The familiar multiple-regression equations are adapted to the problem of determining the probability of a future event from dichotomously classified predictors. The probability of an event can be computed rapidly by this method and can be used as a first approximation of what the subsequent weather will be. An example is included to illustrate how the method is used and to show a comparison between the computed probability values and the observed values.
Research Article| 21 August 2018
Estimating the Probability of a Future Event from Dichotomously Classified Predictors
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (1955) 36 (7): 325–328.
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Lund, I. A., 1955: Estimating the Probability of a Future Event from Dichotomously Classified Predictors. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36, 325–328, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477-36.7.325.
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