main-site/high-winds-codes-passed.pdf.]

  • Fricker, T., Elsner J. B. , Camp P. , and Jagger T. H. , 2014: Empirical estimates of kinetic energy from some recent U.S. tornadoes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 4340–4346, doi:10.1002/2014GL060441.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Fronstin, P., and Holtman A. G. , 1994: The determinants of residential property damages from Hurricane Andrew. South. Econ. J., 61, 387397, doi:10.2307/1059986.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Gurley, K., and Masters F. , 2011: Post-2004 hurricane field survey of residential building performance. Nat. Hazards Rev., 12, 177183, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000044.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Haan, F. L., Balaramudu K. , and Sarkar P. P. , 2010: Tornado-induced wind loads on a low-rise building. J. Struct. Eng., 136, 106116, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0000093.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hampton, J., 2014: Moore city council considers storm-resistant building code upgrades. Norman Transcript, 17 March. [Available online at www.normantranscript.com/headlines/x1387868847/Moore-City-council-considers-storm-resistant-building-code-upgrades?zc_p=0.]

  • Hartwig, R. P., 2014: Tornadoes and severe convective events: Insurance trends and challenges in an era of climate volatility. Insurance Information Institute. [Available online at www.iii.org/presentation/tornadoes-and-severe-convective-events-insurance-trends-and-challenges-in-an-era-of-climate.]

  • IBHS, 2004: Hurricane Charley: Nature’s force vs. structural strength. Institute for Business and Home Safety. [Available online at http://www.disastersafety.org/wp-content/uploads/hurricane_charley.pdf.]

  • Iwan, W. D., and Coauthors, 1999: Mitigation emerges as major strategy for reducing losses caused by natural disasters. Science, 284, 19431947, doi:10.1126/science.284.5422.1943.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kuligowski, E. D., Lombardo F. T. , Phan L. T. , Levitan M. L. , and Jorgensen D. P. , 2014: Technical investigation of the May 22, 2011, tornado in Joplin, Missouri, final report. NIST/National Construction Safety Team Act Rep. 3, 490 pp.

  • Kunreuther, H. C., and Michel-Kerjan E. O. , 2009: At War with the Weather: Managing Large-Scale Risks in a New Era of Catastrophes. MIT Press, 416 pp.

  • Lombardo, F. T., Roueche D. B. , and Prevatt D. O. , 2015: Comparison of two methods of near-surface wind speed estimation in the 22 May, 2011 Joplin, Missouri tornado. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn., 138, 87–97, doi:10.1016/j.jweia.2014.12.007.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Malik, F., Brown R. , and York W. , 2012: IBHS fortified home hurricane; bronze, silver and gold: An incremental, holistic approach to reducing residential property losses in hurricane prone areas. Proc. Advances in Hurricane Engineering: Learning from Our Past, C. P. Jones and L. G. Griffis, Eds., ASCE, 212–228, doi:10.1061/9780784412626.020.

  • Marshall, T. P., Davis W. , and Runnels S. , 2012: Damage survey of the Joplin tornado. Proc. 26th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Nashville, TN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6.1. [Available online at https://ams.confex.com/ams/26SLS/webprogram/Paper211662.html.]

  • Masters, F. J., Gurley K. R. , Shah N. , and Fernandez G. , 2010: The vulnerability of residential window glass to lightweight windborne debris. Eng. Struct., 32, 911921, doi:10.1016/j.engstruct.2009.12.016.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Mehta, K., 2013: Development of the EF-scale for tornado intensity. J. Disaster Res., 8, 10341041.

  • Morrison, M. J., Kopp G. A. , Gavanski E. , Miller C. , and Ashton A. , 2014: Assessment of damage to residential construction from the tornadoes in Vaughan, Ontario, on 20 August 2009. Can. J. Civ. Eng., 41, 550558, doi:10.1139/cjce-2013-0570.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Multihazard Mitigation Council, 2005: Findings Conclusions and Recommendations. Vol. 1, Natural Hazard Mitigation Saves: An Independent Study to Assess Future Savings from Mitigation Activities, National Institute of Building Sciences, 11 pp.

  • National Climatic Data Center, 2014: Billion-dollar weather and climate disasters: Table of events. National Climatic Data Center. [Available online at www.ncdc.noaa.gov/billions/events.]

  • Ramsdell, J. V., and Rishel J. P. , 2007: Tornado climatology of the contiguous United States. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Tech. Rep. NUREG/CR-4461, 260 pp.

  • Ramseyer, C., Floyd R. , Holliday L. , and Roswurm S. , 2014: Influence of lateral load bracing systems on damage and survivability of residential structures impacted by the Moore, Oklahoma, tornado of May 20, 2013. Proc. Structures Congress 2014, Boston, MA, ASCE, 14841507, doi:10.1061/9780784413357.131.

  • Roueche, D. B., and Prevatt D. O. , 2013: Residential damage patterns following the 2011 Tuscaloosa, AL and Joplin, MO tornadoes. J. Disaster Res., 8 (6), 10611067.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Simmons, K. M., and Sutter D. , 2011: Economic and Societal Impacts of Tornadoes, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 282 pp.

  • Simmons, K. M., and Sutter D. , 2012: Deadly Season: Analysis of the 2011 Tornado Outbreaks. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103 pp.

  • Simmons, K. M., Sutter D. , and Pielke R. , 2013: Normalized tornado damage in the United States, 1950-2010. Environ. Hazards, 12, 132147, doi:10.1080/17477891.2012.738642.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Storm Prediction Center, 2014: Storm Prediction Center WCM page. NOAA. [Available online at www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm.]

  • Sutter, D., DaSilva D. , and Kruse J. , 2009: An economic analysis of wind resistant construction. J. Wind Eng. Ind. Aerodyn., 97, 113119, doi:10.1016/j.jweia.2009.01.002.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Swiss RE, 2014: Natural catastrophes and man-made disasters in 2013: Large losses from floods and hail; Haiyan hits the Philippines. Sigma, No. 1/2014, 49 pp.

  • Torkian, B. B., Pinelli J. P. , Gurley J. , and Hamid S. , 2014: Cost-and-benefit evaluation of windstorm damage mitigation techniques in Florida. Nat. Hazards Rev., 15, 150157, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000122.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Tsikoudakis, J., 2012: Hurricane Andrew prompted better building code requirements. Business Insurance, 19 August. [Available online at www.businessinsurance.com/article/20120819/NEWS06/308199985.]

  • Vickery, P. J., Skerlj P. F. , Lin J. , Twisdale L. A. Jr., Young M. A. , and Lavelle F. M. , 2006: HAZUS-MH hurricane model methodology. II: Damage and loss estimation. Nat. Hazards Rev., 7, 94103, doi:10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2006)7:2(94).

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • WSEC, 2006: A recommendation for an enhanced Fujita scale (EF-scale). WSEC Texas Tech University Rep., 95 pp.

  • Zillow, 2014: Oklahoma home prices and values. Zillow. [Available online at www.zillow.com/ok/home-values/.]

All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 4413 1400 154
PDF Downloads 2495 596 72