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Keith F. Brill Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, Maryland

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Fedor Mesinger Environmental Modeling Center, National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Camp Springs, and Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, College Park, Maryland

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Corresponding author address: Keith F. Brill, NCEP/HPC, W/NP32, NOAA Science Center, Rm. 410B-2, 5200 Auth Rd., Camp Springs, MD 20746-4304. Email: keith.brill@noaa.gov

Corresponding author address: Keith F. Brill, NCEP/HPC, W/NP32, NOAA Science Center, Rm. 410B-2, 5200 Auth Rd., Camp Springs, MD 20746-4304. Email: keith.brill@noaa.gov

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  • Brill, K. F., 2009: A general analytic method for assessing sensitivity to bias of performance measures for dichotomous forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 24 , 307318.

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  • Brill, K. F., and Mesinger F. , 2009: Applying a general analytic method for assessing bias sensitivity to bias-adjusted threat and equitable threat scores. Wea. Forecasting, 24 , 17481754.

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  • Brill, K. F., and Pyle M. , 2010: The response of performance metrics for binary forecasts to hedging that approaches random change. Wea. Forecasting, 25 , 13071314.

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  • Hogan, R. J., Christopher A. T. F. , Jolliffe I. T. , and Stephenson D. B. , 2010: Equitability revisited: Why the “equitable threat score” is not equitable. Wea. Forecasting, 25 , 710726.

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  • Juras, J., and Pasarić Z. , 2006: Application of tetrachoric and polychoric correlation coefficients to forecast verification. Geofizika, 23 , 5982.

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  • Mesinger, F., 2008: Bias adjusted precipitation threat scores. Adv. Geosci., 16 , 137142.

  • Pasarić, Z., and Juras J. , 2011: Comments on “Applying a general analytic method for assessing bias sensitivity to bias-adjusted threat and equitable threat scores”. Wea. Forecasting, 26 , 122125.

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  • Pearson, K., 1900: Mathematical contributions to the theory of evolution. VII. On the correlation of characters not quantitatively measurable. Philos. Trans. Roy. Soc. London, A195 , 147.

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  • Stephenson, D. B., 2000: Use of the “odds ratio” for diagnosing forecast skill. Wea. Forecasting, 15 , 221232.

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