An Objective Method for Clustering Observed Vertical Thermodynamic Profiles by Their Boundary Layer Structure

Dillon V. Blount aUniversity of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

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Clark Evans aUniversity of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

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Israel L. Jirak bNOAA/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma

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Andrew R. Dean bNOAA/Storm Prediction Center, Norman, Oklahoma

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Sergey Kravtsov aUniversity of Wisconsin–Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

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Abstract

This study introduces a novel method for comparing vertical thermodynamic profiles, focusing on the atmospheric boundary layer, across a wide range of meteorological conditions. This method is developed using observed temperature and dewpoint temperature data from 31 153 soundings taken at 0000 UTC and 32 308 soundings taken at 1200 UTC between May 2019 and March 2020. Temperature and dewpoint temperature vertical profiles are first interpolated onto a height above ground level (AGL) coordinate, after which the temperature of the dry adiabat defined by the surface-based parcel’s temperature is subtracted from each quantity at all altitudes. This allows for common sounding features, such as turbulent mixed layers and inversions, to be similarly depicted regardless of temperature and dewpoint temperature differences resulting from altitude, latitude, or seasonality. The soundings that result from applying this method to the observed sounding collection described above are then clustered to identify distinct boundary layer structures in the data. Specifically, separately at 0000 and 1200 UTC, a k-means clustering analysis is conducted in the phase space of the leading two empirical orthogonal functions of the sounding data. As compared to clustering based on the original vertical profiles, which results in clusters that are dominated by seasonal and latitudinal differences, clusters derived from transformed data are less latitudinally and seasonally stratified and better represent boundary layer features such as turbulent mixed layers and pseudoadiabatic profiles. The sounding-comparison method thus provides an objective means of categorizing vertical thermodynamic profiles with wide-ranging applications, as demonstrated by using the method to verify short-range Global Forecast System model forecasts.

© 2023 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Clark Evans, evans36@uwm.edu

Abstract

This study introduces a novel method for comparing vertical thermodynamic profiles, focusing on the atmospheric boundary layer, across a wide range of meteorological conditions. This method is developed using observed temperature and dewpoint temperature data from 31 153 soundings taken at 0000 UTC and 32 308 soundings taken at 1200 UTC between May 2019 and March 2020. Temperature and dewpoint temperature vertical profiles are first interpolated onto a height above ground level (AGL) coordinate, after which the temperature of the dry adiabat defined by the surface-based parcel’s temperature is subtracted from each quantity at all altitudes. This allows for common sounding features, such as turbulent mixed layers and inversions, to be similarly depicted regardless of temperature and dewpoint temperature differences resulting from altitude, latitude, or seasonality. The soundings that result from applying this method to the observed sounding collection described above are then clustered to identify distinct boundary layer structures in the data. Specifically, separately at 0000 and 1200 UTC, a k-means clustering analysis is conducted in the phase space of the leading two empirical orthogonal functions of the sounding data. As compared to clustering based on the original vertical profiles, which results in clusters that are dominated by seasonal and latitudinal differences, clusters derived from transformed data are less latitudinally and seasonally stratified and better represent boundary layer features such as turbulent mixed layers and pseudoadiabatic profiles. The sounding-comparison method thus provides an objective means of categorizing vertical thermodynamic profiles with wide-ranging applications, as demonstrated by using the method to verify short-range Global Forecast System model forecasts.

© 2023 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Clark Evans, evans36@uwm.edu

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