Comments on “H. L. Wagner’s Unbiased Hit Rate and the Assessment of Categorical Forecasting Accuracy”

Ian T. Jolliffe Exeter Climate Systems, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom

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David B. Stephenson Exeter Climate Systems, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom

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Corresponding author address: Prof. Ian Jolliffe, 30 Woodvale Rd., Gurnard, Cowes, Isle of Wight, PO31 8EG, United Kingdom. E-mail: i.t.jolliffe@exeter.ac.uk

The original article that was the subject of this comment/reply can be found at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00047.1.

Corresponding author address: Prof. Ian Jolliffe, 30 Woodvale Rd., Gurnard, Cowes, Isle of Wight, PO31 8EG, United Kingdom. E-mail: i.t.jolliffe@exeter.ac.uk

The original article that was the subject of this comment/reply can be found at http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/WAF-D-12-00047.1.

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  • Armistead, T. W., 2013: H. L. Wagner’s unbiased hit rate and the assessment of categorical forecasting accuracy. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 802814, doi:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00047.1.

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  • Finley, J. P., 1884: Tornado predictions. Amer. Meteor. J., 1, 8588.

  • Hogan, R. J., and Mason I. B. , 2012: Deterministic forecasts of binary events. Forecast Verification: A Practitioner’s Guide in Atmospheric Science, I. T. Jolliffe and D. B. Stephenson, Eds., Wiley-Blackwell, 31–59.

  • Jolliffe, I. T., 2008: The impenetrable hedge: A note on propriety, equitability and consistency. Meteor. Appl., 15, 2529, doi:10.1002/met.60.

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  • Stephenson, D. B., 2000: Use of the “odds ratio” for diagnosing forecast skill. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 221232, doi:10.1175/1520-0434(2000)015<0221:UOTORF>2.0.CO;2.

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  • Wagner, H. L., 1993: On measuring performance in categorical judgment studies of nonverbal behaviour. J. Nonverbal Behav., 17, 328, doi:10.1007/BF00987006.

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