Impact of Interactive Aerosol on the African Easterly Jet in the NASA GEOS-5 Global Forecasting System

Oreste Reale Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland

Search for other papers by Oreste Reale in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
,
K. M. Lau Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland

Search for other papers by K. M. Lau in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
, and
Arlindo da Silva Global Modeling and Assimilation Office, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland

Search for other papers by Arlindo da Silva in
Current site
Google Scholar
PubMed
Close
Restricted access

Abstract

The real-time treatment of interactive, realistically varying aerosols in a global operational forecasting system, as opposed to prescribed (fixed or climatologically varying) aerosols, is a very difficult challenge that has only recently begun to be addressed. Experiment results from a recent version of the NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) forecasting system, inclusive of interactive-aerosol direct effects, are presented in this work. Five sets of 30 five-day forecasts are initialized from a high quality set of analyses previously produced and documented, to cover the period from 15 August to 16 September 2006, which corresponds to the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA) observing campaign. Four forecast sets are at two different horizontal resolutions, with and without interactive-aerosol treatment. A fifth forecast set is performed with climatologically varying aerosols. The net impact of the interactive aerosol, associated with a strong Saharan dust outbreak, is a temperature increase at the dust level, and a decrease in the near-surface levels, in agreement with previous observational and modeling studies. Moreover, forecasts in which interactive aerosols are included depict an African easterly jet (AEJ) at slightly higher elevation, and slightly displaced northward, with respect to the forecasts in which aerosols are not included. The shift in the AEJ position goes in the direction of the observations and agrees with previous results.

Additional affiliation: Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, Maryland.

Corresponding author address: Oreste Reale, Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771. E-mail: oreste.reale-1@nasa.gov

Abstract

The real-time treatment of interactive, realistically varying aerosols in a global operational forecasting system, as opposed to prescribed (fixed or climatologically varying) aerosols, is a very difficult challenge that has only recently begun to be addressed. Experiment results from a recent version of the NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) forecasting system, inclusive of interactive-aerosol direct effects, are presented in this work. Five sets of 30 five-day forecasts are initialized from a high quality set of analyses previously produced and documented, to cover the period from 15 August to 16 September 2006, which corresponds to the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA) observing campaign. Four forecast sets are at two different horizontal resolutions, with and without interactive-aerosol treatment. A fifth forecast set is performed with climatologically varying aerosols. The net impact of the interactive aerosol, associated with a strong Saharan dust outbreak, is a temperature increase at the dust level, and a decrease in the near-surface levels, in agreement with previous observational and modeling studies. Moreover, forecasts in which interactive aerosols are included depict an African easterly jet (AEJ) at slightly higher elevation, and slightly displaced northward, with respect to the forecasts in which aerosols are not included. The shift in the AEJ position goes in the direction of the observations and agrees with previous results.

Additional affiliation: Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, Maryland.

Corresponding author address: Oreste Reale, Laboratory for Atmospheres, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771. E-mail: oreste.reale-1@nasa.gov
Save
  • Asnani, G. C., 2005: Tropical Meteorology. 3 Vols. Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, 2241 pp.

  • Atlas, R., and Coauthors, 2005: Hurricane forecasting with the high-resolution NASA finite-volume general circulation model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L03807, doi:10.1029/2004GL021513.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Bosilovich, M. G., and Coauthors, cited 2010: NASA’s modern era retrospective-analysis for research and applications: Integrating earth observations. Earthzine. [Available online at http://www.earthzine.org/2008/09/26/nasas-modern-era-retrospective-analysis.]

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Carlson, T. N., and Prospero J. M. , 1972: The large-scale movement of Saharan air outbreaks over the northern equatorial Atlantic. J. Appl. Meteor., 11, 283297.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Carlson, T. N., and Wendling P. , 1977: Reflected radiance measured by NOAA 3 VHRR as a function of optical depth for Saharan dust. J. Appl. Meteor., 16, 13681371.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Carlson, T. N., and Benjamin S. G. , 1980: Radiative heating rates for Saharan dust. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 193213.

