Comments on “Probabilistic Predictions of Precipitation Using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System”

Laurence J. Wilson Recherche en Prévision Numérique, Dorval, Quebec, Canada

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Corresponding author address: Dr. Laurence J. Wilson, Recherche en Prévision Numérique, Meteorological Service of Canada, 2121 Route Transcanadienne, Suite 500, Dorval, PQ H9P 1J3, Canada.

Corresponding author address: Dr. Laurence J. Wilson, Recherche en Prévision Numérique, Meteorological Service of Canada, 2121 Route Transcanadienne, Suite 500, Dorval, PQ H9P 1J3, Canada.

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  • Buizza, R., A. Hollingsworth, F. Lalaurette, and A. Ghelli, 1999: Probabilistic predictions of precipitation using the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System. Wea. Forecasting,14, 168–189.

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  • Harvey, L. O., K. R. Hammond, C. M. Lusk, and E. F. Mross, 1992:The application of signal detection theory to weather forecasting behavior. Mon. Wea. Rev.,120, 863–883.

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  • Mason, I., 1982: A model for assessment of weather forecasts. Aust. Meteor. Mag.,30, 291–303.

  • Murphy, A., and R. L. Winkler, 1987: A general framework for forecast verification. Mon. Wea. Rev.,115, 1330–1338.

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  • Stanski, H., L. J. Wilson, and W. R. Burrows, 1989: Survey of common verification methods in meteorology. WMO World Weather Watch Tech. Rep. 8, 114 pp.

  • Swets, J. A., 1986: Form of empirical ROCs in discrimination and diagnostic tasks: Implications for theory and measurement of performance. Psychol. Bull.,99, 181–198.

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  • ——, 1988: Measuring the accuracy of diagnostic systems. Science,240, 1285–1293.

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  • ——, and R. M. Pickett, 1982: Evaluation of Diagnostic Systems—Methods from Signal Detection Theory. Academic Press, 253 pp.

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