Cover Weather and Forecasting
Weather and Forecasting

 

Early Online Release

Print ISSN:
0882-8156
Online ISSN:
1520-0434
Cover Weather and Forecasting
On the use of hindcast skill for merging NMME seasonal forecasts across the western U.S.
By: William D. Scheftic, Xubin Zeng, Michael A. Brunke, Michael J. DeFlorio, Amir Ouyed, and Ellen Sanden
Optimizing Numerical Weather Prediction Utility of the Maryland Mesonet with Observing System Simulation Experiments
By: Joshua McCurry and Jonathan Poterjoy
An Update for Predicting Left-Moving Supercell Motion
By: Matthew J. Bunkers, Matthew S. Van Den Broeke, and John T. Allen
Observation Definitions and their Implications in Machine Learning-based Predictions of Excessive Rainfall
By: Aaron J. Hill, Russ S. Schumacher, and Mitchell L. Green
RainForests: a machine-learning approach to calibrating NWP precipitation forecasts
By: Belinda Trotta, Benjamin Owen, Jiaping Liu, Gary Weymouth, Thomas Gale, Timothy Hume, Anja Schubert, James Canvin, Daniel Mentiplay, Jennifer Whelan, and Robert Johnson
Advancing the seasonal outlook of the wet seasons of Florida
By: Vasubandhu Misra and C. B. Jayasankar
A Markov model approach for statistical tropical cyclone wind radii baseline forecasts
By: John A. Knaff, Charles R. Sampson, Christopher J. Slocum, and Natalie D. Tourville
Development of a Wave Model Component in the First Coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System at NOAA
By: Jose-Henrique Alves, Roberto Padilla-Hernandez, Deanna Spindler, Walter Kolczynski, Bhavani Rajan, Todd Spindler, Ali Abdolali, Ricardo Campos, Saeideh Banihashemi, and Jessica Meixner
Environmental Conditions Associated with Long-Track Tornadoes
By: Jerry M. Straka, Vittorio A. Gensini, Katharine M. Kanak, and Jonanthan M. Garner
Predictability of Severe Convective Storm Environments in Global Ensemble Forecast System Version 12 Reforecasts
By: Andrew H. Berrington, Kimberly A. Hoogewind, Adam J. Clark, and Mateusz Taszarek
Clustering-based spatial interpolation of parametric post-processing models
By: Sándor Baran and Mária Lakatos
A simple model for predicting tropical cyclone minimum central pressure from intensity and size
By: Daniel R. Chavas, John A. Knaff, and Phil Klotzbach
Development and Validation of NOAA’s 20-year global wave ensemble reforecast
By: Ricardo M Campos, Ali Abdolali, Jose-Henrique Alves, Matthew Masarik, Jessica Meixner, Avichal Mehra, Darin Figurskey, Saeideh Banihashemi, Joseph Sienkiewicz, and Rick Lumpkin
Spatial Aligned Mean: A Method to Improve Consensus Forecasts of Precipitation from Convection Allowing Model Ensembles
By: ChangJae Lee, Keith A. Brewster, Nathan Snook, Phillip Spencer, and Jun Park
Updates to NOAA’s Unified Forecast System’s cumulus convection parameterization scheme between GFSv16 and GFSv17
By: Lisa Bengtsson and Jongil Han
Sources of Tropical Cyclone Track Bifurcation in the COAMPS-TC and GFS Ensembles
By: Kevin C. Prince, Jonathan R. Moskaitis, James D. Doyle, and William A. Komaromi
Application of a Two-Step Space-Time EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Mitigate Sub-Seasonal 200hPa Geopotential Height Forecast Error
By: William D. Stikeleather and Paul E. Roundy
Development of a Two-Step EOF Statistical Postprocessing Algorithm to Identify Patterns of Systematic Error and Variance Within GEFSv12 Reforecasts
By: William D. Stikeleather and Paul E. Roundy