  • Colarco, P., da Silva A. , Chin M. , and Diehl T. , 2010: Online simulations of global aerosol distributions in the NASA GEOS-4 model and comparison to satellite and ground-based aerosol optical depth. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D14207, doi:10.1029/2009JD012820.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Dunion, J., and Velden C. S. , 2004: The impact of the Saharan air layer on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 85, 353365.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hsieh, J.-S., and Cook K. , 2005: Generation of African easterly wave disturbances: Relationship to the African easterly jet. Mon. Wea. Rev., 133, 13111327.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Hsu, N.-C., Tsay S.-C. , King M. D. , and Herman J. R. , 2006: Deep-blue retrievals of Asian aerosol properties during ACE-Asia. IEEE Trans. Geosci. Remote Sens., 44, 31803195.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Jeong, M. J., Tsay S.-C. , Ji Q. , Hsu N. C. , Hansell R. A. , and Lee J. , 2008: Ground-based measurements of airborne Saharan dust in marine environment during the NAMMA field experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20805, doi:10.1029/2008GL035587.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kanamitsu, M., Ebisuzaki W. , Woollen J. , Yang S.-K. , Hnilo J. J. , Fiorino M. , and Potter G. L. , 2002: NCEP–DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 83, 16311643.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kim, K.-M., Lau W. K. M. , Sud Y. C. , and Walker G. K. , 2010: Influence of aerosol-radiative forcings on the diurnal and seasonal cycles of rainfall over West Africa and eastern Atlantic Ocean using GCM simulations. Climate Dyn., 35, 115126, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0750-1.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Kim, M.-K., Lau W. K. M. , Chin M. , Kim K.-M. , Sud Y. C. , and Walker G. K. , 2006: Atmospheric teleconnection over Eurasia induced by aerosol radiative forcing during boreal spring. J. Climate, 19, 47004718.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lau, K. M., and Kim K.-M. , 2007: How nature foiled the 2006 hurricane forecasts. Eos, Trans. Amer. Geophys. Union, 88, 105117.

  • Lau, K. M., Kim K.-M. , Sud Y. C. , and Walker G. K. , 2009: A GCM study of the response of the atmospheric water cycle of West Africa and the Atlantic to Saharan dust radiative forcing. Ann. Geophys., 27, 40234037.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Lin, S.-J., 2004: A “vertically Lagrangian” finite-volume dynamical core for global models. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 22932307.

  • Masaru, Y., Mahowald N. M. , Conley A. J. , Collins W. D. , Fillmore D. W. , Zender C. S. , and Coleman D. B. , 2007: Impact of desert dust radiative forcing on Sahel precipitation: Relative importance of dust compared to sea surface temperature variations, vegetation changes, and greenhouse gas warming. J. Climate, 20, 14451467.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Omar, A. H., and Coauthors, 2009: The CALIPSO automated aerosol classification and lidar ratio selection algorithm. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 26, 19942014.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Onogi, K., and Coauthors, 2007: The JRA-25 Reanalysis. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 85, 369432.

  • Pratt, A. S., and Evans J. L. , 2009: Potential impacts of the Saharan air layer on numerical model forecasts of North Atlantic tropical cyclogenesis. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 420435.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Reale, O., and Lau W. K. , 2010: Reply. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 24112415.

