Rainbelt Properties of Persistent Heavy Precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin and Associated Three-dimensional Circulations

Yahan Yang a State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
b Chongqing Meteorological Information and Technology Support Center, Chongqing Meteorological Bureau, Chongqing 401147, China

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Panmao Zhai a State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

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Jianying Li a State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

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Qian Wang a State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China

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Abstract

In this study, we objectively identified rain belts of persistent precipitation processes over the Yangtze River Basin during 1961–2021 based on an improved rotating calipers algorithm. Considering the accumulated precipitation volume as the flood-inducing indicator, persistent heavy precipitation events were identified and categorized into three types—along, north, and south of the Yangtze River—by applying K-means clustering for spatial similarity. Results showed that events along and in the south of Yangtze are more persistent and more flood-inducing than events in the north of Yangtze. Composite analysis revealed the relevant three-dimensional stable circulation patterns and indicated that the location of their rain belts is determined by circulation configurations. For events along the Yangtze, an eastward-propagating wave train facilitates a single-blocking high and deepens the East Asian trough. A southeastward-positioned South Asian high (SAH) and intensified westerly jet support a strong divergence in the Yangtze River Basin at 200 hPa. The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) stretches southwestward with a strong low-level jet, inducing warm and humid air to converge with cold air along the Yangtze. For events in the south of the Yangtze, a relatively southeastward wave train maintains under double-blocking highs. The northeast sector of the SAH, the westerly jet, WPSH, and low-level jet are located more to the south. Lastly, events in the north of the Yangtze are associated with the development of a blocking high and a dominant belt of low pressure to the south. The unfavorable circulation pattern inhibits cold air invasion, resulting in relatively weaker precipitation with shorter duration.

© 2025 American Meteorological Society. This is an Author Accepted Manuscript distributed under the terms of the default AMS reuse license. For information regarding reuse and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Panmao Zhai, Address: Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, NO.46 Zhong-guan-cun south street, Haidian District, Beijing, China. E-mail: pmzhai@cma.gov.cn

Abstract

In this study, we objectively identified rain belts of persistent precipitation processes over the Yangtze River Basin during 1961–2021 based on an improved rotating calipers algorithm. Considering the accumulated precipitation volume as the flood-inducing indicator, persistent heavy precipitation events were identified and categorized into three types—along, north, and south of the Yangtze River—by applying K-means clustering for spatial similarity. Results showed that events along and in the south of Yangtze are more persistent and more flood-inducing than events in the north of Yangtze. Composite analysis revealed the relevant three-dimensional stable circulation patterns and indicated that the location of their rain belts is determined by circulation configurations. For events along the Yangtze, an eastward-propagating wave train facilitates a single-blocking high and deepens the East Asian trough. A southeastward-positioned South Asian high (SAH) and intensified westerly jet support a strong divergence in the Yangtze River Basin at 200 hPa. The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) stretches southwestward with a strong low-level jet, inducing warm and humid air to converge with cold air along the Yangtze. For events in the south of the Yangtze, a relatively southeastward wave train maintains under double-blocking highs. The northeast sector of the SAH, the westerly jet, WPSH, and low-level jet are located more to the south. Lastly, events in the north of the Yangtze are associated with the development of a blocking high and a dominant belt of low pressure to the south. The unfavorable circulation pattern inhibits cold air invasion, resulting in relatively weaker precipitation with shorter duration.

© 2025 American Meteorological Society. This is an Author Accepted Manuscript distributed under the terms of the default AMS reuse license. For information regarding reuse and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).

Corresponding author: Panmao Zhai, Address: Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, NO.46 Zhong-guan-cun south street, Haidian District, Beijing, China. E-mail: pmzhai@cma.gov.cn
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