Short and Medium-Range Predictability of Warm-Season Derechos. Part I: Operational Predictability and Composites
By: Bruno Z. Ribeiro, Steven J. Weiss, and Lance F. Bosart
Ensemble Predictability of Week 3/4 Precipitation and Temperature over the United States via Cluster Analysis of the Large-Scale Circulation
By: Gregory Jennrich, David Straus, Muthuvel Chelliah, and Cory Baggett
Weather to subseasonal prediction from the UFS coupled Global Ensemble Forecast System
By: Bing Fu, Yuejian Zhu, Hong Guan, Eric Sinsky, Bo Yang, Xianwu Xue, Philip Pegion, and Fanglin Yang
A warning system for the Laseyer wind storm in a narrow and deep valley of northeastern Switzerland
By: Michael Sprenger, Irina Mahlstein, Andrina Caratsch, and Marielle Müller
Impacts of sampling and storm-motion estimates on RUC/RAP-based discriminations of nontornadic and tornadic supercell environments
By: Michael C. Coniglio and Richard L. Thompson
Development of an Advance Research WRF-based Operational Forecast System for Forcing Ocean Models and Evaluation of its Winds using Buoys in the Indian Ocean
By: Anuradha Modi, R. Harikumar, and T. M. Balakrishnan Nair
Cell Mergers, Boundary Interactions, and Convective Systems in Cases of Significant Tornadoes and Hail
By: Cameron J. Nixon, John T. Allen, Matthew B. Wilson, Matthew J. Bunkers, and Mateusz Taszarek
Impact of Assimilating Uncrewed Aircraft System Observations on River Valley Fog Prediction
By: James O. Pinto, Sean C.C. Bailey, Kathryn R. Fossell, Seth Binau, Mei Xu, Junkyung Kay, Ryan D. Nolin, Christina N. Vezzi, Suzanne W. Smith, Joshua Lave, Jenny Colavito, Matthew B. Wilson, and Tammy M. Weckwerth
Evaluating ensemble predictions of South Asian monsoon low pressure system genesis
By: D. L. Suhas and William R. Boos
Evaluating machine learning-based probabilistic convective hazard forecasts using the HRRR: Quantifying hazard predictability and sensitivity to training choices
By: Ryan A. Sobash and David A. Ahijevych
AI-Driven Forecasting for Morning Fog Expansion (Sea of Clouds)
By: Yukitaka Ohashi and Kazuki Hara
Improvement of Wind Power Prediction by Assimilating Principal Components of Cabin Radar Observations
By: Feimin Zhang, Shang Wan, Shuanglong Jin, and Hao Wang
Regime-Dependent Characteristics and Predictability of Cold Season Precipitation Events in the St. Lawrence River Valley
By: Andrew C. Winters, Nick P. Bassill, John R. Gyakum, and Justin R. Minder
The evolution of the 2021 Seacor Power Tragedy in Coastal Louisiana
By: P. W. Miller, C. Li, K. Xu, S. Caparotta, and R.V. Rohli
Representation of Blowing Snow and Associated Visibility Reduction in an Operational High-Resolution Weather Model
By: Timothy D. Corrie III, Bart Geerts, Tatiana G. Smirnova, Stanley G. Benjamin, Michael Charnick, Matthew Brothers, Siwei He, Zachary J. Lebo, and Eric P. James
Atmospheric River Reconnaissance 2021: A Review
By: Alison Cobb, F. Martin Ralph, Vijay Tallapragada, Anna M. Wilson, Christopher A. Davis, Luca Delle Monache, James D. Doyle, Florian Pappenberger, Carolyn A. Reynolds, Aneesh Subramanian, Peter G. Black, Forest Cannon, Chris Castellano, Jason M. Cordeira, Jennifer S. Haase, Chad Hecht, Brian Kawzenuk, David A. Lavers, Michael J. Murphy Jr., Jack Parrish, Ryan Rickert, Jonathan J. Rutz, Ryan Torn, Xingren Wu, and Minghua Zheng
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