  • Reale, O., Susskind J. , Rosenberg R. , Brin E. , Liu E. , Riishojgaard L. P. , Terry J. , and Jusem J. C. , 2008: Improving forecast skill by assimilation of quality-controlled AIRS temperature retrievals under partially cloudy conditions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L08809, doi:10.1029/2007GL033002.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Reale, O., Lau W. K. , Kim K.-M. , and Brin E. , 2009a: Atlantic tropical cyclogenetic processes during SOP-3 NAMMA in the GEOS-5 global data assimilation and forecast system. J. Atmos. Sci., 66, 35633578.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Reale, O., Lau W. K. , Susskind J. , Brin E. , Liu E. , Riishojgaard L. P. , Fuentes M. , and Rosenberg R. , 2009b: AIRS impact on the analysis and forecast track of Tropical Cyclone Nargis in a global data assimilation and forecasting system. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L06812, doi:10.1029/2008GL037122.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Remer, L. A., and Coauthors, 2008: Global aerosol climatology from the MODIS satellite sensors. J. Geophys. Res., 113, D14S07, doi:10.1029/2007JD009661.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Rienecker, M. M., and Coauthors, 2008: The GEOS-5 Data Assimilation System: Documentation versions 5.0.1, 5.1.0 and 5.20. NASA Tech. Rep. Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, Vol. 27, NASA/TM-2008-104606, 118 pp. [Available online at http://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/pubs/tm/.]

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Sun, D. L., Lau K. M. , and Kafatos M. , 2008: Contrasting the 2007 and 2005 hurricane seasons: Evidence of possible impacts of Saharan dry air and dust on tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L15405, doi:10.1029/2008GL034529.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Susskind, J., Barnet C. , Blaisdell J. , Iredell L. , Keita F. , Kouvaris L. , Molnar G. , and Chahine M. , 2006: Accuracy of geophysical parameters derived from Atmospheric Infrared Sounder/Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit as a function of fractional cloud cover. J. Geophys. Res., 111, D09S17, doi:10.1029/2005JD006272.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Susskind, J., Barnet C. , Blaisdell J. , Iredell L. , Keita F. , Kouvaris L. , Molnar G. , and Chahine M. , 2007: Improved atmospheric soundings and error estimates from analysis of AIRS/AMSU data. Atmospheric and Environmental Remote Sensing Data Processing and Utilization III: Readiness for GEOSS, M. D. Goldberg et al., Eds., International Society for Optical Engineering (SPIE Proceedings, Vol. 6684), doi:10.1117/12.734336.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Thorncroft, C. D., and Hoskins B. J. , 1994: An idealized study of African easterly waves. Part I: A linear view. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 120, 953982.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Thorncroft, C. D., and Coauthors, 2003: The JET2000 Project: Aircraft observations of the African easterly jet and African easterly waves. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 84, 337351.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Tompkins, A. M., Cardinali C. , Morcrette J.-J. , and Rodwell M. , 2005: Influence of aerosol climatology on forecasts of the African easterly jet. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L10801, doi:10.1029/2004GL022189.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Uppala, S. M., and Coauthors, 2005: The ERA-40 Re-Analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 29613012.

  • Wilcox, E. M., Lau K. M. , and Kim K.-M. , 2010: A northward shift of the North Atlantic Ocean intertropical convergence zone in response to summertime Saharan dust outbreaks. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37, L04804, doi:10.1029/2009GL041774.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wong, S., and Dessler A. E. , 2005: Suppression of deep convection over the tropical North Atlantic by the Saharan air layer. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L09808, doi:10.1029/2004GL022295.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wong, S., Dessler A. E. , Mahowald N. M. , Yang P. , and Feng Q. , 2009: Maintenance of lower-tropospheric temperature inversion in the Saharan air layer by dust and dry anomaly. J. Climate, 22, 51495162.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wu, M.-L., Reale O. , Schubert S. , Suarez M. J. , Koster R. , and Pegion P. , 2009: African easterly jet: Structure and maintenance. J. Climate, 22, 44594480.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
  • Wu, W.-S., Purser R. J. , and Parrish D. F. , 2002: Three-dimensional variational analysis with spatially inhomogeneous covariances. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 29052916.

    • Search Google Scholar
    • Export Citation
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 1692 1262 53
PDF Downloads 351 95 12